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Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 8:31 pm
by vbhoutex
tireman4 wrote:Holy Moly the temperature is still dropping.....Wind is howling and I am on the third floor
This front has definitely come in stronger than expected, or it looks that way to me. We are currently at 35.2f and continuing a steady drop. Even if the rate slows we should easily be in the upper 20's to 30f by morning(I'm just inside the Beltway near Hammerly and Gessner). I will be surprised if there isn't a lowering of the progged lows for tonight and tomorrow night. To top it off the wind is still 10-20 mph and gusty which means we are still getting plenty of mixing and no radiational cooling of consequence.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 9:01 pm
by biggerbyte
We don't have the snow, but we certainly have the cold. Bitter cold even for some... Ahem! Wxman57..
Interesting days ahead. Hopefully my giving up will mean some winter precip. around here before winters end.
It usually does!!!! Lol
Brrrrr
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 9:20 pm
by sleetstorm
This is off topic, but do any of you have any intention to go to Mardi Gras next month.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 10:24 pm
by vci_guy2003
How come it's nearing freezing already? Nobody predicted this.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 10:47 pm
by Andrew
vci_guy2003 wrote:How come it's nearing freezing already? Nobody predicted this.
Yea the front has come in a lot stronger than predicted. I am at 35-36 as of now and still dropping. I will probably get colder than I did last time.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 11:04 pm
by ronyan
37.8 F here near the coast.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 11:32 pm
by vbhoutex
I'm at 30.7f here in Spring Branch.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2011 11:39 pm
by Baseballdude2915
Temps already busting, chilly night ahead. Might not make it out of the 40s tomorrow.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:08 am
by Andrew
00z GFS gets cold for the beginning of February but as Wxman stated earlier things will change
Code: Select all
FIELD TEMPERATURE DEW POINT
LEVEL 2M 2M
UNITS DEGC DEGC
HR
+132. -4.2 -7.8
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:08 am
by Andrew
Baseballdude2915 wrote:Temps already busting, chilly night ahead. Might not make it out of the 40s tomorrow.
And tomm night is
expected to be colder.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:03 am
by ronyan
-42 at International Falls currently!
35.2 F here and falling pretty fast. I hope it doesn't freeze because I told my neighbors they didn't need to cover the plants...
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:11 am
by Andrew
ronyan wrote:-42 at International Falls currently!
35.2 F here and falling pretty fast. I hope it doesn't freeze because I told my neighbors they didn't need to cover the plants...
With a dew-point in the middle 20's I am pretty sure you will at least hit 32.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 4:29 am
by unome
28 here in Cypress
Int'l Falls, MN hit -44 for their low
http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KINL.html
some record lows up there
http://coolwx.com/record/
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 6:11 am
by wxman57
Interesting 6Z GFS run for the end of the month. 1983-1989-type freeze and snow to the coast. Of course, it's only one run in a model that is flopping all over the place in the long run. Note the temps on the 6Z meteogram below are NOT highs/lows. They're the midnight and noon temperatures forecast by the 6Z GFS. Note the NOON temperature of 18F on Wed. Feb 2nd:
Lots of snow down south, too:
Will it happen? Probably not. Will I see 80F in the next few weeks? Only indoors if I turn up the heat a lot.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 7:02 am
by srainhoutx
I saved this image from Tuesday. The GFS has been hinting a significant storm may happen during this time frame since then. Interesting to say the least. And where did this cloud cover come from? That was not expected...
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 7:37 am
by Andrew
wxman57 wrote:Interesting 6Z GFS run for the end of the month. 1983-1989-type freeze and snow to the coast. Of course, it's only one run in a model that is flopping all over the place in the long run. Note the temps on the 6Z meteogram below are NOT highs/lows. They're the midnight and noon temperatures forecast by the 6Z GFS. Note the NOON temperature of 18F on Wed. Feb 2nd:
http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/iahgfsx6zjan21.gif
Lots of snow down south, too:
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/ ... URFACE.png
Will it happen? Probably not. Will I see 80F in the next few weeks? Only indoors if I turn up the heat a lot.
Map to go along with data:
I know it is so far away but at the same time it is rare for even the gfs to show this type of cold air coming down. Low's in the lower teens is not something you see everyday from the gfs even in the long long range. As you said though way to far out to be anything more than speculation.
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 7:44 am
by srainhoutx
JB had an interesting video update on the freebie accuweather site yesterday. He is suggesting the pattern may well produce a 1993 Super Storm type system. He may be on to something...
http://www.accuweather.com/video/731462 ... follow.asp
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 7:57 am
by TexasMetBlake
Wow, temps in AK are approaching -60s...
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 8:17 am
by srainhoutx
The Yukon and NW Territories are cold as well...
Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 8:24 am
by unome
forecast highs - Celsius & Fahrenheit are the same at -40, how about that
