2010 Atlantic Hurricane season poll

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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Ed Mahmoud wrote:Ynever carried a Hewlett Packer calculator that used RPN for data entry?
I used Texas Instrument graphing calculator.
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srainhoutx
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I'll bump this up in light of wxman57's input today Luis. :mrgreen:
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx wrote:I'll bump this up in light of wxman57's input today Luis. :mrgreen:
I thought you were going to bump your numbers. :)
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Ptarmigan
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Ed Mahmoud wrote:Unofficial, and I will likely revise with April 1 Klozbach


15/10/4, no US hurricane landfall West of 92.5º. Tropical storms, maybe one for Texas. Might be like Edouard, of polar origin.

Bad Florida and East Coast year.

50/50 chance this is the year Bastardi gets his former Cat 4 or Cat 5, still a high end Cat 2 or low end Cat 3, to impact Philadelphia or New York City area.



All unofficial, please your doctor if Avodart is right for you. Woman who are pregnant, or may become pregnant should not use or handle Avodart because of the risk of a particular birth defect. Some men may experience sexual side effects, or swelling and tenderness of the breasts
Disclaimer part is funny! :lol: Edouard came from a trough that entered the northern Gulf of Mexico. It was small. Had the conditions been right, Edouard could of become a hurricane.
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tireman4
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15/8/5
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16/8/4
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Ptarmigan
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Statistical Overview for KHOU (As of 3/24/2010)

Mean
15/8/4

Median
15/8/4

Mode
TS=15
HU=8
MH=4

Lowest
TS=11
HU=4
MH=2

Highest
TS=18
HU=8
MH=5

Standard Deviation
Total Storms=1.772294
Hurricane=1.126601
Major Hurricane=0.926809
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Wed Mar 24, 2010 11:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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Well it is becoming a bit more clear that El Nino will not be a factor this year for the Atlantic Basin. With that I will update my numbers and increase them abit. ;) 15-7-4 Final
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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13/8/4
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The Weather Research Center, via the Houston Business Journal, says Texas has a 60% chance of a storm this year!

http://houston.bizjournals.com/houston/ ... ily49.html
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I personally feel as though it will be another very late start to the season. We may not see a storm until the end of July or early August. No data to support that claim, just a hunch.
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Paul
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Candy Cane wrote:I personally feel as though it will be another very late start to the season. We may not see a storm until the end of July or early August. No data to support that claim, just a hunch.

I am thinking Mid-July myself as the MDR is smokin and GOM not far behind thanks to the LC. 2007 seems like a good analog yr for me with Dean and Felix being some early bloomers. 2005 makes sense in terms of intensity.... EL NINO is on its way out rapidly...lower pressures forecatsed in the Carib. Let the countdown begin!!
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Ptarmigan
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Paul wrote: I am thinking Mid-July myself as the MDR is smokin and GOM not far behind thanks to the LC. 2007 seems like a good analog yr for me with Dean and Felix being some early bloomers. 2005 makes sense in terms of intensity.... EL NINO is on its way out rapidly...lower pressures forecatsed in the Carib. Let the countdown begin!!
Some of the most active seasons started late, like 1969, 2000, and 2004. I think the season will start with one storm forming in June and then go quiet than another storm forms and starts getting active.
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sambucol
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18/7/5 final
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