May 2024

[Cpv17]

Some areas have now exceeded 2’ of rain this week, holy cow balls!!

[don]

It’s, in large part, the latitude of the Houston metro area.
While only a few degrees difference, the lower latitude often precludes some low pressure systems from the Midwest from reaching as far south as especially the coastal areas. There is a marked difference in relative humidity % between Houston and Beaumont/South Louisiana in general. Rule of thumb is you can usually take our humidity here and add about 10% on any given day to get the RH in Beaumont/Golden Triangle/South Louisiana
I was born and raised - and spent 33yrs of my life - in South Louisiana. It is much more humid there in general.

The slope/angle of the coast also plays a big part,as the more east you go in SE Texas at the same latitude the closer you get to the Gulf.While Beaumont's latitude is farther north than Houston,its also closer to the gulf due to the angle of the Texas coast.I use to live in Louisiana also and Mississippi.Louisiana is the wettest part of the country outside of high mountain ranges.

It's that angle from the Gulf since most of the prevailing mid and upper level air is SW to NE or West to East.

For example, Corpus Christi is right on the Gulf Coast but only receives about 32 inches of rain a year. They are closer to the SW cap and Mexican air squashing rain chances. The dry line never makes it to Corpus inhibiting rain chances in April. September and later tropical season are their best chance of rain. Brownsville sees less than 27 in of rain/year.

...whereas LA, MS, AL, FL panhandle coasts are deluged with Gulf moisture all year round! 60+ inches/year are typical.

Indeed there is a steep gradient for rainfall on the west side of Houston which continues west and toward Mexico...

Yep, I agree.

The next system to watch is on Sunday.As a pretty potent disturbance moves in.

Screenshot 2024-05-03 at 16-49-51 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png (556.11 KiB) Viewed 757 times

[Goomba]

"Hardin County - This is a reminder that Judge McDaniel has recommended all residents in low lying areas voluntarily evacuate or be self sufficient for days."

SETX life.

[Stratton20]

This deeply concerns me, seeing 2+ feet of rain from a non tropical system, and with hurricane season being just around the corner and potentially being a hyper active season as well , it definitely concerns me of what could happen down the road

[Cromagnum]

Geeze. I'm at 0.10 for the week considering I got next to nothing last weekend. If Sunday ignores us too, I may just xeriscape my yard. I already know once summer starts I won't get anything until October.

[Cpv17]

The 0z HRRR would finally make me and Cro happy lol

[Stratton20]

The 00z HRRR is very concerning, shows very heavy all day sunday into early monday morning targeting the same areas that got hit so hard this week, widespread 1-3 inches with isolated 6+ inches in spots, that would be absolutely catastrophic for those folks in that general area, hopefully that doesnt happen

Edit: 00z HRRR with a max bullseye of 10.5 inches, praying that doesnt happen

[Cromagnum]

The 0z HRRR would finally make me and Cro happy lol

Where are yall finding this?

[Ptarmigan]

The rainfall amounts are on par with tropical weather systems. The Tax Day 2016 and Brenham 2016 rain level.

[Cpv17]

The 0z HRRR would finally make me and Cro happy lol

Where are yall finding this?

Pivotalweather and Tropicaltidbits.

[captainbarbossa19]

The rainfall amounts are on par with tropical weather systems. The Tax Day 2016 and Brenham 2016 rain level.

I was just thinking how this spring is giving me a lot of 2016 vibes. I actually think that people who are missing out now might be glad they did later on this month. In 2016, the rain really picked up towards the end of May and we are only at the beginning right now.

[Ptarmigan]

The rainfall amounts are on par with tropical weather systems. The Tax Day 2016 and Brenham 2016 rain level.

I was just thinking how this spring is giving me a lot of 2016 vibes. I actually think that people who are missing out now might be glad they did later on this month. In 2016, the rain really picked up towards the end of May and we are only at the beginning right now.

Spring of 2016 was wet. Same with Spring 2015. I would not be surprised if this ends up being the wettest May on record.

[captainbarbossa19]

The rainfall amounts are on par with tropical weather systems. The Tax Day 2016 and Brenham 2016 rain level.

I was just thinking how this spring is giving me a lot of 2016 vibes. I actually think that people who are missing out now might be glad they did later on this month. In 2016, the rain really picked up towards the end of May and we are only at the beginning right now.

Spring of 2016 was wet. Same with Spring 2015. I would not be surprised if this ends up being the wettest May on record.

Agreed. Similar to 2016, this year is also another decaying El Nino season.

[don]

0z HRRR has a bullseye of 10+ inches in Harris county fwiw. I'm not concerned about it yet but I'll be watching to see if future runs continue to show it.

qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (3).png (387.14 KiB) Viewed 568 times

[Cpv17]

0z HRRR has a bullseye of 10+ inches in Harris county fwiw. I'm not concerned about it yet but I'll be watching to see if future runs continue to show it.


qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (3).png

Seeing how the models have significantly underdone totals, and we have over 24-36 hours to recharge the atmosphere, I wouldn’t be surprised if those totals verify or we exceed them.

[DoctorMu]

The slope/angle of the coast also plays a big part,as the more east you go in SE Texas at the same latitude the closer you get to the Gulf.While Beaumont's latitude is farther north than Houston,its also closer to the gulf due to the angle of the Texas coast.I use to live in Louisiana also and Mississippi.Louisiana is the wettest part of the country outside of high mountain ranges.

It's that angle from the Gulf since most of the prevailing mid and upper level air is SW to NE or West to East.

For example, Corpus Christi is right on the Gulf Coast but only receives about 32 inches of rain a year. They are closer to the SW cap and Mexican air squashing rain chances. The dry line never makes it to Corpus inhibiting rain chances in April. September and later tropical season are their best chance of rain. Brownsville sees less than 27 in of rain/year.

...whereas LA, MS, AL, FL panhandle coasts are deluged with Gulf moisture all year round! 60+ inches/year are typical.

Indeed there is a steep gradient for rainfall on the west side of Houston which continues west and toward Mexico...

Yep, I agree.

The next system to watch is on Sunday.As a pretty potent disturbance moves in.



Screenshot 2024-05-03 at 16-49-51 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png

The late Fall, Winter, early Spring have been the closest to weather I remember in the 90s, since over a decade. Mild winter with some sun, but heavy rain. Moderate late fall with some lower DPs. Soggy spring.

Hopefully that pays off this summer. We'll see.

[DoctorMu]

0z HRRR has a bullseye of 10+ inches in Harris county fwiw. I'm not concerned about it yet but I'll be watching to see if future runs continue to show it.


qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (3).png

Seeing how the models have significantly underdone totals, and we have over 24-36 hours to recharge the atmosphere, I wouldn’t be surprised if those totals verify or we exceed them.

We've had nearly 30 inches of rain this year, about 3/4 of our full yearly average. About 10.4 inches this week alone!

[Pas_Bon]

Nasty little pop-up storm just fired off near Alvin….headed WNW toward League City

There must be lightning every 2 seconds with this thing.

[Katdaddy]

.13” down here in W League City early this morning which brings the 7-day total to only 1.90”. I feel for our friends N of I-10.

[Cromagnum]

Nasty little pop-up storm just fired off near Alvin….headed WNW toward League City

There must be lightning every 2 seconds with this thing.

There was one little popcorn storm that came by my place around 230 AM. Rumbled quite a bit, but haven't checked my gauge yet. Hoping the Sunday system is progressive through Houston and stalls near the coast.