February 2024
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The whole month looks cold, should be a fun ride!
I’m ready. Real winter for February.
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Here here, bring on more Winter
!
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we will have to watch for any potential affects from the SSWE that just occured a few days ago, around mid february ( 12th and beyond, Im thinking we start off the first couple of days in february on the mild side, but then transition towards a much colder regime after the first week
From Larry Cosgrove in response to my question about winter weather returning to SETX:
Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.
Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.
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I think so to, im seeing signs of another -NAO signature beginning to take shape on the ensembles in the 11-15 day period, starting to see that ridging over the US retrograding into canada
Larry is very good at forecasting. I’m leaving my winter preps in place.
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Looks like the operational models are showing the ridge retrograding into north canada, new ridge building over alaska, higher heights building over greenland, and a active STJ, February looks like a fun month, ensembles/ weeklies keep a -NAO/- AO pattern established for the entire month
The CPC has already placed parts of southeast TX in another moderate risk for excessive rainfall from the February 3rd-5th timeframe.
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Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that
It’s possible there will be a bigger risk for flooding next time around because the grounds are already saturated.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 4:57 pm Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that
Whoa It rained?Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 5:17 pmIt’s possible there will be a bigger risk for flooding next time around because the grounds are already saturated.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 4:57 pm Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that
![Mr. Green :mrgreen:](./images/smilies/icon_mrgreen.gif)
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Blocking showing up on the operational models now, while i believe this will be a slow flip to cold, I do see alot lining up for a very interesting february
Happy February! Anything cold on the horizon?
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Larry Cosgrove agreesStratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 2:06 pm Blocking showing up on the operational models now, while i believe this will be a slow flip to cold, I do see alot lining up for a very interesting february
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So, after that brief arctic outbreak during the middle of last month we get a month or nearly that length of time of Springlike weather? Am I gathering, understanding, or perceiving that correctly or right? If that is the case then personally, I would not mind if most if not all of March turns out to be Winter like and early Spring turns out to be a little below average. I say all of this now, but, that is how I feel about it.
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