Wx Infinity Forums

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 5:42 pm

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 5:39 pm

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 5:38 pm will be a warm nose present that's why we are thinking freezing rain?

Too soon to know.

Well Travis herzog said freezing rain and not snow and here's why..so i figured it was the warm nose..I didn't stick around to listen lol I changed the channel

He really can’t know for sure yet at this point anyway. He said “expected” to be too warm in the upper atmosphere to support snow but I believe he also didn’t “expect” much from this front about a week ago.

https://abc13.com/houston-weather-forec ... ons/39346/

Looks like a freezing rain setup, maybe ending as sleet as colder air filters through. Slightly concerned with the EURO and now GFS showing a slower system that doesn't move out till Tuesday morning. If that is the case we could be looking at a long duration of on and off freezing rain/drizzle most of Monday. We'll know more this weekend.

We've got a meeting for stake out for the foundation pad scheduled for Monday 1/15/24 at 10:00 AM near Columbus. Following this forum, I set up a back up date of Monday 1/22/24. Y'all are the best. The decades of cumulative experience on here is impressive.

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 5:43 pm

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 5:42 pm

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 5:39 pm

Too soon to know.

Well Travis herzog said freezing rain and not snow and here's why..so i figured it was the warm nose..I didn't stick around to listen lol I changed the channel

He really can’t know for sure yet at this point anyway. He said “expected” to be too warm in the upper atmosphere to support snow but I believe he also didn’t “expect” much from this front about a week ago.

https://abc13.com/houston-weather-forec ... ons/39346/

Around these parts, I would guess 95% of the time theres a warm nose... very rare to not have one.

I'm not personally going to say this far out, but I would like to know what 13 knows the NWS doesn't.

David Paul posted on his fb page about potential wintry mischief. I suppose they’re all on board now. By the looks of it could be a messy few days.

It’s funny how both ABC 13 and KHOU 11 have jumped onboard with the possibility of Freezing Rain for Monday into Tuesday Morning. It may change to how much Freezing Rain and Sleet. Wonder if it possibly for Winter Weather Advisories to be hoisted by Friday night

walsean1 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 8:44 pm It’s funny how both ABC 13 and KHOU 11 have jumped onboard with the possibility of Freezing Rain for Monday into Tuesday Morning. It may change to how much Freezing Rain and Sleet. Wonder if it possibly for Winter Weather Advisories to be hoisted by Friday night

Friday is way to soon..if they did at all the earliest would be sunday

KHOU going with a 60% chance of sleet.

don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:02 pm KHOU going with a 60% chance of sleet.

Nice trend. Before long, they might be calling for snow

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:07 pm

don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:02 pm KHOU going with a 60% chance of sleet.

Nice trend. Before long, they might be calling for snow

I think it will not be if we are getting Freezing Rain or Sleet, it will be how much

I know with past freezing rain events, trees have fallen onto powerlines causing power outages. They often cause roads to be dangerous to travel. I can even recall thunder during freezing rain.

Wonder what the possibility would be if we do get sleet and it cools the layers if we could get wet bulbing

Jeff Linder responding to a comment about the precip

Brandon Baack it can be…just like any model…but it has been very consistent showing precip while others have been dry and now they are trending somewhat wetter.

In weather we say the trend is your friend when forecasting…and I don’t really like the trend today when it comes to post frontal precip.

Sounds like he is slowly getting on board also

Jeff is the only person my wife will listen to. It doesn't matter how many Mets on here or on Storm2k say something. If Jeff doesn't say it, it's not happening, in her opinion.

walsean1 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:16 pm

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:07 pm

don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:02 pm KHOU going with a 60% chance of sleet.

Nice trend. Before long, they might be calling for snow

I think it will not be if we are getting Freezing Rain or Sleet, it will be how much

Or possibly snow.

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:22 pm Wonder what the possibility would be if we do get sleet and it cools the layers if we could get wet bulbing

It’s certainly happened before.

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:18 pm I know with past freezing rain events, trees have fallen onto powerlines causing power outages. They often cause roads to be dangerous to travel. I can even recall thunder during freezing rain.

If we get ice accumulations on power lines, expect power outages.

sambucol wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:46 pm

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:18 pm I know with past freezing rain events, trees have fallen onto powerlines causing power outages. They often cause roads to be dangerous to travel. I can even recall thunder during freezing rain.

If we get ice accumulations on power lines, expect power outages.

I am thinking that could happen, which could be a problem.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:35 pm Jeff is the only person my wife will listen to. It doesn't matter how many Mets on here or on Storm2k say something. If Jeff doesn't say it, it's not happening, in her opinion.

Jeff is really good. I don’t blame her. He’s phenomenal with severe weather and tropical systems.

He takes a more conservative approach in Winter but most Gulf Coast Mets do, and should.