Wx Infinity Forums

You never really know how severe weather will play out over here. I’d say by tomorrow evening we should know a lot more.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 9:34 pm You never really know how severe weather will play out over here. I’d say by tomorrow evening we should know a lot more.

I agree. It sometimes feels like a coin flip on whether we see severe weather or not.

0Z HRRR does have PDS soundings for a couple of hours during the late morning/early afternoon. As streamer showers move through. By the late afternoon it develops a squall line along the front.

Monday is gonna be interesting.

Tech had a nice win in Austin tonight against TU.

Maue sees what I think can happen…. See 1973 except on a larger scale.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/174 ... 429626%2F4

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 11:25 pm Monday is gonna be interesting.

Tech had a nice win in Austin tonight against TU.

Congrats to Tech!

Haha I think Texas might be the most hated university in the nation.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 11:46 pm Maue sees what I think can happen…. See 1973 except on a larger scale.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/174 ... 429626%2F4

I think it’ll be a step down process. Been thinking that for the past couple days now.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:00 am

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 11:46 pm Maue sees what I think can happen…. See 1973 except on a larger scale.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/174 ... 429626%2F4

I think it’ll be a step down process. Been thinking that for the past couple days now.

It’s always been that and it’s also why I’ve discounted the MJO interference in the models. It defies common sense meteorology given the circumstances.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:02 am

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:00 am

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 11:46 pm Maue sees what I think can happen…. See 1973 except on a larger scale.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/174 ... 429626%2F4

I think it’ll be a step down process. Been thinking that for the past couple days now.

It’s always been that and it’s also why I’ve discounted the MJO interference in the models. It defies common sense meteorology given the circumstances.

I don’t have much experience with major Artic outbreaks but I just remember February 21 being a step down process so that’s what I’m basing it on.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:00 am

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 11:46 pm Maue sees what I think can happen…. See 1973 except on a larger scale.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/174 ... 429626%2F4

I think it’ll be a step down process. Been thinking that for the past couple days now.

Exactly

watched the local weather last night. I know they are the last ones to ever get on board for something like this but they dont even mention it or even drop a hint, etc. His 10 day forecast has lows in 40's next weekend and highs in 60s.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 9:26 am watched the local weather last night. I know they are the last ones to ever get on board for something like this but they dont even mention it or even drop a hint, etc. His 10 day forecast has lows in 40's next weekend and highs in 60s.

It’s honestly frustrating. Cold dense air has no choice but to move south. The model hugging is ridiculous.

The old weather men used to talk about it. Harold Taft, especially. A descent across the central part of the country would be nice. Many times it's a little further east, and I've been reading Florida could get in on the action. Usually for Florida to get that cold we don't get much of it at all.

29 is forecasted where I live for just one night next week. I've seen those forecasts bust many times.

The worst of the severe weather tomorrow is expected to be well east of Texas. Just a slight risk here.

Latest mesoscale models are only showing isolated severe storms at best. 12Z EURO getting colder .🥶

don wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:45 pm Latest mesoscale models are only showing isolated severe storms at best. 12Z EURO getting colder .🥶

And that’s still way warmer than what the ICON and CMC have.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:48 pm

don wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:45 pm Latest mesoscale models are only showing isolated severe storms at best. 12Z EURO getting colder .🥶

And that’s still way warmer than what the ICON and CMC have.

Yikes! 🥶

Euro shows a winter storm setup, and its likely still too warm, but sheesh that CMC run is a doosy!🥶

Man I hope this is wrong!!!! How long is going to stay cold for?

Dls2010r wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:13 pm Man I hope this is wrong!!!! How long is going to stay cold for?

Way too early to say but it’s definitely not looking like a short duration event, I can tell you that much.