October 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: Sat Oct 28, 2023 2:17 pm Front is taking its sweet time
It probably won’t reach your area till about 7ish tomorrow evening.
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DoctorMu
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Front is nearing Waco - will probably arrive here around noon to 2 pm.

Halloween progged to be sunny.
Stratton20
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Im not sold on a sunny halloween yet, i think we will still l have lingering cloud cover and some showers around, keep that temperature from rising, the colder the better!
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Oct 28, 2023 8:02 pm Im not sold on a sunny halloween yet, i think we will still l have lingering cloud cover and some showers around, keep that temperature from rising, the colder the better!
I agree! Unfortunately I see a big warmup after the first week of November.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 I dont see anything abnormal, i see low 80’s at most for november, ridging is weak and mainly remains locked over the west coast, but beyond november I think above normal temps will be history ocne we get to december and beyond
Stratton20
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NAM 00z has highs in the upper 30’s for me monday with precipitation around, now thats my kind of weather! Nothing beats a chilly rain and cold temps!
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Oct 28, 2023 10:49 pm NAM 00z has highs in the upper 30’s for me monday with precipitation around, now thats my kind of weather! Nothing beats a chilly rain and cold temps!
Damn, fr? I looked earlier today and the NAM had temps rising into the 50’s Monday afternoon.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 yep the NAM keeps me in the upper 30’s, while the rest of se texas is in the 40’s, the places in the 50’s are extreme SE - East texas, makes sense, the further east you are, the more moderation of the airmass, since im a but more further NW than most folks on here, it makes sense that ill be a bit colder than other areas
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Oct 28, 2023 11:00 pm Cpv17 yep the NAM keeps me in the upper 30’s, while the rest of se texas is in the 40’s, the places in the 50’s are extreme SE - East texas, makes sense, the further east you are, the more moderation of the airmass, since im a but more further NW than most folks on here, it makes sense that ill be a bit colder than other areas
It has highs around 39-40°F for you and about 42-43°F for me on Monday. Sweet!!
brazoriatx
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Has the front even moved? It's been near Waco all day and all night lol and it's still there this morning
Pas_Bon
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brazoriatx wrote: Sun Oct 29, 2023 7:08 am Has the front even moved? It's been near Waco all day and all night lol and it's still there this morning
No
It is currently stalled out, but will get a nudge today.
TexasBreeze
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It is on the move south of Waco now looking at the low clouds on satellite.
Pas_Bon
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brazoriatx wrote: Sun Oct 29, 2023 7:08 am Has the front even moved? It's been near Waco all day and all night lol and it's still there this morning
Visiting the Gaines family
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DoctorMu
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brazoriatx wrote: Sun Oct 29, 2023 7:08 am Has the front even moved? It's been near Waco all day and all night lol and it's still there this morning
FROPA blasted through College Station just after 10 am. Earlier than expected. We went from 80°F to 66°F.


Everything will be earlier: rain, cold temps, and then clearing. Finally, warmup.

This is The Way.
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DoctorMu
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The front is currently along a La Grange to Navasota line, pushing SE. Movement is steady - maybe 20 mph.

FROPA should arrive in Houston around 7-8 pm?
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Oct 29, 2023 1:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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DoctorMu
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Thar's yer FROPA:

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

It's got a bit of a bulge
txsnowmaker
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Oct 29, 2023 12:53 pm The front is currently along a La Grange to Navasota line, pushing SE. Movement is steady - maybe 20 mph.

ROPA should arrive in Houston around 7-8 pm?
College Station is about 80 miles from metro Houston, so it should be here within 4 hours of having moved through College Station if it’s moving at around 20 mph, no?
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DoctorMu
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txsnowmaker wrote: Sun Oct 29, 2023 12:59 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Oct 29, 2023 12:53 pm The front is currently along a La Grange to Navasota line, pushing SE. Movement is steady - maybe 20 mph.

ROPA should arrive in Houston around 7-8 pm?
College Station is about 80 miles from metro Houston, so it should be here within 4 hours of having moved through College Station if it’s moving at around 20 mph, no?
Because the front has a bulge west of Houston, the rest of the line may catch up. 20 mph could be an overestimate. We'll see.
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DoctorMu
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Based upon Wundermap readings over the last hour - maybe 12-15 mph along Hwy 6.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Oct 29, 2023 1:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cpv17
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The direction of the coldest air is aimed more towards the western half of southeast Texas. If you’re east of 288 or 45 it won’t be as cold there.
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