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October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:55 am
by tireman4
The first truly fall month. Will it start hot, normal or cool? Will it rain? We shall see.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:17 am
by Cpv17
tireman4 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:55 am
The first truly fall month. Will it start hot, normal or cool? Will it rain? We shall see.
Watch for the potential of a pretty significant front mid to late October.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2023 12:07 pm
by Stratton20
Rainy and cooler than normal looks like a pretty good bet
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2023 5:56 pm
by DoctorMu
Word of the month: FROPA
Re: October 2023
Posted: Tue Sep 19, 2023 9:15 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Fall Severe Weather season engage!
Maybe some 30s/40s late month around Halloween
Re: October 2023
Posted: Tue Sep 19, 2023 9:27 pm
by Ptarmigan
El Nino in October is often wet. There have been floods.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Tue Sep 19, 2023 10:26 pm
by DoctorMu
Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Tue Sep 19, 2023 9:27 pm
El Nino in October is often wet. There have been floods.
Need an EPAC tropical system to feed the SJT firehose. Oct. 1994 (Hurricane Rosa remnants), for example.
https://abc13.com/river-fire-flood-san- ... o%20River.
https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs-073-94/pdf/FS-94-073.pdf
https://www.chron.com/neighborhood/arti ... 737148.php
Re: October 2023
Posted: Fri Sep 22, 2023 3:32 pm
by Cpv17
Rain chances on the rise as we enter October!
Re: October 2023
Posted: Sat Sep 23, 2023 2:46 pm
by DoctorMu
Around 100° around the Autumnal Equinox.
That's just wrong.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 25, 2023 6:31 pm
by Stratton20
Seeing some hints on the globals at our first real fall front around the 5th-7th timeframe in october, we will see
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 25, 2023 9:53 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 25, 2023 6:31 pm
Seeing some hints on the globals at our first real fall front around the 5th-7th timeframe in october, we will see
Just in time for the Bama game. 230 kick so let’s get some dry air and 80s….
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 25, 2023 10:13 pm
by Ptarmigan
Heavy rain next week? Too early to tell.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Mon Sep 25, 2023 10:14 pm
by Cpv17
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Sep 25, 2023 9:53 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 25, 2023 6:31 pm
Seeing some hints on the globals at our first real fall front around the 5th-7th timeframe in october, we will see
Just in time for the Bama game. 230 kick so let’s get some dry air and 80s….
I’ll be there again!
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 12:43 pm
by Stratton20
gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:08 pm
by Pas_Bon
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Sep 27, 2023 12:43 pm
gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw
Even though you’re an eaTme fan, I thank you for this information.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:14 pm
by Cpv17
Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:08 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Sep 27, 2023 12:43 pm
gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw
Even though you’re an eaTme fan, I thank you for this information.
I plan on going to the A&M vs LSU game in Baton Rouge at the end of the season. I hope it’s a night game so I can get the full experience of that crazy atmosphere.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:25 pm
by Stratton20
Now the Euro is starting to see a potential stronger fall front at the end of its run, we shall see
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 7:42 pm
by Pas_Bon
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:14 pm
Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:08 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Sep 27, 2023 12:43 pm
gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw
Even though you’re an eaTme fan, I thank you for this information.
I plan on going to the A&M vs LSU game in Baton Rouge at the end of the season. I hope it’s a night game so I can get the full experience of that crazy atmosphere.
It will be an experience you will not forget.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 9:46 pm
by Ptarmigan
Shifting pattern in the horizon for the North Pacific? A more El Nino pattern?
Re: October 2023
Posted: Wed Sep 27, 2023 9:51 pm
by Ptarmigan
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Negative-Warm water around Japan. Cool water off the West Coast of America.
Positive-Cool water around Japan. Warm water off the West Coast of America.
PDO does have an affect similar to El Nino or La Nina.
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/pdo/
We are currently in negative PDO. Strong El Nino can drive PDO into positive territory.