August 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Will be unusually hot? Cooler than normal? Tropical mischief?
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GBinGrimes
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Anything that brings a good, soaking rain. The pasture ground is cracking as bad as I've seen it in the 11 years we've been out here, and we've had good spring rains and caught a few of the last rounds. The air just seems to be sucking all the moisture out of everything.

At least it's mid July and September is in sight. But still have August to get through.
Cpv17
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I’m seeing the potential for some rain and some tropical action as we enter August.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 23, 2023 3:10 pm I’m seeing the potential for some rain and some tropical action as we enter August.
I’d take an 18 inch TS spinning over CoCo in August.
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Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 7:50 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 23, 2023 3:10 pm I’m seeing the potential for some rain and some tropical action as we enter August.
I’d take an 18 inch TS spinning over CoCo in August.
Me and you both.
Stratton20
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Id take a tropical storm, but maybe not 18 inches haha
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Ptarmigan
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 23, 2023 3:10 pm I’m seeing the potential for some rain and some tropical action as we enter August.
August is when things pick up. I say bring on the rain.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Probably going to have to wait until week 2 of August for liquid gold, if then.
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sambucol
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I read Chambers County is in severe drought. We need rain. But not flooding rain.
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DoctorMu
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It probably won't rain again until we return from Minnesota.
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captainbarbossa19
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August weather is usually brutal in the first half. After that, anything could definitely happen. I never trust a ridge even if it sits in one position for a whole summer.
Pas_Bon
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August weather is here. I already hate it. Good news is that it's almost September, which means it's almost October, which means Yay.
user:null
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The models are flipflopping too much in a rather short (6-7 day) range. Always the same bias with the eastern trough: I notice the difference in the weakness location between the 12zGFS and the respective GEFS (for now). Not to mention the supposedly growing El Nino signatures, which should not be favoring subtropical ridges as depicted in some runs as of late.
Stratton20
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I like the 18z GFS run, that would be so great for the whole state, ridging stays off to the west and we get a steady continuous flow of moisture into the region,
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snowman65
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anyone remember a hotter summer than this? I dont.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:37 pm anyone remember a hotter summer than this? I dont.
Yes, 1980 (wasn't alive yet) and 2011.
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user:null
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:37 pm anyone remember a hotter summer than this? I dont.
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:47 pmYes, 1980 (wasn't alive yet) and 2011.
Yea, last year's summer was also hotter than this one, at least looking from May through July. But this summer could stay under, match, or even surpass last year, depending on what happens this August.
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Ptarmigan
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:37 pm anyone remember a hotter summer than this? I dont.
1980, 1998, 2000, 2009, and 2011.

It also got hot in 1902, 1906, 1907, 1909, and 1962.

It reached a high of 108°F on August 18, 1909. It is the hottest prior to 2000 and 2011.

It had reached 100 in the summer of 1884, following Krakatoa eruption in 1883. Houston June to August 1884 weather. The data has high temperature, low temperature, and rainfall.
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/search ... -summaries

Code: Select all

1884-06-01	0	88	66
1884-06-02	0	91	66
1884-06-03	0.38	94	70
1884-06-04	2.6	79	68
1884-06-05	0	86	64
1884-06-06	0	89	67
1884-06-07	0	92	69
1884-06-08	0	95	67
1884-06-09	0	97	71
1884-06-10	0	95	74
1884-06-11	0	93	67
1884-06-12	0	98	70
1884-06-13	0.02	95	71
1884-06-14	0	96	74
1884-06-15	0	92	70
1884-06-16	0	96	70
1884-06-17	0.42	91	68
1884-06-18	0	89	71
1884-06-19	0.13	88	72
1884-06-20	0	87	70
1884-06-21	0.22	88	68
1884-06-22	0	91	69
1884-06-23	0	96	66
1884-06-24	0	96	68
1884-06-25	0	98	71
1884-06-26	0.14	94	70
1884-06-27	0.01	96	71
1884-06-28	0.38	97	69
1884-06-29	0	94	71
1884-06-30	0	94	72
1884-07-01	0	94	73
1884-07-02	0	98	73
1884-07-03	0.38	100	74
1884-07-04	0	95	70
1884-07-05	0	99	72
1884-07-06	0	100	72
1884-07-07	0	101	72
1884-07-08	0	100	77
1884-07-09	0	101	76
1884-07-10	0	102	74
1884-07-11	0	99	79
1884-07-12	0	98	74
1884-07-13	1.17	95	75
1884-07-14	0.06	99	76
1884-07-15	0	98	78
1884-07-16	0	99	75
1884-07-17	0	97	74
1884-07-18	0	99	77
1884-07-19	0	100	73
1884-07-20	0	98	74
1884-07-21	0	97	75
1884-07-22	0	97	71
1884-07-23	0	98	73
1884-07-24	0	98	76
1884-07-25	0	99	75
1884-07-26	0	99	73
1884-07-27	0	100	74
1884-07-28	0	100	74
1884-07-29	0	101	75
1884-07-30	0	99	76
1884-07-31		100	75
1884-08-01	0	98	96
1884-08-02	0	97	75
1884-08-03	0	99	74
1884-08-04	0	95	75
1884-08-05	0.22	93	72
1884-08-06	0	98	71
1884-08-07	0	92	69
1884-08-08	0	92	64
1884-08-09	0	99	69
1884-08-10	0	95	69
1884-08-11	0	92	69
1884-08-12	0	95	65
1884-08-13	0	95	67
1884-08-14	0	96	71
1884-08-15	0	96	71
1884-08-16	0.6	93	70
1884-08-17	0	95	70
1884-08-18	0	95	69
1884-08-19	0.01	93	72
1884-08-20	0.04	95	72
1884-08-21	0	94	70
1884-08-22	0.46	90	71
1884-08-23	0	93	71
1884-08-24	0	96	70
1884-08-25	0	97	70
1884-08-26	0	95	70
1884-08-27	0	95	70
1884-08-28	0	97	68
1884-08-29	0	100	71
1884-08-30	0	101	72
1884-08-31		93	63
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DoctorMu
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user:null wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 8:51 pm
snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:37 pm anyone remember a hotter summer than this? I dont.
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:47 pmYes, 1980 (wasn't alive yet) and 2011.
Yea, last year's summer was also hotter than this one, at least looking from May through July. But this summer could stay under, match, or even surpass last year, depending on what happens this August.
In CLL - it's close. In 2011 the heat started earlier, but it this year might be hotter now....just looked - June was cooler this year (first half of June) but July was hotter than last year. Since Jun 15 - at least as hot or hotter than 2011 and last year.
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DoctorMu
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Today:
Hi 106°F
Lo 80°F

2022:
Hi 102°F
Lo 78°F

2011
Hi 104°F
Lo 79°F

2011 had a dry Spring. Everything burned. Trees died.
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