July 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cromagnum
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Cpv17 wrote: Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:01 pm All I got here was a couple light to moderate showers that only lasted a couple minutes. Just enough to make the ground wet that’s it. Same thing yesterday too.
Yeah. I'm not buying tomorrow's forecast about 1-2 inches of rain either.
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DoctorMu
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A nice seabreeze again. I also expect this one to crash and burn at the Brazos Co. line.

A better chance of rain tomorrow and Thursday in CLL. A roll of the dice.
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DoctorMu
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Rain within 5 miles of my backyard. Hosed again.

We had a short window of 30-40% tomorrow and Thursday in CLL for precip.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:10 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:01 pm All I got here was a couple light to moderate showers that only lasted a couple minutes. Just enough to make the ground wet that’s it. Same thing yesterday too.
Yeah. I'm not buying tomorrow's forecast about 1-2 inches of rain either.
NWS upped our chances to 40-50%

70-80% in HOU.

I'm dubious.
Stratton20
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Hope yall get some rain this week, because looking ahead, the death ridge re establishes itself over the state and probably for a good chunk of july, triple digit heat looking likely again
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don
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For those that haven't received any rain yet,Thursday could be interesting with a higher coverage of storms.As a surge of tropical moisture moves in.Looks like the high rain chances Thursday (80% here) by HGX may end up verifying if the trend continues.😉
Screenshot 2023-07-04 at 18-21-57 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
moves in.
Screenshot 2023-07-04 at 18-21-34 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_spcus_49.png
user:null
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Yea, tomorrow and especially Thursday are looking rather active. Plenty of time through the week for model watching and hoping for better trends regarding any possible heatwave setups.
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Rip76
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I’m thinking tomorrow and Thursday may verify.
Fingers crossed, but it seems plausible.
Pas_Bon
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Thursday will be a gully-washer
Stratton20
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man wish that GFS run would verify, has a decent cold front around the 14th
Cpv17
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The HRRR doesn’t have much of anything going on today. All the action on that model pretty much stays out in the Gulf.
Cromagnum
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Struck gold with a little streamer shower for about (an hour, updated) now.
Last edited by Cromagnum on Wed Jul 05, 2023 10:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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jasons2k
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Yesterday worked out. After a brief sprinkle and some thunder, everything moved off and we had a great afternoon and evening.

Looking forward to the fireworks from Mother Nature. Looks like a nice shot for storms today and tomorrow.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Jul 05, 2023 10:25 am Yesterday worked out. After a brief sprinkle and some thunder, everything moved off and we had a great afternoon and evening.

Looking forward to the fireworks from Mother Nature. Looks like a nice shot for storms today and tomorrow.
The seabreeze is setting up early.

We have a chance up in the NW territories...
Cromagnum
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That little streamer 3arlier dumped 1.5 inches on me, and the ground already feels dry. Probably went in all the cracks.
Stratton20
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Nice big blob of convection in the Western Gulf Of mexico, if conditions were favorable id definitely be watching this more closely for development, though hope it moves north to give us an even better shot for rain
user:null
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The radar suddenly is so lifeless after the nice surge of showers earlier in the morning?
Last edited by user:null on Wed Jul 05, 2023 1:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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DoctorMu
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Some mini-showers around us but nothing at home.

NOAA still has it as a coin flip today and tomorrow for rain...
user:null
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed Jul 05, 2023 12:43 pm That little streamer 3arlier dumped 1.5 inches on me, and the ground already feels dry. Probably went in all the cracks.
You actually got 1.5, or was that a typo. If the former then good, because this otherwise looks to be another failed day if nothing happens between now and say 5/6PM
Cromagnum
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user:null wrote: Wed Jul 05, 2023 2:59 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Wed Jul 05, 2023 12:43 pm That little streamer 3arlier dumped 1.5 inches on me, and the ground already feels dry. Probably went in all the cracks.
You actually got 1.5, or was that a typo. If the former then good, because this otherwise looks to be another failed day if nothing happens between now and say 5/6PM
Actually got 1.5. It rained hard for about an hour thankfully.
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