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The worst part of losing the NW flow is not just the increase in temps, but surging dewpoints from the 60s into the 70s.

Yech.

At least there's a little hope for this evening...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2023

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 262 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-093-099-113-139-143-145-161-185-
193-213-217-221-225-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-331-333-347-349-
367-373-395-397-403-405-407-423-425-439-455-467-471-110300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0262.230610T1935Z-230611T0300Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL
DALLAS ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE MADISON MCLENNAN
MILAM MILLS NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO PARKER POLK
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SMITH
SOMERVELL TARRANT TRINITY
VAN ZANDT WALKER
$$


ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...SHV...

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jun 10, 2023 3:17 pm The worst part of losing the NW flow is not just the increase in temps, but surging dewpoints from the 60s into the 70s.

Yech.

It’ll be alright. Like I said, I don’t think it’ll be permanent. I’ve seen too many indicators to make me believe that.

Seeing weather youtube channels making videos about the GFS tropical “ trouble” stuff, oh boy let the fear mongering commence folks!

Well the NWS went for it and upped our rain chances to 70%.

I love it.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sat Jun 10, 2023 5:37 pm Well the NWS went for it and upped our rain chances to 70%.

I love it.

Same for us. I'm going to pic up some 30% Nitrogen, 2% iron fertilizer, lay it down and :pray.

Praying here too.. watch just extended southward to the coast

Severe Thunderstorm Watch
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 264
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2023

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC015-039-041-051-071-157-167-185-199-201-241-245-291-339-351-
361-471-473-477-110600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0264.230611T0110Z-230611T0600Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON GRIMES HARDIN
HARRIS JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MONTGOMERY NEWTON
ORANGE WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON
$$

Mega, mega outflow 50 mph gusts, cool air just a few minutes ago. We're now likely screwed for rain, especially since I put fertilizer down. It appears that the mesos nailed it. Almost all of the energy is east of here.

The Aggiedome appears to have set up a wall at the Brazos Co. line. There's the slightest chance the more northern line will provide some rain, but it will probably jump and reform south.

davidiowx wrote: ↑Sat Jun 10, 2023 8:35 pm Praying here too.. watch just extended southward to the coast

Severe Thunderstorm Watch
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 264
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2023

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC015-039-041-051-071-157-167-185-199-201-241-245-291-339-351-
361-471-473-477-110600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0264.230611T0110Z-230611T0600Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON GRIMES HARDIN
HARRIS JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MONTGOMERY NEWTON
ORANGE WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON
$$

North Cleveland and Conroe are about to get hammered. Then The Woodlands...

MCS moving through SE Texas

Yea seeing that outflow on radar DoctorMu. Nothing worse than watching these come in and an outflow races out in front. Hoping something pops as it gets closer down here. Guess we’ll find out in the next hour or so

Beaumont looking at tennis ball-sized hail coming through right now

Wow that wind was intense!! Definitely over TS force. I had several things blown over. I hope we get a payoff with rain!

Busy day for me today,didn't even realize there was an enhanced risk issued.

Blowin’ hard in the Woodlands.

Power flickering

Power is out in Beaumont. Winds gusting 60-70 with torrential rain and bad lighting. You in Houston may get a wake up call soon.

Firing up near College Station too.

Power is out just about everywhere in Jefferson county and Beaumont. This is an intense cell. Wont back down. Street is flooded. Hail about 10min ago. Solid heavy rain for 40min and still ongoing.

Everything is going to be off to the east of me, lovely, big fat nothing burger in katy

Looks like I45 is the cutoff