Wx Infinity Forums

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:57 am**

I know it’s trash but the rain chances on TWC app are no better than the last 2,3,4,5 heck I lost count the number of “moisture surges” promising rain this summer, starting with El Busto the last week of June.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 8:43 am**

Woo hoo. I see 80-90% coverage of rain starting today thru Saturday for the triangle. Hadn’t seen those percentages since our blob in the gulf. QPF looks good for Houston as well. Hopefully we ALL get something beneficial between now and Sunday. Fingers crossed!

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 9:10 am**

djmike wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 8:43 am Woo hoo. I see 80-90% coverage of rain starting today thru Saturday for the triangle. Hadn’t seen those percentages since our blob in the gulf. QPF looks good for Houston as well. Hopefully we ALL get something beneficial between now and Sunday. Fingers crossed!

The rich get richer...

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 10:49 am**

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 9:10 am
djmike wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 8:43 am Woo hoo. I see 80-90% coverage of rain starting today thru Saturday for the triangle. Hadn’t seen those percentages since our blob in the gulf. QPF looks good for Houston as well. Hopefully we ALL get something beneficial between now and Sunday. Fingers crossed!
The rich get richer...

50%~80% for Houston now thru Saturday according to NWS. So thats not too shabby for yall either.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 10:51 am**

12z ICON now shows a weak tropical system after the passage of the weak front this weekend fwiw

Edit: The 12z NAM now shows possible tropical cyclogenisis as well
Regardless of any development this weekend is our best shot at rain, its either bust or feast, no in between!

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 11:17 am**

30-60% chance of rain here through Friday night. About as good as it gets around here in mid August.

Without a tropical system...

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 12:13 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 10:51 am 12z ICON now shows a weak tropical system after the passage of the weak front this weekend fwiw

Edit: The 12z NAM now shows possible tropical cyclogenisis as well
Regardless of any development this weekend is our best shot at rain, its either bust or feast, no in between!

Seems like a carbon copy of our earlier busticane.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 12:50 pm**

Man i woke up this morning to 50% chance of rain today on my TWC ap and saw a quick twitter by KHOU and now I'm looking at my radar and seeing nothing.... and my chance has dropped to 15% for the day.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:16 pm**

djmike wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 8:43 am Woo hoo. I see 80-90% coverage of rain starting today thru Saturday for the triangle. Hadn’t seen those percentages since our blob in the gulf. QPF looks good for Houston as well. Hopefully we ALL get something beneficial between now and Sunday. Fingers crossed!

And just like that, Im having a hard time catching a break to mow LOL

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:21 pm**

The chance of rain will be approaching from the north, not the south, folks. I still expected the boundary to run out of steam when it hits College Station.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:52 pm**

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 9:10 am
djmike wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 8:43 am Woo hoo. I see 80-90% coverage of rain starting today thru Saturday for the triangle. Hadn’t seen those percentages since our blob in the gulf. QPF looks good for Houston as well. Hopefully we ALL get something beneficial between now and Sunday. Fingers crossed!
The rich get richer...

I say Houston annexes the Triangle and moves it all here.....we need to import their rain.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:09 pm**

The latest HRRR run literally donut holes Fort Bend County.. Almost hilarious as this point.. Nice band of rain for everyone but Ft Bend.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:21 pm**

davidiowx wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:09 pm The latest HRRR run literally donut holes Fort Bend County.. Almost hilarious as this point.. Nice band of rain for everyone but Ft Bend.

That's what they get for all the bad stuff they do all the time.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:39 pm**

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:21 pm The chance of rain will be approaching from the north, not the south, folks. I still expected the boundary to run out of steam when it hits College Station.

That’s the problem for me. The sea breeze is going to re-stabilize things before it gets here. I’ll believe it’s gonna rain IMBY when there’s something besides dust and pine needles in my rain gauge.

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:44 pm**

Umm hmm. Kicking the can.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1259 PM CDT Wed Aug 10 2022

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...
Storms...convection...have struggled to develop this morning due to mid level dry air inhibiting deeper updrafts. Looks like best chance of thunderstorms will be with boundary due to pass from north to south across the area later this afternoon and evening.
Latest HRRR and model trends suggest we may see a fairly solid
line cross from N to S between about 21Z and 03Z. Based on this
carrying window of VCTS at TAF sites to highlight this feature...but expect will update to include a tempo group once line has been established and have increased confidence in timing and location. Might see such and update within next few hours.

Reilly

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:17 pm**

12z Euro QPF over the next 10 days looks amazing for a good portion of SE Texas, widespread 2-5 inches!

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:20 pm**

TWC app is janky.
Rain chances today: 0%
Rain chances in hourly forecast: 90% at 9pm.

Whatever…

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:34 pm**

A Major pattern change is coming, the death ridge pattern is going bye bye

i havent seen the outlooks thus good in forever it seems!

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:46 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:34 pm A Major pattern change is coming, the death ridge pattern is going bye bye i havent seen the outlooks thus good in forever it seems!

https://youtu.be/_nVk25ZvTkU

Posted: **Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:26 pm**

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:20 pm TWC app is janky.
Rain chances today: 0%
Rain chances in hourly forecast: 90% at 9pm.

Whatever…

And now it shows 100% for today.
Hourly shows 100% at 9pm and 10pm.

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