Remnants of Hermine

[ticka1]

Looks like most of the rain is on the west side. Will the rain move more east today? If its moving NNW - I don't think it will.

[srainhoutx]

Join us in the main Weather Forum for discussions regarding the flood potential and severe weather threat we could see locally from Hermine...svrwx0503 has put together a Topic there for us...

http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=396

[biggerbyte]

Has anyone else noticed this is moving ne now. If this continues, it would pass just a couple of counties nw of here.

[Scott747]

Well Andrew here is all that rain you wanted.

Didn't quite ride up the 77 but just enough to the E of the forecasted track that it's really going to but our area under the gun with rain. Never really had a chance to get back over the water though it has maintained a impressive circulation.

When you get a chance if you can throw up a image or two. Don't see landcanes that often this late after landfall.

[biggerbyte]

I'm watching radar only ATM. My eyes still have sleep in them, but I was shocked to see that nnw movement had left us again. I said ne a minute ago. It may be nne, but you get the picture. I'll wipe my eyes and get it right. At any rate, we need to get a handle on this today, as the NHC forecast movement is way, way off.

[Andrew]

Well Andrew here is all that rain you wanted.

Didn't quite ride up the 77 but just enough to the E of the forecasted track that it's really going to but our area under the gun with rain. Never really had a chance to get back over the water though it has maintained a impressive circulation.

When you get a chance if you can throw up a image or two. Don't see landcanes that often this late after landfall.

Yew unfortuantly you were right. I wont be able to put up images until 2 or so when I get home. Right now I am on my cell. I do hope to have a website and publish it on there though for 24/7 access

[biggerbyte]

A due north heading now. Radar showed a easterly component earlier. This wobbling, if you want to call it that, has been common with this system. The old saying, it ain't over 'till it's over, really applies here. What a difference even just one day can make with respect to forecasting a tropical system.

[don]

We just had winds of over 60mph in San Antonio i even saw a tree fall down its amazing how this Tropical Storm has maintained its strength even though yesterday looking at the models they sort of hinted at it maintaining its strength due to the structure remaining intact further inland that they showed.

[Scott747]

Just don't see tropical systems maintain this kind of organization for this long given it was only a high end TS at landfall.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITY DATA INDICATE THAT
HERMINE IS STILL PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. THEREFORE...HERMINE REMAINS CLASSIFIED AS A
TROPICAL STORM WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT. DESPITE
BEING WELL INLAND..

Heading continues to be N with more of NNW heading over the last few hours.. No eastern movement as yet but should see some over the next 12 hours, though by that time it should have less influence on our weather.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/16...AND THE CENTER IS SLIGHTLY
TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THEN TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES.

[srainhoutx]

000
WTNT35 KWNH 081444
TCPAT5

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 11 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL102010
1000 AM CDT WED SEP 08 2010

...HERMINE BRINGING FLOODING RAINS FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TO NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 99.1W
ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...W OF DALLAS/FT WORTH TEXAS.
ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...SSW OF WICHITA FALLS/SHEP TEXAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 24 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...NORTHWARD ACROSS
OKLAHOMA...AND EASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 99.1
WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN
AS IT TRACKS NORTHWARD ACROSS TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO SIX
INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHWARD TO
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
MOUNTAIN HOME 5.8 NE 5.25
LAMAR 5.7 NNE 2.20
CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N 2.20
MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW 2.12
HARRISON 5.4 SW 2.02

...OKLAHOMA...
EUFAULA 4.6 ENE 2.19

...TEXAS...
GEORGETOWN 2.5 NE 13.20
CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE 12.99
ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW 12.71
JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW 12.23
KILLEEN 2.9 SSW 11.66
LEANDER 1.0 SSE 11.62
AUSTIN 10.7 N 11.48
WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW 11.08
WELLS BRANCH 0.3 WNW 11.00
BRUSHY CREEK 2.3 SW 11.00
FORT HOOD AAF/KILLEEN 10.72
ANDICE 1.6 SW 10.21
JARRELL 0.3 S 10.20
ROUND ROCK 3.0 N 10.05
FORT WORTH 11.8 NW 6.84
SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT 6.73
HOUSTON 1.4 NE 4.47


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 08/1500Z 32.9N 99.1W
12HR VT 09/0000Z 34.9N 98.9W
24HR VT 09/1200Z 37.5N 97.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 10/0000Z 38.8N 94.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL
!$$