Damn crazy uncle! Lol it could happen though in all seriousness.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 10:58 am CMC puts us in the ICE age lol thats a brutally cold run for se texas
Long range model discussion
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Cpv17 and then the GFS barely shows anything
I think we know who is fighting a losing battle here in the model world lol
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That's the thing the cold is too cold- makes it a dry cold.
Until the models agree and settle, moods on s2k will be very unsettled! They were happy yesterday then sad this morning there!
Until the models agree and settle, moods on s2k will be very unsettled! They were happy yesterday then sad this morning there!
Give me temps in the mid to upper 20’s with snow vs temps in the teens with no snow. That’s for dang sure lolTexasBreeze wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 11:14 am That's the thing the cold is too cold- makes it a dry cold.
Until the models agree and settle, moods on s2k will be very unsettled! They were happy yesterday then sad this morning there!
With all the meteorological extremes we have seen in the last, say, 10-20 years, not much would shock me, but seeing a forecast calling for temps to beCpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 4:22 pm This is interesting…
https://x.com/ryanmaue/status/174331348 ... _m1NXPw4Cg
Not real sure how to perceive this…
FIFTY to SEVENTY degrees lower than climatological average (especially in the Rockies) has me very leery about the accuracy of said modeling in this particular case.
I think in this case it could be a possibility if a lobe of the PV actually does head that direction. But I know what you mean. It’s hard to believe. Some of the model runs I’ve seen have had parts of MT approaching -80°F.Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Mon Jan 08, 2024 8:58 amWith all the meteorological extremes we have seen in the last, say, 10-20 years, not much would shock me, but seeing a forecast calling for temps to beCpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 4:22 pm This is interesting…
https://x.com/ryanmaue/status/174331348 ... _m1NXPw4Cg
Not real sure how to perceive this…
FIFTY to SEVENTY degrees lower than climatological average (especially in the Rockies) has me very leery about the accuracy of said modeling in this particular case.
The 6z GFS has wintry precip all the way down to the RGV in about 10-11 days. Interesting run.
Look for an ULL or coastal low around Jan 18 to pull a potential surprise if the cold air lingers.
Canadian still being Canadian...
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2024011012/gem_T2m_us_25.png)
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2024011012/gem_T2m_us_25.png)
Props to CMC for hanging in there until the bitter end.
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2024011212/gem_T2m_us_21.png)
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2024011212/gem_T2m_us_21.png)
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The 21-22nd is looking interesting on guidance as well
I’ve been trying to tell y’all this lol
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Cpv17 oh no ive been seeing it, i just figured we keep it quiet until the first event is over lol
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Really aggressive signal from the GEPS lol
For which region?
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Harp1 Texas, but take it with a grain of salt, its 8-9 days out lol
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Brief relaxation period after this , pattern looks to reload as the ridge reestablishes itself over alaska in the 11-16 day period, looks like end of january into all of February looks very cold
I’m already looking forward to that. This current system is dead boring news to me already.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 12:44 pm Brief relaxation period after this , pattern looks to reload as the ridge reestablishes itself over alaska in the 11-16 day period, looks like end of january into all of February looks very cold
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