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Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 7:39 am
by Stratton20
00z Euro wow

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 7:57 am
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 7:39 am 00z Euro wow
If we can get that low to dig about another 100-150 miles more south then we’re in business. So close!!

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 7:58 am
by Stratton20
Cpv17 its definitely trending closer, would be a nasty sleet storm for my area though

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:18 am
by Kingwood36
Ehh..you can keep the ice

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:43 am
by Iceresistance
KFOR for Next Week has really got me concerned.

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Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:45 am
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:18 am Ehh..you can keep the ice
That’s why I said it needs to dig further south.

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:19 am
by Stratton20
I really am liking the pattern im seeing through hour 300 on the GFS, Jet stream buckles south and allows multiple storm systems to pass through Texas with some arctic air, definitely looking like a favorable pattern for some wintry mischief down the road

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:20 am
by Cpv17
My Weatherbug app has my down for a 70% chance of a rain/snow mix for next Wednesday night.

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:31 am
by Stratton20
12z CMC putting us in the Ice Box next week, also shows a winter storm forming fwiw🥶🥶

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:34 am
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:31 am 12z CMC putting us in the Ice Box next week, also shows a winter storm forming fwiw🥶🥶
RUN

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Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:49 am
by mcheer23
Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:31 am 12z CMC putting us in the Ice Box next week, also shows a winter storm forming fwiw🥶🥶
Yup both 00Z EURO and 12z CMC suggest a winter storm may form next week with gnarly ice accumulations.
Good thing it's just a model run. Take these with a grain of salt for right now.

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 1:08 pm
by mcheer23
12z EURO

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 1:25 pm
by Stratton20
That is a crazy run by the euro!😱😱

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 2:10 pm
by mcheer23
Well well well....

Re: February 2022

Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 4:51 pm
by Stratton20
The 18z GFS FWIW has trended toward the Euro and CMC solutions with a winter storm in Texas, obviously where this will occur remains to be seen but with all 3 major global models on board, its very interesting

Re: February 2022

Posted: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:49 am
by Cpv17
Not a good run by the 0z Euro and 6z GFS if you want winter weather. Hopefully they’ll come back around. We really need this low to dig deeper into Mexico and deepen a lot before ejecting or else Texas might not get much of anything.

Re: February 2022

Posted: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:52 am
by Stratton20
CPV17 well some of the GEFS members say otherwise, im not putting much stock into the global models right now until i see some consistency , the mesocale models will also be important when they get into range of this storm system

Re: February 2022

Posted: Thu Jan 27, 2022 9:06 am
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:52 am CPV17 well some of the GEFS members say otherwise, im not putting much stock into the global models right now until i see some consistency , the mesocale models will also be important when they get into range of this storm system
I wouldn’t bank on anything happening.

Re: February 2022

Posted: Thu Jan 27, 2022 10:21 am
by mcheer23
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 9:06 am
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:52 am CPV17 well some of the GEFS members say otherwise, im not putting much stock into the global models right now until i see some consistency , the mesocale models will also be important when they get into range of this storm system
I wouldn’t bank on anything happening.
I agree. We'll see how it plays out, as of now the Houston area is getting winter precip on about 6 of the 30 GEFS members.

Re: February 2022

Posted: Thu Jan 27, 2022 11:42 am
by mcheer23
GEFS support doubled, it now has about 12 members (of 30) showing winter precip.