January 2022

[Kingwood36]

Oh my how the tables have turned getting a nice snow shower here in CS

And you threw in the towel a day ago lol

[Cromagnum]

44 degrees here. It's not going to do squat south of I10

[Stratton20]

Kingwood36 lol

[Kingwood36]

44 degrees here. It's not going to do squat south of I10

38 here and light rain in angleton

[Cpv17]

44 degrees here. It's not going to do squat south of I10

33° here.

[Kingwood36]

Looking like a bust for South of i10 that didn't age well

[Stratton20]

Yep south of i-10 probably wont see anything frozen, looking on radar the precipitation is beginning to weaken and fizzle

[davidiowx]

Y’all funny. Glad you got a few flurries up North!

[DoctorMu]

Sooooo everything is north of I-10 ..they said it would be south of I-10...goes to show ya..it does what it wants to do regardless of what models say

The Hwy 1*5 side of the Force is strong.

[DoctorMu]

This system has definitely overachieved, got a moderate sleet/snow mix in my area rn

Same for us. No accumulation, though. DP a super dry 15°F.

[Cromagnum]

What happend to this being a South of I 10 event

That was full of crap from the get go. You can't snow where it's 10 degrees warmer than areas north of I10. It's still 40 imby.

[Cpv17]

What happend to this being a South of I 10 event

That was full of crap from the get go. You can't snow where it's 10 degrees warmer than areas north of I10. It's still 40 imby.

I’m south of I-10 and have been in the mid 30’s all day and at 33° now. There’s cooler air south of 10 but it’s confined to the western parts of the viewing area.

[Kingwood36]

Hgx botched this one lol it happens

[djmike]

Nothing in Beaumont. To my knowledge. If it did it would have been about 2-3am and im not staying up that late to see a LOW 20% possibility of 1-2 sleet pellets falling. . Hope yall had more excitement than us. Other than that it will be another COLD day with a high of 43 in Beaumont. Bundle up. Actually put my long johns on under my work clothes. Lol

[Cromagnum]

Womp womp.

[Cpv17]

Made it down to 31° with a wind chill of 20°.

[tireman4]

Good morning all. Chilly day today. I think this will be the first of many events in which P-Type will make it an interesting Winter.

[tireman4]

000
FXUS64 KHGX 211046
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
446 AM CST Fri Jan 21 2022

.SHORT TERM [Today Through Tomorrow/Saturday Night]...

Current radar trends are indicating that the bulk of the more organ-
ized/strongest precipitation has moved off to the east this morning.
All of this activity is expected to continue tracking east and south
of the CWA through the rest of the morning with skies clearing (from
the north to south) by this afternoon. Even with the sun, the strong
north winds today should keep highs this afternoon in the upper 40s/
around 50. As strong surface high pressure builds down into the area
tonight, optimal radiational cooling conditions (light to calm winds
and clear skies) are forecast. Very cold temperatures are progged as
lows range from the mid/upper 20s over our northern/central counties
to the lower 30s for the Houston metro and coastal counties...to the
upper 30s/lower 40 along the beaches. Locations north of the Houston
metro could see from 5 to 7 hours of freezing to below freezing temp-
eratures overnight. A Hard Freeze Warning may be needed for portions
of the CWA tonight if this forecast holds.

This dry/cold/quiet weather pattern should hold through tomorrow/Sat
night as the surface high lingers over the region. Temperatures will
be warming a bit tomorrow (highs in the 50s) but lows tomorrow night
are still expected drop to freezing/below freezing over the northern
half of the CWA (mid/upper 30s south and lower 40s at the coast). 41


&&

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Friday]...

Sunday starts out on the cold side with surface high pressure right
over the area. High temperatures should struggle to top 60 degrees
at most locations. The weather stays quiet until surface low pressure
forms along the Texas coastal trough at the end of the weekend and
moves to the north then northeast near our coast. Increasing instability
develops with this low while a strong shortwave approaches from the
west, and this will lead to rain and rain shower development along
with some potential for shower and thunderstorm development, some
of which might be able to become strong and/or severe. All of Southeast
Texas will get wet beginning late Sunday night or Monday morning,
peaking on Monday and Monday evening, and coming to an end from
west to east late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. At
this time, the highest rainfall amounts and potentially strong/severe
storms look to set up in the Gulf (potential too low per SPC`s
Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook); however, if the surface low was to
edge just a little bit closer to the coast or even inland, this rainfall
axis and stronger storm potential could edge inland. Will continue
to advertise showers and thunderstorms in the forecast, but this could
very well end up just being a rain/shower event if the lows stays
offshore. Once we get this system off to our east, expect a cold
front to move through the area some time around a Tuesday/Tuesday
night time period. Periods of lingering clouds are anticipated for
the remainder of the long term period.

Highs mostly in the 50s/60s and lows mostly in the 30s/40s can be
expected for much of next week.

42

&&

.MARINE...

Gradually decreasing north winds can be expected today, but seas
will be slower to recede. Area will see Small Craft Advisories
lower to Caution as the remainder of the day progresses. Light to
moderate northeast winds can be expected through the upcoming
weekend. A coastal low pressure system is expected to develop
along the mid to upper Texas coast on Monday. Building winds and
seas are anticipated Monday with periods of showers and thunderstorms
into Monday night as the low pressure system strengthens and tracks
eastward. A cold front should push into the waters Tuesday in the
wake of this storm system. Increasing northeast winds and building
seas can be expected around midweek.

42

&&

.AVIATION [12Z TAF Issuance]...

Will continue with the mainly VFR forecast as precipitation moves E/
S of the area. However, will likely keep with the mention of VCSH at
GLS and LBX for the first couple of hours of the 12Z next package as
activity lingers over the nearshore/Gulf waters. Otherwise, clearing
skies are expected through the afternoon (from north to south) as we
continue with the strong CAA (north winds 15 to 20 knots and gusty).
Winds should decrease tonight as high pressure moves into the state.
41

&&

.CLIMATE...

January`s rainfall total so far for the City of Houston stands at
8.29 inches which is 5.84 inches above normal. This makes this
period the second wettest Jan. 1-20th on record, with records
dating back to 1889 (First place is 9.23 inches in 1991).

The 8.29 inches currently stands as the 7th wettest January on
record. The wettest January on record is 13.11 inches in 1891.

On an average year, the City of Houston does not reach 8.29 inches
until March 14th.

42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 49 27 54 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 48 30 53 34 58 / 10 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 49 38 53 43 57 / 30 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for the following
zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to
Freeport TX out 20 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for the
following zones: Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to
Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

[cperk]

The long range 6Z GFS is interesting hour 384.

[Iceresistance]

The long range 6Z GFS is interesting hour 384.

That's in February