February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ted
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75 here in Galveston County...
biggerbyte
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True that.
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Rip76
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Ted wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:28 pm 75 here in Galveston County...
Yup.
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don
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GFS seems locked in at this point.
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Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:22 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:18 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:16 pm So when r we suppose to start getting cold? It's 76 here
I’ve been chilly for 24 hours. Only stepping down from here. In the 40s at the moment.
Damn I'm at 75 wth lol
The front has already made it through most of southeast Texas.
Kingwood36
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:32 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:22 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:18 pm

I’ve been chilly for 24 hours. Only stepping down from here. In the 40s at the moment.
Damn I'm at 75 wth lol
The front has already made it through most of southeast Texas.
Not through Angleton
Txrunner82
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70 here in seabrook. Fog lasted until noon and then has been sunny ever since.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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don wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:32 pm GFS seems locked in at this point.
GFS is laser focused.
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Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:32 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:32 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:22 pm

Damn I'm at 75 wth lol
The front has already made it through most of southeast Texas.
Not through Angleton
I’ve been in the 50’s since last night.
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jasons2k
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Seems like front tried to waffle back north overnight for a bit - since then, pretty steady here.
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Kingwood36
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So when do you guys think they will start to lift watches and warnings?
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jasons2k
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I see Mr. Bastardi is being quite dramatic today, calling this a winter version of Harvey. I guess after crying 1899 every year since 1998 I guess at some point he’d get close.
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snowman65
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:48 pm I see Mr. Bastardi is being quite dramatic today, calling this a winter version of Harvey. I guess after crying 1899 every year since 1998 I guess at some point he’d get close.
You mean 47" of snow?? WOOHOO.... :lol: :lol:
Cpv17
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Doesn’t look like there will be much snow around here as of right now per the models but I bet that will change as we get closer to the event. For now though it’s looking like an ice event, unfortunately.
biggerbyte
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What was that song from years past, "The White Stuff", or was that right.. LOL
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Looks like one hell of an ice event.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:51 pm Wow, this is for the second cold blast later next week. Ridiculous!!

Image
IKR. My concern is melting and refreezing on highways around Storm #2. This is likely to be a mixed frozen event.

Something interesting. CLL's local KTBX which tends to be conservative in forecasts seens single digits (7°F), which is 10 degrees higher than the current NWS forecast. NWS tends to phase delay...but seeing the local meteorologist go that cold 5 days out is remarkable. Just 5°F from the all-time record (1983). GFS somehow went even colder locally on the 18z with a ludicrous -5°F. The Frozen Tundra of Kyle Field! :lol:

Looks like I'm off to Home Depot and Lowes for pipe insulation, shutting and releasing the sprinkler system tomorrow. Going for a walk/run with our massive Labrador retriever first. We both need to drop some weight!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:48 pm I see Mr. Bastardi is being quite dramatic today, calling this a winter version of Harvey. I guess after crying 1899 every year since 1998 I guess at some point he’d get close.
Yeah, Joe is dramatic... A LOT.... but I can't say that I disagree with much of what he tweeted there.
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Cpv17
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Geez, the NAM is showing a good amount of rain for southeast Texas tomorrow. 1-3” with temps in the 30’s and 40’s.
Last edited by Cpv17 on Wed Feb 10, 2021 5:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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DoctorMu wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 5:12 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:51 pm Wow, this is for the second cold blast later next week. Ridiculous!!

Image
IKR. My concern is melting and refreezing on highways around Storm #2. This is likely to be a mixed frozen event.

Something interesting. CLL's local KTBX which tends to be conservative in forecasts seens single digits (7°F), which is 10 degrees higher than the current NWS forecast. NWS tends to phase delay...but seeing the local meteorologist go that cold 5 days out is remarkable. Just 5°F from the all-time record (1983). GFS somehow went even colder locally on the 18z with a ludicrous -5°F. The Frozen Tundra of Kyle Field! :lol:

Looks like I'm off to Home Depot and Lowes for pipe insulation, shutting and releasing the sprinkler system tomorrow. Going for a walk/run with our massive Labrador retriever first. We both need to drop some weight!
Is this storm #2 like to come to pass?
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