February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

[snowman65]

12z ICON now shows moderate to heavy snow down to the 59 corridor.This is going to be a major storm, this is basically a MCS (mesoscale convection system) with wintry precipitation instead of just heavy rain.

Why is there no ice or sleet or freezing rain on that map? Is that saying the gden triangle is just rain/snow?

[Kingwood36]

12z ICON now shows moderate to heavy snow down to the 59 corridor.This is going to be a major storm, this is basically a MCS (mesoscale convection system) with wintry precipitation instead of just heavy rain.

Why is there no ice or sleet or freezing rain on that map? Is that saying the gden triangle is just rain/snow?

Tropical tidbits doesn't show sleet or freezing rain..whatever shows as rain is frozen with Temps in 20s

[jasons2k]

It’s crazy to me that it’s freezing in Alice and Hebbronville and not here. But the cold is definitely draining down into Texas now. Just a bit more of a SE nudge and we will be in it too for the duration.

[snowman65]

Here is our current local forecast. If this is the case I dont think we are in any danger of anything.

[vci_guy2003]

Here is our current local forecast. If this is the case I dont think we are in any danger of anything.

What city are you in?

[djmike]

I dont trust phone weather apps. They are very unreliable snowman65. I always go to NWS for our forecast and it shows very different than your phone app. Plus Im sure what we get in Beaumont will be what you get in orange.

[snowman65]

Here is our current local forecast. If this is the case I dont think we are in any danger of anything.

What city are you in?

Orange, Tx

[snowman65]

I dont trust phone weather apps. They are very unreliable snowman65. I always go to NWS for our forecast and it shows very different than your phone app. Plus Im sure what we get in Beaumont will be what you get in orange.

That was straight from their website. no phone app

[djmike]

Snowman65. See...In orange will get what we get in Beaumont. Very diff than what your app says. Also shows ice/mix for Wednesday in Orange. Temps are much colder than your app. Always trust NWS map.

[djmike]

I dont trust phone weather apps. They are very unreliable snowman65. I always go to NWS for our forecast and it shows very different than your phone app. Plus Im sure what we get in Beaumont will be what you get in orange.

That was straight from their website. no phone app

What website? Cause they are way off. Looks like weather channel or accuweather or something like that who is not local and do not focus and breakdown models for our area. A lot of those sites are automated too which does not go in depth for anyone’s specific area.

[snowman65]

I dont trust phone weather apps. They are very unreliable snowman65. I always go to NWS for our forecast and it shows very different than your phone app. Plus Im sure what we get in Beaumont will be what you get in orange.

That was straight from their website. no phone app

What website? Cause they are way off. Looks like weather channel or accuweather or something like that who is not local and do not focus and breakdown models for our area. A lot of those sites are automated too which does not go in depth for anyone’s specific area.

Check your PM

[Tx2005]

I have some attic questions. My hot water heater is up there. Thankfully the pipes coming out are insulted outside of a small section where the pipes are routed 90 degrees down to go into the walls.

1.) Anything I should do with the water heater? Any sort of water heater cover is sold out.

2.) Should I attempt to cover those small open sections of the pipes coming from the water heater with towels? Insulation is all sold out.

3.) My attic is in the garage. Should I keep the ladder down? It’s slightly warmer in the garage but not much. Not sure if this will help or not.

Thanks all. Pretty worried about a leak so I appreciate any help or suggestions.

[LightningBolt]

Good morning. I've completed most of my prep, but now have a couple of questions if anyone would like to reply. I live in a rural area and my home's sewer system is an aerobic system. I am a widow and not really familiar with it. Should I throw the electrical breaker to it to prevent the sprinklers from activating? And if so, should I then wrap the sprinkler heads? For my water well, I have wrapped the tank with blankets, covered that with a tarp, and then ran an electric cord from the barn for a drop light under the tarp. Should that be enough? What if I lose power? Should I then open all the faucets in the house to drain the tank? If it makes any difference, my home is pier and beam, somewhat perched on the side of a hill. Front of house is about 2 feet above ground with back of house about 10 feet above ground, with decks dropping down to ground level. The back of the house faces North. Pex pipings under the house. TIA!!

[jerryh421]

12z GFS trended in a good direction for snow in Houston. Hopefully the south trend continues!

[Kingwood36]

12z GFS trended in a good direction for snow in Houston. Hopefully the south trend continues!

How far nevermind..not enough to make a difference at this point lol

[don]

Models are coming in even colder,probably partly due to them seeing higher accumulations of ice/snow on the ground.

[Kingwood36]

Models are coming in even colder,probably partly due to them seeing higher accumulations of ice/snow on the ground.

Would that help get Reid of the warm nose faster?

[txsnowmaker]

New Ukmet shows half a foot of snow in Houston by the end of Monday, and a bit more in certain places around the city!

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... &dpdt=&mc=

[Kingwood36]

New Ukmet shows half a foot of snow in Houston by the end of Monday, and a bit more in certain places around the city!

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... &dpdt=&mc=

Atleast the ukie is showing some snow south of i10

[snowman65]

New Ukmet shows half a foot of snow in Houston by the end of Monday, and a bit more in certain places around the city!

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... &dpdt=&mc=

Doesnt that include ice and sleet? Because that shows around 8" for me.