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Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:22 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:04 pm
Ya but south of i-10 gets nada..we need all of south east Texas to get some
It needs to dig further south and deepen for us to get anything. It’s still possible here, but I’m not sure about Freeport. I doubt it tbh.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:25 pm
by snowman65
Come on!!! I'm right on the edge now!!! lol
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:28 pm
by Kingwood36
They are saying not likely in houston and points south...but as always things can change
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:54 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:28 pm
They are saying not likely in houston and points south...but as always things can change
My personal experience with winter weather here in southeast Texas bodes well for us. If we’re already talking about a chance of snow this far out, I would believe our chances would only go up from here.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:09 pm
by jabcwb2
Come on Tomball!!!! Bring the winter weather in!!!!!!!!!!
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:16 pm
by don
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:54 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:28 pm
They are saying not likely in houston and points south...but as always things can change
My personal experience with winter weather here in southeast Texas bodes well for us. If we’re already talking about a chance of snow this far out, I would believe our chances would only go up from here.
Yep I've noticed the same over the years. Usually in this range the snow line gradually moves further south as we get closer to the storm, as models tend to underestimate the strength and speed of cold air advection into the area. BTW 18z GFS and ICON took a step in the right direction, with the GFS showing a more suppressed Gulf low.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:26 pm
by TexasBreeze
Inland Harris has snow in the nws forecast now.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:29 pm
by don
18z ICON
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:31 pm
by snowman65
don wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:29 pm18z ICON
Hopefully that blue will keep moving toward me......
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:33 pm
by Kingwood36
don wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:29 pm18z ICON
That should move south towards the coast would it not?
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:39 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:33 pm
don wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:29 pm18z ICON
That should move south towards the coast would it not?
Depends on temps. Could just be rain by the time it gets there.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:41 pm
by Stormlover2020
18z gfs sucks for everyone
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:51 pm
by Cpv17
The temps are too warm on the GFS.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:40 pm
by Cpv17
Anyone notice how much colder the temps are on the 3km NAM?
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:46 pm
by jasons2k
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:51 pm
The temps are too warm on the GFS.
The GFS always does this. Hold the line for awhile...
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 6:29 pm
by Katdaddy
The potential for Winter precipitation is always a challenging time especially from Houston and S and SE to the coast. My first decent snowfall was in Pearland 1973 when I was 5 years old. Looking back it was similar to the Dec 2017 snowfall. The most epic as many of us know is the 2004 Christmas Eve snowfall. Watching the models change and awaiting the perfect conditions to occur is exhausting but the reward is awesome if it occurs. Hoping y'all get some snow N of I-10 and enjoy for us down here along the coast.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 6:39 pm
by Kingwood36
Katdaddy wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 6:29 pm
The potential for Winter precipitation is always a challenging time especially from Houston and S and SE to the coast. My first decent snowfall was in Pearland 1973 when I was 5 years old. Looking back it was similar to the Dec 2017 snowfall. The most epic as many of us know is the 2004 Christmas Eve snowfall. Watching the models change and awaiting the perfect conditions to occur is exhausting but the reward is awesome if it occurs. Hoping y'all get some snow N of I-10 and enjoy for us down here along the coast.
Ugh,no! Us along the coast are just as greedy as those north of i-10 we ALL need to get enjoyment
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 7:07 pm
by snowman65
Well, I am 3 miles north of I-10 so I better see something
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 7:15 pm
by Katdaddy
LOL! Yep I get it and will never forget being on S2K Christmas Eve afternoon and hearing our friends in N and NW Houston seeing snow flurries and seeing the radar looking positive for them.......and fast forward to 9PM that night......one word.....WOW!
Re: January 2021
Posted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 7:29 pm
by Cpv17
Katdaddy wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 7:15 pm
LOL! Yep I get it and will never forget being on S2K Christmas Eve afternoon and hearing our friends in N and NW Houston seeing snow flurries and seeing the radar looking positive for them.......and fast forward to 9PM that night......one word.....WOW!
I’ll never forget that day. I remember exactly where I was when it first started snowing and how happy I was. That was definitely one of the best days of my life.
