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Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:07 am
by don
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:01 am
Still enough time for that low to move away from the coast?
Certainly its only one model run, and the 12Z GFS so far is the only model that trended closer to the coast with the gulf low.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:29 am
by jasons2k
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:30 am
by TexasBreeze
I would cash out now on the CMC model! Would be worth going a little bit out of the way to see that!
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:38 am
by don
LOL yep and I would bet there would be snow further south than what it depicts right now.
With most of the snow events Ive seen around here the models are usually always too warm a few days out with these events.And then they correct themselves once we get into the short range of the event.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:20 pm
by don
12z ICON shows what would be a major winter storm for central and southeast Texas fwiw.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:33 pm
by Kingwood36
don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:20 pm
12z ICON shows what would be a major winter storm for central and southeast Texas fwiw.
Whats the yellow mean?
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:37 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:33 pm
don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:20 pm
12z ICON shows what would be a major winter storm for central and southeast Texas fwiw.
Whats the yellow mean?
Rain.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:39 pm
by Kingwood36
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:37 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:33 pm
don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:20 pm
12z ICON shows what would be a major winter storm for central and southeast Texas fwiw.
Whats the yellow mean?
Rain.
Oh so everyone would get snow and I'd be stuck with rain lol just my luck
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:40 pm
by don
12z EURO looks to be in between the 12z CMC and GFS.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:27 pm
by jasons2k
Meanwhile, SE Texas is under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 7pm....
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:39 pm
by Cpv17
12z Euro ensemble mean trended much snowier across the state.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:41 pm
by Belmer
jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:27 pm
Meanwhile, SE Texas is under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 7pm....
We sure are -
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 100 PM
until 700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming along a cold front surging into
southeast Texas. These storms will pose a risk of locally damaging
winds, large hail, and a tornado or two through the afternoon.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles either side of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Palacios TX to 50 miles east southeast of Huntsville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:49 pm
by Kingwood36
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:39 pm
12z Euro ensemble mean trended much snowier across the state.
Not much snow here it looks like
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:55 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:49 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:39 pm
12z Euro ensemble mean trended much snowier across the state.
Not much snow here it looks like
It’s trended snowier for southeast Texas compared to yesterday but if you’re talking about where you live in Freeport, yeah, very slim chance. Would take a heck of a setup to see snow along the coast. 2004 was the only time I’ve seen that.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:15 pm
by Stormlover2020
Yeah sure Is better for south east Texas, real simple south of i10 ur usually crap out of luck
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:17 pm
by Kingwood36
Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:15 pm
Yeah sure Is better for south east Texas, real simple south of i10 ur usually crap out of luck
Thanks for the encouraging words lol
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:07 pm
by Cromagnum
Northern half of that squall is packing some heat. Waiting to see what the southern half does.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:38 pm
by don
Yea this squall line seems like it means business, and unfortunately its coming in around rush hour.
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:39 pm
by jabcwb2
Any video you folks can share of storm coming? Thanks!
Re: January 2021
Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:18 pm
by Cromagnum
Don't like how this looks.
