January 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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djmike
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Woo hoo! NWSLC now forecasting Rain/Snow for Beaumont Sunday night! Im lovin this trend!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
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18z Euro slight shift south. Has accumulating snow almost all the way down to the I-10 corridor now.
TXWeatherMan
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 6:48 pm 18z Euro slight shift south. Has accumulating snow almost all the way down to the I-10 corridor now.
Let’s hope that continues
Kingwood36
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TXWeatherMan wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 7:02 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 6:48 pm 18z Euro slight shift south. Has accumulating snow almost all the way down to the I-10 corridor now.
Let’s hope that continues
I 2nd that! Trends are looking good as it slowly continues south
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Ptarmigan
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Winter weather events are notoriously difficult to forecast.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I plotted the models the last few days versus where the storm is now. It’s west of where it was forecasted, which, I think, means a more southerly route.
Team #NeverSummer
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don
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0z NAM is coming in faster with the cold air advection.
Kingwood36
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So what does that mean if it comes in faster? Better chance at snow here?..sorry for all the questions still learning lol
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don
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Yes, as it increases the chances of cold enough air aloft for snow interacting with the moisture over the area before it moves out.
Cpv17
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don wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:39 pm 0z NAM is coming in faster with the cold air advection.
It appears to me that the 0z is warmer than the 18z.
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DoctorMu
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KHOU BLake wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 5:03 pm Not often you see the HOUSTON forecast office use the word "heavy snow" and "convective snow banding." If the NAM model is correct, we could see a 2018 situation where the event gets underway and all of a sudden a Winter Storm Warning is issued for areas that aren't even currently under a watch.

Also unusual is the fact that the atmosphere will be sufficiently cold enough and deep enough to give us strictly a snow event with little to no sleet expected. I don't know about you but I'm very excited about this.
Hold my avatar. ;)
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:33 pm I plotted the models the last few days versus where the storm is now. It’s west of where it was forecasted, which, I think, means a more southerly route.
Digging down deep. More cold. More moisture.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:56 pm
don wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:39 pm 0z NAM is coming in faster with the cold air advection.
It appears to me that the 0z is warmer than the 18z.
Love the result!

Image
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don
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:56 pm
don wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:39 pm 0z NAM is coming in faster with the cold air advection.
It appears to me that the 0z is warmer than the 18z.
I was referring to the 850mb temps, the 0c line comes further south a little faster.
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DoctorMu
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NOAA's bought it.
Attachments
Noaa.sn.jpg
Kingwood36
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I'm really hope this makes it south if i-10...ill be happy with a flurry or 1 inch! 😆
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:31 pm I'm really hope this makes it south if i-10...ill be happy with a flurry or 1 inch! 😆
Shoot, I’d be happy with a dusting if I’m being completely honest.
Kingwood36
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:33 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:31 pm I'm really hope this makes it south if i-10...ill be happy with a flurry or 1 inch! 😆
Shoot, I’d be happy with a dusting if I’m being completely honest.
Honestly ill take frost on my roof at this point😂
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Rip76
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:16 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:56 pm
don wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:39 pm 0z NAM is coming in faster with the cold air advection.
It appears to me that the 0z is warmer than the 18z.
Love the result!

Image

A few more degrees south, and we may be cookin’.
ArizonaAZMeador
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i dont know who the moderator was that disapproved my posts,but my posts had no links at all. i was talking about positivity for cold and snow. i posted no links to anything
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