INVEST 95L GOM Back to Code yellow but who really knows

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
Scott747
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lol

That was a quick change from just about 30 minutes ago.
Hardcoreweather

Once again I am tired of people saying that 95L is dead :roll:


You can not ignore systems that are in your backyard


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srainhoutx
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8 AM TWO:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND BY
TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
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wxman57
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Nighttime IR and radar don't tell the story of 95L. The LLC is actually well-separated from the convection due to moderate northerly shear. It'll be moving inland later today without developing.

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rnmm
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Hello everyone, I just have a quick question. I know this storm isn't going to develop into anything much, but I was curious where it was going to go inland? Are we looking at another rainmaker for our area or is it going in SW LA still? Thank you :D
My name is Nicole and I love weather!!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Alicia, Allison, Rita, Ike
Hardcoreweather

landfall tonight around Morgan City LA


Hopefully it brings us some more heavy rain in South AL cause we need it
Hardcoreweather

Is it true that the NHC will not upgrade a storm to TD or STD status if it's attached to a frontal boundary ?
Scott747
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Bones has been on deck for awhile now.

200 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2010

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND BY
LATE TONIGHT.
Hardcoreweather

Scott747 wrote:Bones has been on deck for awhile now.

Can't you come with something more original ? Thought that only Wxman 57 could say that :lol:
Scott747
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Hardcoreweather wrote:
Scott747 wrote:Bones has been on deck for awhile now.

Can't you come with something more original ? Thought that only Wxman 57 could say that :lol:
Saying 95l is dead seems to send you into full tilt.

Thought I'd go old school.
Hardcoreweather

JimCantore   Latest visible satellite imagery and wind observations south of LA suggest invest95L is getting better organized and could be forming a TD.
Hardcoreweather

Thanks for the info Ed





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redfish1
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could we be seeing another humberto in the making??
Hardcoreweather

redfish1 wrote:could we be seeing another humberto in the making??
It's running out of time. Almost time to focus on 96L and bring out my picture of a fat lady singing


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Last edited by Hardcoreweather on Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Mr. T
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redfish1 wrote:could we be seeing another humberto in the making??
no

There aren't even enough winds here to support a TD

This is the very definition of a non-tropical low
Hardcoreweather

00
ABNT20 KNHC 052109
TWOAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
510 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA IS MOVING ONSHORE
TERREBONNE PARISH NEAR CAILLOU BAY. DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE
DATA INDICATE THAT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE COULD
OCCUR ACROSS TERREBONNE PARISH...ESPECIALLY IN TERREBONNE
BAY...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
ONSHORE. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES ONSHORE. THIS SYSTEM
WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AFTER LANDFALL AND PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA. INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES AND ANY
WATCHES OR WARNINGS.


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Last edited by Hardcoreweather on Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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kellybell4770
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ok, so this thing went from "practically NO chance of becoming anything tropical to 60% chance as it moves on shore? I hope those people in LA thought enough to prepare anyway :shock: :roll:
Satan is bad. Jesus is good. Be like Jesus.
Hardcoreweather

This is one reason why you never turn your back on a system that is in your backyard and you will never hear me say a system is dead until the threat is 0 even if it's not upgraded the effects will still be the same.
Hardcoreweather

The claim it's 50 miles away from landfall.... Looks like it's moving onshore now . Where did Bones go? :shock:
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