October 2020

[Scott747]

Scott, nhc said it’s moving nw

The longer term motion is probably still 305, but so far these last two recon missions have shown a more westerly heading. There will be another fix in 30 min and there very well could be a jump back towards the nw.

[Stormlover2020]

Thanks

[Rip76]

I’ve been looking at satellite for a bit. It’s WNW.

[Stormlover2020]

I’ve been looking at satellite for a bit. It’s WNW.

Thanks rip, my eyes are hurting lol

[Scott747]

Latest fix continues with a more westerly motion. It's beginning to eat up longitude...

[Stormlover2020]

Latest fix continues with a more westerly motion. It's beginning to eat up longitude...

Keeps updates coming

[Rip76]

Latest fix continues with a more westerly motion. It's beginning to eat up longitude...

Yes. Unfortunately

[bdog38]

This is a fast storm. hard time to prepare. monitor

[Rip76]

May be seeing NW now, and some possible eye making an appearance.

[prospects8903]

I’ve noticed where they have mentioned an extreme SETX landfall lately

[Rip76]

Wow

[Andrew]

May be seeing NW now, and some possible eye making an appearance.

According to recon, we are still closer to the WNW versus NW but like you said the faster it starts gaining latitude the better for SE Texas.

[Rip76]

May be seeing NW now, and some possible eye making an appearance.

According to recon, we are still closer to the WNW versus NW but like you said the faster it starts gaining latitude the better for SE Texas.

What a sight on an early October night. This ain’t no Jerry.

[Andrew]

May be seeing NW now, and some possible eye making an appearance.

According to recon, we are still closer to the WNW versus NW but like you said the faster it starts gaining latitude the better for SE Texas.

What a sight on an early October night. This ain’t no Jerry.

Luckily, in regard to SE Texas time is on our side and having a storm tracking to the north/NW during landfall really helps us out locally. FIngers crossed

[Stormlover2020]

Nam has shifted west, Scott and Andrew could that be a trend?

[Scott747]

Yes it's the NAM but this close in it can't be totally discounted. Much like the 18z ICON the trough isn't as aggressive in picking up Beta. A good bit further w and looks like landfall near or just e of the border.

[Andrew]

Here is the most recent recon fixes FYI

[Andrew]

Yes it's the NAM but this close in it can't be totally discounted. Much like the 18z ICON the trough isn't as aggressive in picking up Beta. A good bit further w and looks like landfall near or just e of the border.

Yea I was noticing that too. Something to keep an eye on to see if the GFS and ECMWF pick up on it.

[Scott747]

And they at least acknowledge the wnw motion in the latest disco.

[Andrew]

And they at least acknowledge the wnw motion in the latest disco.

Hard to ignore the motion for much of the day. The earlier runs of the ECMWF indicated this would happen. I suspect we will start to see the NW movement here soon though.