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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:40 pm
by Andrew
Cloud tops have been warming over the last hour or so, but the CDO has been expanding. This afternoon and overnight will be key to see if additional convection develops over the center.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:41 pm
by tireman4
As I said last night and will channel my inner Dr. Neil Frank..never ever sleep on a tropical system

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:47 pm
by djmike
Wow gusting pretty good here in Beaumont now that the wind swath is beginning to come ashore.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:48 pm
by Rip76
May need to extend the warnings Southward.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:54 pm
by Kingwood36
Rip76 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:48 pm May need to extend the warnings Southward.
The cdo is building southward its not moving south

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:56 pm
by biggerbyte
Holy Beta, Batman. I am seeing at least a strong tropical storm. Also there is a defined spin dead center that looks as if an eyewall is trying to form.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:58 pm
by Rip76
Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:54 pm
Rip76 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:48 pm May need to extend the warnings Southward.
The cdo is building southward its not moving south
Ok, it sure looked like it on radar.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:01 pm
by DoctorMu
Rip76 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:32 pm How is a weaker storm like this able to push that dry air back like that?

Is it because the wind field is so large?
Beta is being fed from the eastern Gulf. Movement west becomes an advantage, because its feed source of moisture remains.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:08 pm
by DoctorMu
don wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 2:22 pm Beta right now looks the best its ever looked. Could become a hurricane if the trend continues.
That west side is beasting, fed from that easterly flow across the northern Gulf. I told folks not to sleep on Beta. It's on a mission.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:13 pm
by DoctorMu
It's so impressive to see Beta just clear a path through the dry air.

Our weather has swung 180° in the last 20 min in CLL. Thickening clouds. Dewpoint and breeze are picking up. Rainband within 10 miles.

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:16 pm
by TexasBreeze
Yes that was a complete 180 degree turn. It was clear/nice then humid and raining within a couple hrs!

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:21 pm
by Scott747
Losing some of its punch as it pulses down.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:24 pm
by unome
Image

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:25 pm
by Kingwood36
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:21 pm Losing some of its punch as it pulses down.
Well that was short lived

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:31 pm
by davidiowx
Cloud tops are warming. It really has got its core structure together today. Tonight will be interesting if this pulses back up again over the center and see how far it expands.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:31 pm
by Cromagnum
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:21 pm Losing some of its punch as it pulses down.
Not sure what you are looking at. It looks pretty good and DMax is coming in a few hours.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:31 pm
by snowman65
looks like it's exploding like new years firework...cat 1, close to 2 before landfall. that's my guess. too much time over open water if you ask me.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:34 pm
by Stormlover2020
It’s fanning out pretty good

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:48 pm
by Cromagnum
snowman65 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:31 pm looks like it's exploding like new years firework...cat 1, close to 2 before landfall. that's my guess. too much time over open water if you ask me.
Cat 2 seems to be a stretch with everything it has to fight against.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:50 pm
by Andrew
Cromagnum wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:31 pm
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 3:21 pm Losing some of its punch as it pulses down.
Not sure what you are looking at. It looks pretty good and DMax is coming in a few hours.

Tonight will be key if additional convection blows up but it has lost a lot of its convection over the last hour.