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Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:38 pm
by sau27
Full sun here in museum district.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:43 pm
by don
TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:35 pm
That is some of the heavier core rains along I-10. The actual center is by Matagorda Bay moving east along the coast.
Oops sorry i meant to say the core instead of the center lol.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:43 pm
by TexasBreeze
That spotty sun is destabilizing things showing more oranges and reds on the west side.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:44 pm
by srainhoutx
Looking like a new line organizing along the 290 Corridor according to radar.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:46 pm
by don
sau27 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:38 pm
Full sun here in museum district.
That's not good as the heat will escape back into the atmosphere tonight, and could allow more fuel and instability for Beta to work with tonight.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:57 pm
by sau27
Looks like at least a portion of the LLC has made its way back over the water by Matagorda.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 4:16 pm
by don
Rainfall totals so far from abc13
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:19 pm
by gregco31
It is soupy and gross up here in Atascocita. That seems a little concerning as it moves further east and the atmosphere feels so charged right now.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:39 pm
by davidiowx
So I was just looking at the weather channel radar app future radar and sheesh, it blows up tonight. Does anyone know what model that app used for future cast?
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:43 pm
by don
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
459 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020
.SHORT TERM [Tonight through Wednesday Night]...
Tropical Depression Beta, currently over southwestern portions of
the CWA, has produced some very healthy rounds of heavy rain over
portions of SE TX overnight/early this morning. There have been a
lot of reports of flooded roadways, overtopping of bayous/creeks,
and water rescues through early this afternoon. We did have a bit
of a break this afternoon, but there is concern that this heating
(albeit short) will help to fuel another round of heavy rains for
this late afternoon through tonight. Near-term models (especially
HRRR/NAM) have verified rather well of late, and if going forward
with this line of thinking, we could see another band of rains de-
velop close to where the earlier one set up this morning.
Rainfall totals so far today have averaged from 5 to 10 inches with
isolated amounts up to 15 inches. Unfortunately, we are still going
with these same numbers for this evening. And so depending on where
these bands set up...we could see an *additional* 5 to 10 inches of
rain with isolated amounts up to 15 inches possible tonight. Bayous
and drainage systems are expected to be quickly overwhelmed if this
forecast verifies. Please exercise extreme caution if traveling out
on the roadways tonight and tomorrow morning. As Beta moves further
east tomorrow, rain chances will be slowly decreasing from the west
to east.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:02 pm
by Texashawk
I’m just not seeing it. Seems like rain bands just can’t get going over the Gulf west of Chambers County. Are they expecting the bands to form later?
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:20 pm
by don
Yes, as Beta's center moves closer more bands are expected to develop. And there's already a feeder band forming over the city.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:28 pm
by Cromagnum
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:30 pm
by jasons2k
Beta seems to be on the move now to the ENE. Almost due East.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:37 pm
by davidiowx
That band along 290 is dumping some heavy rain right now. Flooding on side streets/feeder roads will begin shortly if not already happening.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:39 pm
by don
Yeah im in the feeder band here in the Heights and the rainfall rates are very high right now.My street is starting to flood.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:41 pm
by srainhoutx
Folks need to keep a keen eye on the the developments this evening.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:42 pm
by DoctorMu
don wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:43 pm
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
459 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020
.SHORT TERM [Tonight through Wednesday Night]...
Tropical Depression Beta, currently over southwestern portions of
the CWA, has produced some very healthy rounds of heavy rain over
portions of SE TX overnight/early this morning. There have been a
lot of reports of flooded roadways, overtopping of bayous/creeks,
and water rescues through early this afternoon. We did have a bit
of a break this afternoon, but there is concern that this heating
(albeit short) will help to fuel another round of heavy rains for
this late afternoon through tonight. Near-term models (especially
HRRR/NAM) have verified rather well of late, and if going forward
with this line of thinking, we could see another band of rains de-
velop close to where the earlier one set up this morning.
Rainfall totals so far today have averaged from 5 to 10 inches with
isolated amounts up to 15 inches. Unfortunately, we are still going
with these same numbers for this evening. And so depending on where
these bands set up...we could see an *additional* 5 to 10 inches of
rain with isolated amounts up to 15 inches possible tonight. Bayous
and drainage systems are expected to be quickly overwhelmed if this
forecast verifies. Please exercise extreme caution if traveling out
on the roadways tonight and tomorrow morning. As Beta moves further
east tomorrow, rain chances will be slowly decreasing from the west
to east.
It's gone as original expected. Isolated very heavy rain.
It's been raining all day here. Going to check on the gauge...
...and I see some brown patch already, despite putting fungicide down last week. Can we ever get a break? Can't even enjoy a single day of the transition from watering season to brown patch season!
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:44 pm
by DoctorMu
srainhoutx wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:41 pm
Folks need to keep a keen eye on the the developments this evening.
Ruh Roh.
The CoC has moved maybe 15 miles NE. Looks like the early Euro rainfall prediction is coming to fruition.
Re: September 2020: Tracking Beta
Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:46 pm
by DoctorMu
Did they run out of Ice Trucker reruns?