September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stormlover2020
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Looks like it’s moving northwest but who knows
davidiowx
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Looks like we may have landfall per radar.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/i ... X-N0Q-1-24
biggerbyte
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Sure looks to be heading something other than just west. WNW or NW. Also, dry areas to the north are starting to fill in. Northern Harris and Montgomery Counties, etc.
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DoctorMu
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davidiowx wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:06 pm Looks like we may have landfall per radar.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/i ... X-N0Q-1-24
Almost. There's wobbling and Beta moves NW right at Matagorda. Pretty good entraining over southern Galveston Island into Alvin and League City and then Sugar Land. Could be more twisters popping up on that dirty side as the band rotates.
davidiowx
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:15 pm
davidiowx wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:06 pm Looks like we may have landfall per radar.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/i ... X-N0Q-1-24
Almost. There's wobbling and Beta moves NW right at Matagorda. Pretty good entraining over southern Galveston Island into Alvin and League City and then Sugar Land. Could be more twisters popping up on that dirty side as the band rotates.
Yea for sure.. I am in Richmond and watching that heavy band entering SE Ft Bend county now. Should be getting in on that in the next 30-45 min. It looks like some pretty intense storms and have heard a few rumbles of thunder off in the distance.

I have had a steady rain for the past 2-3 hours, accumulations right under an inch so far today after an inch yesterday as well.
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don
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It looks like the friction of the coast is allowing Beta to tighten up as it makes landfall.And thus allowing more moisture to fill in more also. The HRWF and the HMON have did the best job so far with the precipitation shield and structure of the storm.

While several of the global models showed the heaviest precipitation closer to the center around the middle Texas coast.With most of southeast Texas dry slotted, that doesn't appear to be happening...
Cromagnum
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Right at one inch yesterday and just under 2 so far today.
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Rip76
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Nearing 2”
Texashawk
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4 inches and counting in Sienna. Looks like training bands are really starting to set up. Could be a long week after all...
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jasons2k
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.26” overnight but nothing yet today but sprinkles. Storm total .48” so far.

Will be watching to see if the bands and core shift northward.
Kingwood36
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:15 pm
davidiowx wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:06 pm Looks like we may have landfall per radar.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/i ... X-N0Q-1-24
Almost. There's wobbling and Beta moves NW right at Matagorda. Pretty good entraining over southern Galveston Island into Alvin and League City and then Sugar Land. Could be more twisters popping up on that dirty side as the band rotates.
Its moving at 7mph..it hasn't made landfall yet...its suppose to arpund 7 or 8 pm
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DoctorMu
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:45 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:15 pm
davidiowx wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:06 pm Looks like we may have landfall per radar.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/i ... X-N0Q-1-24
Almost. There's wobbling and Beta moves NW right at Matagorda. Pretty good entraining over southern Galveston Island into Alvin and League City and then Sugar Land. Could be more twisters popping up on that dirty side as the band rotates.
Its moving at 7mph..it hasn't made landfall yet...its suppose to arpund 7 or 8 pm

Yeah, I see the CoC just offshore still.
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don
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Just a comparison of the radar right now and the depiction of what the HRWF has been showing pretty consistently for the last few days.Getting concerned there may start to be flash flooding issues in Metro Houston if the training feeder band doesn't stop.
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hwrf_ref_22L_3.png
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DoctorMu
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There's a lot more rain on the radar than 2 hours ago. Should be robust until at least 5 pm. The Shield will probably reach within 5 miles of my back yard before cycling down!
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:49 pm Just a comparison of the radar right now and the depiction of what the HRWF has been showing pretty consistently for the last few days.Getting concerned there may start to be flash flooding issues in Metro Houston if the training feeder band doesn't stop.
Beta is ramping up over SW Harris Co. and Ft. Bend.
davidiowx
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Closing in on 2.5" here in Richmond and rain is picking up in intensity. Looks like radar is going to continue to fill in. It will be interesting to see if it pulses down tonight or if it intensifies similar to past storms at night.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:42 pm .26” overnight but nothing yet today but sprinkles. Storm total .48” so far.

Will be watching to see if the bands and core shift northward.
We are about to get popped looking at radar and what's coming off the Gulf east of GLS.
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davidiowx
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HRRR running and shows a little lull in activity in a few hours but then ramps it up again over night. Primarily over Brazoria and Ft Bend counties and South Westward. However, it also shows Beta moving SW towards Corpus.. Not sure how much to believe that?
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djmike
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davidiowx wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 3:24 pm HRRR running and shows a little lull in activity in a few hours but then ramps it up again over night. Primarily over Brazoria and Ft Bend counties and South Westward. However, it also shows Beta moving SW towards Corpus.. Not sure how much to believe that?
Is HRRR showing ANYTHING for the Beaumont area? Sun and not a drop all day. Wondering if we will get any rAin period.
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Scott747
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davidiowx wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 3:24 pm However, it also shows Beta moving SW towards Corpus.. Not sure how much to believe that?
When steering currents collapse as forecasted there can be temporary and erratic motion. So it's plausible....

As of now I think it barely crawling and may not make much further inland than Matagorda Bay.
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