September 2020:
Beta looks better than I expected this morning.
Beta certainly won't strengthen...but it's not giving up the ghost, or naked swirl. Folks are sleeping on it. Beta is going to make its impact felt in rain bands and some surge.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:40 amI noticed that...how will that affect the stormDoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:34 amBeta is beating back the dry air like a machete in the jungle.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/c ... &length=24
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Stormlover2020
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Looks better today
Beta's core is deepening and moving toward the center.
https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off
https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off
Well that ain't no vortex that's producing these latest obs. Solid set of 50-55 kt readings as it closes in on the center.
The rain band over the Bay Area is nice. Beta has already far surpassed Laura as far as storm effects goes for me.
Solid rain in Friendswood now.
Finally a set up that I can enjoy without wondering if I should leave, etc.
Weather lover's dream scenario.
Finally a set up that I can enjoy without wondering if I should leave, etc.
Weather lover's dream scenario.
If there was ever a tropical system we could enjoy this could be it. No Jeff Piotrowski with the car cam focused on a bending pole or anything either.
We can't be completely complacent about the surge though and 8 foot swells. High tide in Galveston is 8:36 pm.
https://tides4fishing.com/us/texas/galveston-pier-21
Yeah I think the center is reforming to the NW....
I should say more wnw. No way that it's moving that quickly.
Latest 12z HRWF and HMON have both increased rainfall substantially from the previous run. Showing heavy rain across Southeast Texas north and east of the center.
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CRASHWX
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Beto is moistening it’s environment and may be a surprise? Dry air looks to be locked out for the time being...and I agree the center does look like it has reformed....in the last few frames of the Geo you see the swirl working under the convection.
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Stormlover2020
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Storm 2 k says maybe new center farther west
I was thinking that from IR
About 998 at the new center which looks to be about 30 miles to the wnw of the previous fix.
Can't say it's strengthening but it's far more organized than earlier. Could be just a temporary pulse. Should get another fix or two from recon to confirm.
Can't say it's strengthening but it's far more organized than earlier. Could be just a temporary pulse. Should get another fix or two from recon to confirm.
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Andrew
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Beta looking pretty good on radar, but I suspect the system remains rather tilted with the LLC further east. It will be interesting to see if the center does make a full transition to the NW under the heavier convection. Most global models continue to not show any crazy QPF numbers, so we will likely have to watch where banding sets up.
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CRASHWX
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It’s trying real hard to not be an under achiever...and agree center does look west and its that blob of convection that looks to be helping push the dry air away and moisten the environment. How many times have we seen storms crossing the Atlantic and carve out a pocket in dry air and thrive.
CRASHWX