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Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:27 am
by weatherguy425
Ace wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:25 am Does NHC just mean that the Tx/La border is Northwest?
It is a general term, often depending on the person who is writing. Generally, “northwest” can mean Texas and the western-half of the Louisiana coastline.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:28 am
by Snakeswx
Ace wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:25 am Does NHC just mean that the Tx/La border is Northwest?
Yes

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:32 am
by Cromagnum
This thing means business folks.

Image

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:37 am
by Scott747
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:21 pm If the models hold, I’m headed to a brick structure on Big Lake (Hackberry side). About 25 miles SSW of Lake Charles

Hackberry won't be safe. PM me if you need to....

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:42 am
by Cromagnum
Looking at IR posted above it looks like a pretty good wobble to the north.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:43 am
by weatherguy425
Cromagnum wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:42 am Looking at IR posted above it looks like a pretty good wobble to the north.
Please be careful judging movement (west or north) using IR. Towering storms rotating around a gradual clearing eye can give very convincing illusions.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:45 am
by Cromagnum
Creepy evil grin caught overnight.

Image

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:47 am
by Scott747
Low level recon is going in for a third fix. Does look like a pretty decent wobble to the n. They will confirm either way here in about 15 min.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:50 am
by weatherguy425
Scott747 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:47 am Low level recon is going in for a third fix. Does look like a pretty decent wobble to the n. They will confirm either way here in about 15 min.
With rapid deepening and an eyewall in the process of forming - unfortunately this one will be prone to wobbles, at least in the near-term.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:55 am
by Scott747
weatherguy425 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:50 am
Scott747 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:47 am Low level recon is going in for a third fix. Does look like a pretty decent wobble to the n. They will confirm either way here in about 15 min.
With rapid deepening and an eyewall in the process of forming - unfortunately this one will be prone to wobbles, at least in the near-term.

Oh no doubt. I'm guessing that the blended motion will be nw.
,
Still though those wobbles to the left are going to create some serious discomfort for Galveston and the surrounding area.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:23 am
by tireman4
Air Force Recon Of Laura...Rapid Intensification happening

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:30 am
by AtascocitaWX
Wow, Powerful Storm. So at this point we are radar watching looking for wobbles and praying no unexpected surprises.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:38 am
by Rip76

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:40 am
by jasons2k
Looks like my call was too far down the coast but this is one of those cases, for our sake, when I am glad to be wrong.
Man I really feel for those in LA. This is going to be bad - probably a good deal worse for Lake Charles than Rita if you can even imagine that.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:41 am
by AtascocitaWX
jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:40 am Looks like my call was too far down the coast but this is one of those cases, for our sake, when I am glad to be wrong.
Man I really feel for those in LA. This is going to be bad - probably a good deal worse for Lake Charles than Rita if you can even imagine that.
where was your call ?

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:45 am
by AtascocitaWX
its amazing how much this storm is growing.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:47 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
Hurricane force winds could extend out to Harris and Montgomery Counties. That’s how much she’s grown.

Wow

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:49 am
by jasons2k
AtascocitaWX wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:41 am
jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:40 am Looks like my call was too far down the coast but this is one of those cases, for our sake, when I am glad to be wrong.
Man I really feel for those in LA. This is going to be bad - probably a good deal worse for Lake Charles than Rita if you can even imagine that.
where was your call ?
Surfside to San Luis. Thought the GFS was undergoing the ridge and I was expecting one last model push west and it didn’t happen.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:51 am
by Kingwood36
So what can I expect here in freeport as far as wind and rain goes?

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:01 am
by AtascocitaWX
Is this accurate?