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Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:49 pm
by TexasBreeze
Hurricane Central is mainly used for non local area threats and future system development potential.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:50 pm
by tsb2107
If Laura comes ashore near the TX/LA border, what kinds of bad weather will the north Houston suburbs experience? If any?

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:52 pm
by weatherguy425
Something to keep an eye on that others have mentioned.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:02 pm
by snowman65
is there still a chance she goes to Lake Charles or east of there?

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:02 pm
by jabcwb2
Has the recon data started coming in? Any idea when? Thanks in advance.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:07 pm
by weatherguy425
jabcwb2 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:02 pm Has the recon data started coming in? Any idea when? Thanks in advance.
Center is, technically, still south of 25°N; slightly south of where it appears on satellite. RECON just missed the center, but looking like another 1-2 MB pressure drop since last pass; 981 or 982 MB.

EDIT: Drop had higher winds, 15 KT, estimated pressure may be 979 or 980 MB.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:09 pm
by jabcwb2
Gracious. Wishing everyone in the path much safety!!!

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:11 pm
by don
Starting to feel better about the trends. ;)

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:13 pm
by jabcwb2
don wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:11 pm Starting to feel better about the trends. ;)
Hanging on baited breath........you know but we lurkers for info don't.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:13 pm
by davidiowx
don wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:11 pm Starting to feel better about the trends. ;)
I am as well, but won’t really feel comfortable until tomorrow morning. Lots can change and the center can jog in any direction. Just praying it keeps east of here. I’m prepared for a direct hit as best as possible but my wife and I are expecting our baby tonight/tomorrow so hoping to not deal with the outcome of this storm afterwards.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:20 pm
by TXWeatherMan
Let’s hope the models don’t shift west overnight like they have the last few nights.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:30 pm
by suprdav2
Shot in the dark, but guessing folks west of 45 aren't going to see much. Need some rain out here in Cypress, but not Hurricane/TS stuff. NWS has a 60% chance of "showers" for Cypress Wednesday/Thursday morning.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:55 pm
by jabcwb2
suprdav2 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:30 pm Shot in the dark, but guessing folks west of 45 aren't going to see much. Need some rain out here in Cypress, but not Hurricane/TS stuff. NWS has a 60% chance of "showers" for Cypress Wednesday/Thursday morning.
No, we are not.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:55 pm
by DoctorMu
Tx2005 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:45 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:40 pm I pissed into a 35 mph breeze off the back porch of Northgate in CS to give College Station it’s trace amount of precip from Rita.

:)
My main Rita memory in College Station was that picture of Loupot’s boarding up on the wrong side.

I remember people were taping their windows and apartment complexes were sending letters to tenants saying based on previous hurricanes BCS will experience hurricane force winds. The grocery stores had empty shelves, gas lines were multiple cars deep, and some store in Navasota was selling water for like $30 a case.

Good ole Rita
haha That was a classic. My wife gave me a hard time for boarding up the house, because it was so dark on the inside without sunlight. Both Rita and Ike produce a tropical storm force winds, but not much rain. Hot as hell!

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:56 pm
by bdog38
eye has formed

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:57 pm
by Texashawk
It seems based on the last 3 recon fixes that Laura’s moving just north of due west. Can’t be great for Houston if that continues

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:00 pm
by bdog38
bdog38 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:56 pmeye has formed
looks more like the eye formed a little more sw than models predicted

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:03 pm
by DoctorMu
Laura is wobbling west now.

Image

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:08 pm
by Ace
suprdav2 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:30 pm Shot in the dark, but guessing folks west of 45 aren't going to see much. Need some rain out here in Cypress, but not Hurricane/TS stuff. NWS has a 60% chance of "showers" for Cypress Wednesday/Thursday morning.
Actually I’m right West of 45 & very near the red zone for winds. Every possible wobble or inch to the west matters a lot to me. I’m just a few streets away from that zone.

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Posted: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:11 pm
by Cromagnum
Shes getting her attitude on this evening