August 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Max winds now at 105 mph. Close to a major hurricane.
Scott747
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Sure would be nice to have recon out there so you could accurately track a rapidly developing hurricane the is still steaming right towards the upper Texas coast.

Eye seems to be clearing out and heading appears to be still wnw. These are the times without recon that you convince yourself its heading is different than what is actually happening.

Like it sure does look like a more westerly motion. lol
Texashawk
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Scott747 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:26 am Sure would be nice to have recon out there so you could accurately track a rapidly developing hurricane the is still steaming right towards the upper Texas coast.

Eye seems to be clearing out and heading appears to be still wnw. These are the times without recon that you convince yourself its heading is different than what is actually happening.

Like it sure does look like a more westerly motion. lol
So maybe I'm not the only crazy one. It really looks like it's going to miss its next forecast point by a fair ways south and slower.
Texashawk
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And still has barely moved north, several hours later.
Texashawk
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Oh, and to those of you just waking up soon: Welcome to Laura, 2.0! Bigger, nastier, and with an all new 'tude.
Andrew
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Texashawk wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:06 am Oh, and to those of you just waking up soon: Welcome to Laura, 2.0! Bigger, nastier, and with an all new 'tude.
NHC now calls for the possibility of CAT 4 during landfall. Pretty incredible how fast she has gained strength.
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unome
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Scott747 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:26 am Sure would be nice to have recon out there so you could accurately track a rapidly developing hurricane the is still steaming right towards the upper Texas coast.

Eye seems to be clearing out and heading appears to be still wnw. These are the times without recon that you convince yourself its heading is different than what is actually happening.

Like it sure does look like a more westerly motion. lol
If Josh is still looking for a safe place to get data from, NOAA's nowCOAST has a zoomable topo basemap & potential surge overlay - not sure how well it works on mobile devices, I've never tried it there

https://nowcoast.noaa.gov/

https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1298507391588274176
unome
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Key Messages are pretty dire - I hope people pay heed to advisories

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Laura
key.png
Ace
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I’m hearing talk about a Southern movement (or SW) in this AF run. Anyone noticing that?

The stats coming in are amazing too.
weatherguy425
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Ace wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 5:46 am I’m hearing talk about a Southern movement (or SW) in this AF run. Anyone noticing that?

The stats coming in are amazing too.
Not too different.
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Scott747
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It needs or should start turning soon. Hurricane models don't get past 93 and it's closing in on 92 already.

Doesn't look quite nw on the recon fixes either.
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srainhoutx
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Both AF and NOAA RECON reporting rapidly falling pressure in the center. Rapid Intensifying is expected to continue this morning. I am very concerned about the storm surge in the Golden Triangle as well as Lake Charles. This Hurricane is going to be like a buzz saw moving up the Sabine Valley.
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Stormlover2020
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It’s time to watch the hrr model for wobbles and satellite
Scott747
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 6:36 am It’s time to watch the hrr model for wobbles and satellite
Why would you need to when recon is out there?

Also it looks like it could be making a sharper turn finally.
Stormlover2020
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Scott747 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 6:41 am
Stormlover2020 wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 6:36 am It’s time to watch the hrr model for wobbles and satellite
Why would you need to when recon is out there?

Also it looks like it could be making a sharper turn finally.

U still think tx/la border scott
Scott747
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Border or just e as long as this is the eventual NW turn.
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srainhoutx
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Laura now Major Cat 3 Hurricane. Winds 115 MPH via the 7 AM Advisory
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Snakeswx
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Nice expansion on the western side. I'm basically just watching that left edge for progress westward.. for me. Not so much the eye
Ace
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North*West?*

I’m also hearing more sustained chatter about more serious concern about a model shift W.
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Ace
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Does NHC just mean that the Tx/La border is Northwest?
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