June 2020

[srainhoutx]

The NHC will begin issuing Advisories for Tropical Depression 3 at 4 PM CDT

[Scott747]

5 day forecast point looks about 150 mi nnw of Merida.

[TexasBreeze]

I guess they kept continuity with the 5 day point instead of a new low.

[Scott747]

I guess they kept continuity with the 5 day point instead of a new low.

For now it's a blending of the modeling.

TD3 energy transfers more than tracks and re-establishes itself to the NE.

[Cpv17]

Imo if that second low forms and this one dissipates then I believe that would favor more of a track towards the central Gulf coast.

[srainhoutx]

Very low confidence forecast beyond Wednesday seems to be the thinking reading the full package discussion. Landfall and dissipation is possible as well as moving NNE after meandering in the far SW Gulf. The idea of a new vort rotating around the broad monsoonal gyre is also certainly not off the table. Complicated forecast ahead and worth monitoring. Heavy rainfall threat exists from the Middle Texas Coast on East to Florida.

[davidiowx]

Very low confidence forecast beyond Wednesday seems to be the thinking reading the full package discussion. Landfall and dissipation is possible as well as moving NNE after meandering in the far SW Gulf. The idea of a new vort rotating around the broad monsoonal gyre is also certainly not off the table. Complicated forecast ahead and worth monitoring. Heavy rainfall threat exists from the Middle Texas Coast on East to Florida.

That is an odd cone.. Friday is missing! It seems like they have a depression into a storm that just drives into Mexico and then a TS forms N of the Yucatan suddenly on Saturday..

[Cpv17]

Wxman57 on storm2k says this is going to the upper TX coast with flooding for east TX and LA. I told them it’s too early to know for sure yet where it’s going and I got attacked saying they trust what he’s saying because he’s a pro met. I just don’t see how you could say where a system is going a whole week out with so many variables at play. I think anyone from TX to FL should keep an eye on it.

[Stormlover2020]

He’s really good, well it’s not hard to see how the upper level pattern is going to be this weekend and early next week. Ridge builds in se and will block a storm going to Florida. This is a Texas/sw la system if it develops

[Stormlover2020]

Yeah he’s good, upper level pattern for this weekend favors upper Texas and we la

[cperk]

Wxman57 on storm2k says this is going to the upper TX coast with flooding for east TX and LA. I told them it’s too early to know for sure yet where it’s going and I got attacked saying they trust what he’s saying because he’s a pro met. I just don’t see how you could say where a system is going a whole week out with so many variables at play. I think anyone from TX to FL should keep an eye on it.

He has been wrong numerous times on tropical systems it is to far out to call a location.

[davidiowx]

Wxman57 on storm2k says this is going to the upper TX coast with flooding for east TX and LA. I told them it’s too early to know for sure yet where it’s going and I got attacked saying they trust what he’s saying because he’s a pro met. I just don’t see how you could say where a system is going a whole week out with so many variables at play. I think anyone from TX to FL should keep an eye on it.

You mean the Heat Miser? He tries to build walls on the Canadian border during the winter months lol.. He’s probably making a prediction, I haven’t read the post you are referring to yet, but I am sure he knows it’s way to early to say for certain. The odds are in his favor as NOLA and eastward appears out of the question for a “landfall” but things can and do change in the steering currents.

Depending on how this develops and what shear looks like, this could very well be a lopsided system. So let’s say it hits the upper Texas coast as a heavy sheared system, the rain and surge would be east of Texas.

We just have to wait and see for a storm to develop first.. All need to be prepared regardless as we it’s Hurricane season and everyone needs to have their kits and supplies ready. 2020 has been a crazy year so far.

[Cromagnum]

There is a high pressure system to the east and a new one will be to the west with any potential system shooting the gap. It will be a matter of which high pressure is stronger that dictates east or west track.

[Texaspirate11]

The slower the storm the more west it goes.
Its gonna be a nail biter for many.

[jasons2k]

Wxman57 on storm2k says this is going to the upper TX coast with flooding for east TX and LA. I told them it’s too early to know for sure yet where it’s going and I got attacked saying they trust what he’s saying because he’s a pro met. I just don’t see how you could say where a system is going a whole week out with so many variables at play. I think anyone from TX to FL should keep an eye on it.

I checked on this. I agree it is too early to call, but the response wasn't an "attack." Let's not be so dramatic, please. If you had been "attacked" we would have dealt with it.

[Cpv17]

Wxman57 on storm2k says this is going to the upper TX coast with flooding for east TX and LA. I told them it’s too early to know for sure yet where it’s going and I got attacked saying they trust what he’s saying because he’s a pro met. I just don’t see how you could say where a system is going a whole week out with so many variables at play. I think anyone from TX to FL should keep an eye on it.

I checked on this. I agree it is too early to call, but the response wasn't an "attack." Let's not be so dramatic, please. If you had been "attacked" we would have dealt with it.

You could’ve messaged me in private about this. Kind of embarrassing to call me “dramatic” in front of everyone on here. I care about my image a lot and really don’t want people to have any derogatory thoughts towards me.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Wxman57 on storm2k says this is going to the upper TX coast with flooding for east TX and LA. I told them it’s too early to know for sure yet where it’s going and I got attacked saying they trust what he’s saying because he’s a pro met. I just don’t see how you could say where a system is going a whole week out with so many variables at play. I think anyone from TX to FL should keep an eye on it.

I checked on this. I agree it is too early to call, but the response wasn't an "attack." Let's not be so dramatic, please. If you had been "attacked" we would have dealt with it.

You could’ve messaged me in private about this. Kind of embarrassing to call me “dramatic” in front of everyone on here. I care about my image a lot and really don’t want people to have any derogatory thoughts towards me.

Stop caring what people think, and life gets a lot easier.

[Pas_Bon]

I checked on this. I agree it is too early to call, but the response wasn't an "attack." Let's not be so dramatic, please. If you had been "attacked" we would have dealt with it.

You could’ve messaged me in private about this. Kind of embarrassing to call me “dramatic” in front of everyone on here. I care about my image a lot and really don’t want people to have any derogatory thoughts towards me.

Stop caring what people think, and life gets a lot easier.

Amen.
A&M and LSU fan agrees on this one. Lol

[Stormlover2020]

https://twitter.com/bigjoebastardi/stat ... 20812?s=21

[jasons2k]

All,

I respectfully ask that if you experience an issue on Storm2k, please report the post on that site and message our administrators. Or, feel free to PM me privately and I will deal with it privately.

Please don't publicly clutter this board with issues regarding Storm2k. The only reason why I replied publicly here is because the original complaint was made public, so I felt the need to address it. I apologize for any distractions here. It's going to be a busy week so let's all work together to keep the boards focused on the weather.

Thank you all.