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snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu May 28, 2020 9:06 am meanwhile.....what's up with this???

Is that the GFS?
Hou/GX NWS said that its 240 hours out and well its 240 hours out....

That's actually the end of the GFS run that is 384 hrs, 16 days away.

Nothing at this point to be concerned about.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu May 28, 2020 9:06 am meanwhile.....what's up with this???

I wouldn’t even consider worrying about anything the models are showing past one week out.

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1217 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

TXC291-281730-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200528T1730Z/
Liberty TX-
1217 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY COUNTY...

At 1216 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles south of Ames, or 8 miles southeast of Liberty,
moving east at 5 to 10 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Liberty County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Man, we have been rockin and rollin every day with these storms in beaumont. Lightning is intense.

Lightest May for tornadoes in 50 years.

We continue to see tornado season trend earlier and more SE due to CC.

1.05 more inches in my backyard from Round 2.

1.88 in of precip for the day! Sitting pretty for 10 days as the heat begins to build.

Closing in close to 5” for the week since these disturbances began. Ive done lost count on what round im on...more expected later here in beaumont after 4pm...

Storming pretty good around the Fred Hartmen Bridge. Experienced light hail as I drove through.

So far today, all the action has been east and southeast of US-59.

000
WFUS54 KHGX 281951
TORHGX
TXC167-282015-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0022.200528T1951Z-200528T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
251 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Central Galveston County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 315 PM CDT.

* At 250 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located near the Texas City Dike, moving south at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Texas City Dike at 255 PM CDT
Pelican Island around 305 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
League City.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2941 9488 2942 9483 2936 9473 2931 9487
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 354DEG 12KT 2938 9485

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

Similar look to yesterday in my backyard. Looks like Independence Day alien ship arrival all over again.

Rain chances for this afternoon have been lowered across the board. The excitement was fun while it lasted. As we turn the page into June, and right on que, we start looking south, instead of north, for new opportunities for rain events.

Entering the worst. Part. Of. The. year!

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 3:01 pm Entering the worst. Part. Of. The. year!

Hopefully this will be a summer without a drought and triple digits. I would be delighted with a summer full of low 70’s ranging low 90’s with a 50/50 shot each day for sea breeze downpours.

Unfortunately, asking for the Houston summer to mimic Tampa Bay may be asking too much, at least in most years.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 4:09 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 3:01 pm Entering the worst. Part. Of. The. year!

Hopefully this will be a summer without a drought and triple digits. I would be delighted with a summer full of low 70’s ranging low 90’s with a 50/50 shot each day for sea breeze downpours.

Unfortunately, asking for the Houston summer to mimic Tampa Bay may be asking too much, at least in most years.

That’s about the best I could ask for.... if Summer 2007 happened again, I’d be happy.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 3:01 pm Entering the worst. Part. Of. The. year!

*Best part

Rain chances are definitely on the rise for this weekend, especially for tomorrow. Models are looking quite yet.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat May 30, 2020 11:09 am Rain chances are definitely on the rise for this weekend, especially for tomorrow. Models are looking quite yet.

First I’ve seen this. I wasn’t paying much attention because rain chances were near 0 for this weekend but I just checked and it’s 60%. What changed?

JDsGN wrote: ↑Sat May 30, 2020 11:45 am

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat May 30, 2020 11:09 am Rain chances are definitely on the rise for this weekend, especially for tomorrow. Models are looking quite yet.

First I’ve seen this. I wasn’t paying much attention because rain chances were near 0 for this weekend but I just checked and it’s 60%. What changed?

An ULL parked over the northern mountains of Mexico was originally forecasted to drift west away from us but now it’s slowly drifting east towards us and pumping in a lot of Gulf moisture.