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Man, that is a lot of rain on the GFS.

Dont need anymore rain. Need zero in February at my place.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 06, 2020 5:25 pm Man, that is a lot of rain on the GFS.

Yes,next week looks really nice for some much needed rain across the state.

Looks like most of us do need some rain:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentM ... or.aspx?TX

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Feb 06, 2020 7:06 pm Dont need anymore rain. Need zero in February at my place.

You could go 2 months at your place with no rain and the grounds would still be saturated there lol

Got down to 32.7. No freeze but lots of frost, so good thing I covered everything. Looking forward to an extended period of warmer weather.

Friday morning weather briefing from Jeff:

Extended period of wet weather increasingly likely for next week.

Enjoy the sun and decent temperatures today and Saturday as an extended period of wet weather looks to commence late Sunday through next Wednesday.

A return of SE winds and moisture will begin late Saturday and continue into Sunday as a slow moving upper level trough digs into the SW US. The position of this trough will favor a SW flow aloft over much of TX with moisture streaming NE from the Pacific and also moving inland from the Gulf of Mexico. A frontal boundary will drop southward and slow over SE TX early next week and along with disturbances aloft provide a good focus for the development of showers and thunderstorms over the region. It appears the boundary may stall near the coast Monday into Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms continuing. Depending on where the front stalls will have a fairly big impact on temperatures as locations north of the boundary will likely remain in the 50’s while south of the front will be in the 70’s.

A fairly strong trough rotates through the area around next Wednesday and this looks to result in the development of a coastal low that moves into or across the area during this period. Several global models bring this feature inland along with a band of heavy rainfall while the GFS keeps it near the coast or offshore and the worst of the weather in that area. This is pretty far out for much certainty of the track of such a feature, but the point to be made is that a fairly wet period is looking likely.

Widespread rainfall amounts Sun-Wednesday night look to average 1-2 inches across much of the area with totals of 3-4 inches along and east of I-45. Could possibly see some higher totals especially if a surface low track over the area next Wednesday. While the drought monitor shows drought over much of the area, soils especially east of I-45 and along the coast are fairly wet and the expected widespread nature of the rainfall next week will likely result in rises on area watersheds and rivers.

Rain chances for next week have gone down a bit on the last 2 runs of the GFS. Meanwhile, the Euro is now the wetter model with about 1-2” along the coast and 2-6” everywhere else.

I hit 73 today. Quite a bit warmer than expected.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri Feb 07, 2020 4:55 pm I hit 73 today. Quite a bit warmer than expected.

That dry air heats up real fast. No moisture content to hold it back.

For my location, the NWS lowered temps about 10 degrees, across the board for next week. They had me with highs in the 70's, now it's the 60's.

I’ve already reached my forecast high today of 67.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 12:30 pm I’ve already reached my forecast high today of 67.

Edit: I had a high of 75. An 8-degree bust.

Looks like we should get a pretty good stretch of moisture over the next several days. Much needed rain across much of the southern half of the state.

Andrew wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 5:01 pm Looks like we should get a pretty good stretch of moisture over the next several days. Much needed rain across much of the southern half of the state.

Looks like north of I-10 will be the big winner with this event. Not looking like much of an event south of 10.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 8:08 pm

Andrew wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 5:01 pm Looks like we should get a pretty good stretch of moisture over the next several days. Much needed rain across much of the southern half of the state.

Looks like north of I-10 will be the big winner with this event. Not looking like much of an event south of 10.

Looks like most everyone should get at least some rain, but north (and east) of 10 do look like the most favorable areas. With that said, these areas do need it more than areas along the coast. Either way, should be a little bit of a relief for most.

Euro and Canadian have freezing temps in the Brazos Valley around Valentines Day and just after the 20th. Promises, promises.



Spring in BCS = Severe Season. Be prepared. It already looked a bit like soupy severe season this afternoon.

The grackles are back a bit early. Have not see mosquito hawks just yet. A couple of years ago the grackles did not appear until Mid March. NOAA proclaims the 5th warmest January ever (recorded history) in the US.

Andrew wrote: ↑Sun Feb 09, 2020 11:58 am

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 8:08 pm

Andrew wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 5:01 pm Looks like we should get a pretty good stretch of moisture over the next several days. Much needed rain across much of the southern half of the state.

Looks like north of I-10 will be the big winner with this event. Not looking like much of an event south of 10.

Looks like most everyone should get at least some rain, but north (and east) of 10 do look like the most favorable areas. With that said, these areas do need it more than areas along the coast. Either way, should be a little bit of a relief for most.

If you like it soggy - this week is for you.

last thing I need right now is more rain...

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Feb 09, 2020 8:41 pm Euro and Canadian have freezing temps in the Brazos Valley around Valentines Day and just after the 20th. Promises, promises.

Spring in BCS = Severe Season. Be prepared. It already looked a bit like soupy severe season this afternoon.

The grackles are back a bit early. Have not see mosquito hawks just yet. A couple of years ago the grackles did not appear until Mid March. NOAA proclaims the 5th warmest January ever (recorded history) in the US.

The crane flies are already out and about down here. Saw a lot of them today. The azaleas are starting to bloom too.