Page 12 of 25
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 1:22 pm
by mckinne63
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Aug 17, 2019 12:48 pm
7 days until College Football starts!
Climatological Fall is in 15 days.... give me some cold fronts. Summer sucks!
Yay on Football! And yay on cold fronts! Agree on summer. Though this one has not been as bad as some years past. July was fairly pleasant. We knew that probably would not last into August. LOL
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 2:42 pm
by Cpv17
12z Euro has a depression or weak tropical storm into Beaumont/Port Arthur. A ton of rain for LA. Crickets here.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 7:46 pm
by Scott747
After a few days of the models backing off any development of the gom system next week the afternoon runs have shown some tepid life. Operational GFS at least shows some more energy and a few more members of the ensemble have something anywhere from the mid Texas coast to c la. Along with the euro it develops as it nears the coast.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 7:47 pm
by srainhoutx
36 years ago tonight we were hunkering down for the arrival of Hurricane Alicia. Little did I know that my personal life would eventually be changed by the first named storm of the season in 1983.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 8:23 pm
by Cpv17
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 17, 2019 7:46 pm
After a few days of the models backing off any development of the gom system next week the afternoon runs have shown some tepid life. Operational GFS at least shows some more energy and a few more members of the ensemble have something anywhere from the mid Texas coast to c la. Along with the euro it develops as it nears the coast.
We need this to come in south of Matagorda as a weak sloppy mess.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 8:46 pm
by Katdaddy
36 years ago this evening I knew that Hurricane Alicia would be my first hurricane experience as she approached the Upper TX Coast as a CAT 3.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 11:47 pm
by Scott747
0z GFS aligns up with the 12z euro. Pulses on Friday and then tries to organize as it's off the mid/upper tx coast before going inland late Saturday night into early Sunday around the border.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 12:24 am
by Scott747
Not that I have much faith in it but the 0z ICON is now developing a system off the mid/upper tx coast into a tropical storm and moving it ne towards Louisiana.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 1:58 am
by Cpv17
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 18, 2019 12:24 am
Not that I have much faith in it but the 0z ICON is now developing a system off the mid/upper tx coast into a tropical storm and moving it ne towards Louisiana.
That’s pretty much what the other models are showing too.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 10:35 am
by Ptarmigan
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 17, 2019 11:47 pm
0z GFS aligns up with the 12z euro. Pulses on Friday and then tries to organize as it's off the mid/upper tx coast before going inland late Saturday night into early Sunday around the border.
Not going to put much stock into forecast models that are over a week ahead.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 11:53 am
by Cpv17
The 12z GFS is looking good for some rain for the first couple counties inland. Has a hard time making it north though. Most of it stays south of 59.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 12:47 pm
by Cromagnum
The rain train is coming on the south side. Lots of little 10 minute popups.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 1:11 pm
by jasons2k
First outflow passing through. Hopefully it’s early enough in the day for things to recover...
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 5:43 pm
by Cpv17
Pretty quiet on the radar today. Another day with no rain here.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 6:03 pm
by Katdaddy
The tropic watch ramps up this upcoming week.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Sun Aug 18, 2019 11:24 pm
by Rip76
Katdaddy wrote: ↑Sun Aug 18, 2019 6:03 pm
The tropic watch ramps up this upcoming week.
Yes it does.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2019 10:33 am
by djmike
This humidity though...almost unbearable.
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2019 1:21 pm
by jasons2k
Almost everything dissipates north of I-10...
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2019 1:25 pm
by Kingwood36
Is it fall yet?
Re: August 2019: Typical Summertime Pattern
Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2019 2:14 pm
by Cpv17
The Euro offers no hope. I hope the GFS is right.