August 2019: Weak Cold Front/Rain Chances To End August

[jasons2k]

It’s pouring downtown @ Minute Maid.

Nothing near the house can hold together.

[don]

It's raining pretty heavy here in the Heights right now.

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
122 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

TXC071-201-251915-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0117.190825T1822Z-190825T1915Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chambers TX-Harris TX-
122 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Northwestern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Southern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 215 PM CDT.

* At 122 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause minor flooding in the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Pasadena, Baytown, La Porte, Deer Park, South Houston, Bellaire,
West University Place, northeastern Seabrook, Galena Park, Jacinto
City, Hunters Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney Point
Village, Beach City, Cloverleaf, Downtown Houston, Greenway / Upper
Kirby Area, Second Ward, Greater Heights and Neartown / Montrose.

[davidiowx]

I don’t know whether to continue being frustrated or just laugh because when rain is around, it’s rained everywhere but my house in the past 5-6 weeks or so. My weather station has .13” since early July.

Here we are today, rain for all!! None for me, yet. Hoping it happens but knowing my luck, the atmosphere will be worked over and I’ll get some clouds and thunder but no rain. Watering the yard continues!

[don]

Btw the Euro still looks to be on board with bringing this system back to us a week and a half from now as a Depression or weak tropical storm fwiw.

[Cromagnum]

Btw the Euro still looks to be on board with bringing this system back to us next weekend as a Depression or weak tropical storm fwiw.

What would that mean in terms of Dorian who could potentially get to us in in the 10ish day timeframe should it also come this way?

[djmike]

Be careful what I wish for... FFWar Jefferson County.

Flash Flood Warning
TXC245-252200-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0074.190825T1853Z-190825T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
153 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northeastern Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 500 PM CDT.

* At 153 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have
already fallen at some locations over the past hour. Flash
flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches, Central
Gardens, Port Acres and Southeast Texas Regional Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 3013 9410 3011 9407 3008 9409 3007 9403
3003 9403 3003 9400 3001 9400 3002 9398
3001 9398 3001 9396 2999 9394 3000 9392
2998 9386 2993 9386 2986 9393 2985 9392
2985 9394 2984 9394 3000 9423

$$

Tingler

[jasons2k]

Still missing me too...so darn close!

[Cpv17]

Btw the Euro still looks to be on board with bringing this system back to us next weekend as a Depression or weak tropical storm fwiw.

What would that mean in terms of Dorian who could potentially get to us in in the 10ish day timeframe should it also come this way?

Dorian might not survive the Caribbean and if it crosses over Hispaniola there probably won’t be much left of it cuz the mountains will shred it to pieces.

[mckinne63]

I think no more rain for Stafford. All the rain appears to be to the north and east of here. Was nice to get some.

[jasons2k]

Nothing. I’ll be running the sprinklers a lot this week. Really sucks.

[Cpv17]

Nothing. I’ll be running the sprinklers a lot this week. Really sucks.

I’ve noticed that it likes to rain in the same places. One good rain at your location could change your luck.

[djmike]

Local met mentioned a possible Low forming from tail end of a front in the W GOM around 9/2-9/4 timeframe. Anyone else read anything on this?

[Cpv17]

Local met mentioned a possible Low forming from tail end of a front in the W GOM around 9/2-9/4 timeframe. Anyone else read anything on this?
AF371E0F-FB4A-42C9-9208-535207C95C97.jpeg

The Euro has it. It’s invest 90L (same system that brought us rain this weekend) that circles back around towards us again.

[djmike]

Local met mentioned a possible Low forming from tail end of a front in the W GOM around 9/2-9/4 timeframe. Anyone else read anything on this?
AF371E0F-FB4A-42C9-9208-535207C95C97.jpeg

The Euro has it. It’s invest 90L (same system that brought us rain this weekend) that circles back around towards us again.

Ah!! Gotcha. I heard that scenario. Thank you!

[Cpv17]

Local met mentioned a possible Low forming from tail end of a front in the W GOM around 9/2-9/4 timeframe. Anyone else read anything on this?
AF371E0F-FB4A-42C9-9208-535207C95C97.jpeg

The Euro has it. It’s invest 90L (same system that brought us rain this weekend) that circles back around towards us again.

Ah!! Gotcha. I heard that scenario. Thank you!

No problem. It looks like the latest GFS run kinda has it too just not as pronounced as the Euro.

[Katdaddy]

The Houston-Galveston NWS mentions next weekend in this afternoon's AFD:

Things become rather muddled by the end of next week and into the
weekend. At this time, it appears a tropical wave or perhaps a
weak area of low pressure will try to organize over the central
Gulf. Too soon to know where this system will track or potential
impacts but we are approaching the peak of the tropical season and
it`s always a good idea to check preparedness plans and remain
prepared.

[sau27]

The Euro has it. It’s invest 90L (same system that brought us rain this weekend) that circles back around towards us again.

Ah!! Gotcha. I heard that scenario. Thank you!

No problem. It looks like the latest GFS run kinda has it too just not as pronounced as the Euro.

It shows up a bit better on the GFS ensembles. A few of the 18z ensemble members bring have it stuck under an appliachain/east coast ridge and drive it due west across the gulf. Not sure how much I buy that though.

[Scott747]

Pretty good consensus by the models that Dorian or whatever is left of it will get into the gulf. 0z GFS brings the vorticity all the way towards San Luis/Freeport.

[cperk]

Pretty good consensus by the models that Dorian or whatever is left of it will get into the gulf. 0z GFS brings the vorticity all the way towards San Luis/Freeport.

A local meteorologist last night gave the all clear to our area concerning Dorian.

[Cromagnum]

Pretty good consensus by the models that Dorian or whatever is left of it will get into the gulf. 0z GFS brings the vorticity all the way towards San Luis/Freeport.

A local meteorologist last night gave the all clear to our area concerning Dorian.

Far too early to call anything regarding Dorian.