July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

[Katdaddy]

Well this looks refreshing for late July.

[Texaspirate11]

Just enough rain here to wet my gardens appetite...
this is really July in Texas............

[mckinne63]

Well this looks refreshing for late July.

It sure does!

[DoctorMu]

Broken line of showers along the front on its way. Clouds invading CLL. With a nice outflow. Appears to be building some steam, plowing into humid air. Fingers crossed for us and those in Grimes Co., Spring, Houston, Galveston areas, etc.

[DoctorMu]

Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX125D04DF50E8.SpecialWeatherStatement.125D04DF7F64TX.HGXSPSHGX.a33fe42fec61452741ef649f06d221d0 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 19:26 CDT on 07-22-2019
Effective: 19:42 CDT on 07-22-2019
Expires: 20:45 CDT on 07-22-2019
Event: Special Weather Statement
Alert:
...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 726 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles north of Austonio to near Franklin.
Movement was south at 15 mph.
Pea size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
College Station, Bryan, Madisonville, Austonio, Trinity, Lovelady,
Bedias, Kurten, Wixon Valley, Kyle Field, Iola and North Zulch.
Instructions: These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
Target Area:
Brazos
Burleson
Grimes
Houston
Madison
Trinity
Walker

[Cpv17]

Why does it regularly rain so much during the summers in the southeast and here in Texas we have a difficult time getting rain?I’ve always wondered that. Can’t really complain too much this summer though. We haven’t even reached the upper 90’s yet here in Wharton County.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Why does it regularly rain so much during the summers in the southeast and here in Texas we have a difficult time getting rain?I’ve always wondered that. Can’t really complain too much this summer though. We haven’t even reached the upper 90’s yet here in Wharton County.

It’s been a wetter than normal Summer.

[DoctorMu]

Why does it regularly rain so much during the summers in the southeast and here in Texas we have a difficult time getting rain?I’ve always wondered that. Can’t really complain too much this summer though. We haven’t even reached the upper 90’s yet here in Wharton County.

It’s been a wetter than normal Summer.

It rained like crazy until the first day of summer here. 1.70 inches since then. About 60% of normal. The good news is that we accumulated over a year's worth of precipitation from October to June 21 - Lakes and reservoirs are full. Water table is up. So the trees are in great shape for a change after years of stress. It has been a few degrees on average below normal.

But limited summer rain is par for the course in the Brazos Valley. Sea breeze fronts usually fizzle out about Navasota. Fronts usually wash out around Hearne. It generally starts raining with more regularity once SEC football begins...that's part of the reason we count down the days!

Looks like a bust tonight. There's a lingering cell north of the outflow storms, which fell apart, but not counting on any precipt IMBY.


The front will be welcome, even without rain until at least the weekend.

[Cromagnum]

And...nothing once again

[Cpv17]

Why does it regularly rain so much during the summers in the southeast and here in Texas we have a difficult time getting rain?I’ve always wondered that. Can’t really complain too much this summer though. We haven’t even reached the upper 90’s yet here in Wharton County.

It’s been a wetter than normal Summer.

Oh I know, but it does that over there seemingly every year. Only happens sometimes here.

[Katdaddy]

The cool front has moved across SE TX and into the coastal counties this morning. Winds are from the WNW to NW
with scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly to SW of Houston and just offshore of the
Upper TX Coast. Expect some much drier air and cooler mornings the next few days.

Some humor from this morning’s HOU-GAL NWS AFD:

It`s here, it`s here, the much advertised summer cold front is arriving! Now, prepare for Christmas in July! And if you believe that, I also have a workshop at the North Pole up for sale. No, while the results of this infrequent summer front will not be incredibly dramatic, it will - at least, for a couple days - usher in much drier air.

Though this won`t help cool things off terribly much as far as daytime highs, we`ll finally be able to cool more effectively overnight. Indeed, while ultimately most record lows will be safe, the Houston climate sites may get quite close for a night or two.

[Belmer]

NHC has tagged an area of interest in the GoM for a quick possible spin-up as the front washes out in the Gulf the next couple of days. Few models are hinting at a low developing tomorrow. Should be no threat to the Texas coast though as it will likely veer eastward near Florida.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Three, located offshore of the coast of east-central
Florida.

1. A non-tropical low pressure area could form over the northern Gulf
of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday. Thereafter, conditions
could become marginally conducive for some subtropical or tropical
development as it moves slowly northeastward through the end of the
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

Forecaster Latto/Brown

[aunneste]

Just enough rain here to wet my gardens appetite...
this is really July in Texas............

Why does it regularly rain so much during the summers in the southeast and here in Texas we have a difficult time getting rain?I’ve always wondered that. Can’t really complain too much this summer though. We haven’t even reached the upper 90’s yet here in Wharton County.

But limited summer rain is par for the course in the Brazos Valley. Sea breeze fronts usually fizzle out about Navasota.

And...nothing once again

Oh I know, but it does that over there seemingly every year. Only happens sometimes here.

Uninterrupted summer rain all the way to neighboring Louisiana, then BAM, dry across the state line. Seems like just a natural drying trend with longitude, but then you find that even the deserts of the SW have a summer monsoon season...

The very opposite can happen, of course .... during the non-summer months when rain is needed least. All those Februaries with dank overcast and drizzle down to the Mexican border, yet Jacksonville, Florida is sunny in the 80s.

The Texas weather pattern is just a major fail. That being said, I have some details regarding the mechanics. I'm out at the moment, but I'll share them once I get back.

[tireman4]

NWS Cold Front ( well wind shift..LOL) Facts this Week...

[tireman4]

More Cold Front Facts..

[tireman4]

Forecast Lows In the South

[srainhoutx]

What an more enjoyable weather pattern we have today when compared to 24 hours ago. My temperature is running about 11 degrees cooler this afternoon with a current temp of 83F. The front has cleared Corpus Christi and is nearing Harlingen in the Lower Rio Grande Valley. That is amazing to late July and shows the strength of the dry airmass. We may see some locations approach their record lows for the date tomorrow morning and again on Thursday morning. Lower dew points continue to filter in from the N and it is almost tempting to consider opening the windows tonight. The last time we had record low temperatures broken for a couple of consecutive nights in July was back in 1994. Enjoy the break!

[Cpv17]

Just enough rain here to wet my gardens appetite...
this is really July in Texas............

Why does it regularly rain so much during the summers in the southeast and here in Texas we have a difficult time getting rain?I’ve always wondered that. Can’t really complain too much this summer though. We haven’t even reached the upper 90’s yet here in Wharton County.

But limited summer rain is par for the course in the Brazos Valley. Sea breeze fronts usually fizzle out about Navasota.

And...nothing once again

Oh I know, but it does that over there seemingly every year. Only happens sometimes here.

Uninterrupted summer rain all the way to neighboring Louisiana, then BAM, dry across the state line. Seems like just a natural drying trend with longitude, but then you find that even the deserts of the SW have a summer monsoon season...

The very opposite can happen, of course .... during the non-summer months when rain is needed least. All those Februaries with dank overcast and drizzle down to the Mexican border, yet Jacksonville, Florida is sunny in the 80s.

The Texas weather pattern is just a major fail. That being said, I have some details regarding the mechanics. I'm out at the moment, but I'll share them once I get back.

Yep. Has to do something with the curvature of the Gulf and the pacific jet.

[Cromagnum]

Out here grilling on my patio. It's very pleasant this evening

[Ptarmigan]

Nice to see a cold front. Better if it was on a weekend.