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Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 12:44 pm
by Rip76
And Texas City
And Beaumont

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 12:45 pm
by stormlover
More rain tonight in Beaumont area they could see 3-6 more inches

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 12:52 pm
by Cpv17
Rip76 wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 12:44 pm And Texas City
And Beaumont
How much rain did they get? Or what exactly happened there?

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 12:55 pm
by Cpv17
I thought the front was supposed to stall out? It’s 62 degrees here in Wharton right now.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:00 pm
by davidiowx
Cpv17 wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 12:55 pm I thought the front was supposed to stall out? It’s 62 degrees here in Wharton right now.
It appears to be stalled along 59 or so per this wind map. Or at least that is a convergence zone?

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 31.85,2003

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:06 pm
by sambucol
And Baytown

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:08 pm
by stormlover
I got 6 inches on my rain gauge in lumberton.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:14 pm
by djmike
Over 8” where i am in beaumont. Had some high water rescues early this morning. Many stalled in my neighborhood. All feeders and MLk were impassable. Things are better now but if we get anymore here for beaumont tonight/Tomorrow, were going to float away. Prayers for all.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:19 pm
by bikerack
Cpv17 wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 12:20 pm Not very impressed overall with rain totals. We should consider ourselves very lucky. Things were forecasted to be much worse. There wasn’t really any training going on. Seems like the front bucked up against the boundary and gave it a kick south to get offshore.
I know you were only talking about last night, but I will take it! We received more than 13" of rain since last Friday.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:31 pm
by Cpv17
bikerack wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 1:19 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 12:20 pm Not very impressed overall with rain totals. We should consider ourselves very lucky. Things were forecasted to be much worse. There wasn’t really any training going on. Seems like the front bucked up against the boundary and gave it a kick south to get offshore.
I know you were only talking about last night, but I will take it! We received more than 13" of rain since last Friday.
7.40” here in Wharton since last Friday. 5.05” last night/this morning. We’re good here though. It was fairly dry here before this all started.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 1:56 pm
by CAK
15 plus inches in Kingwood since last Friday per my rain gauge.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 2:19 pm
by Cpv17
CAK wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 1:56 pm 15 plus inches in Kingwood since last Friday per my rain gauge.
Some places in Kingwood have received over 20” in the last week. They were the big winners or losers however you want to look at it.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 2:27 pm
by Cpv17
I know this isn’t what most of you guys want to hear, but we could be dealing with another big rainmaker soon.

Image

Image

The rain could continue all the way into June.


Image

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 2:31 pm
by Ounce
Bring it on.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 3:00 pm
by Cromagnum
Good thing the front pushed that blob out into the gulf. Just imagine if all that energy sat on us all day today.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 3:03 pm
by srainhoutx
You can thank an invigorated Madden Julian Oscillation for causing deep convection over the West Pacific creating a powerful Pacific jet that enhances a Blocking Regime over the Arctic and Greenland. That deep trough over the Great Basin into the Plains show no signs of relaxing. Two features that stand out is a possibility of increased severe weather and the beginning of a monsoonal gyre over Central America. The possibility of tropical development could increase in the Eastern Pacific with some chances of sheared development in the Western Caribbean as May ends and June begins. It's getting to be that time of year... ;)

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 3:33 pm
by sau27
18z extended range HRRR puts an 8 inch bullseye a stones throw from the seawall tomorrow. Inland it only has 1-2 inches but that aggressive uptick is something to keep an eye on. FWIW the 18z NAM 3km also has an 8 inch bullseye but a bit further down the coast towards Matagorda Bay. Lets see if this becomes a trend.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 3:42 pm
by srainhoutx
The WPC Afternoon Updated Excessive Rainfall Outlook is increased to Moderate Risk across portions of SE Texas and SW Louisiana for tomorrow. It had previously been downgraded to a Slight Risk.

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 3:47 pm
by srainhoutx
Flash Flood Watch cancelled for Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Madison and Washington Counties. All other Counties remain under a Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM Saturday

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Posted: Fri May 10, 2019 3:53 pm
by Cpv17
srainhoutx wrote: Fri May 10, 2019 3:47 pm Flash Flood Watch cancelled for Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Madison and Washington Counties. All other Counties remain under a Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM Saturday
Interesting. I figured the rain was pretty much over with since the front came through. I’m guessing it’s supposed to move back up?