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Temperature has dropped to 45F in my backyard. That's a 27 degree drop since 2:00 AM. Rain out West looks to be a bit further N as well.

000
FXUS64 KHGX 281800
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1200 PM CST Thu Feb 28 2019

.DISCUSSION [18Z TAF ISSUANCE]...

A weak front continues to slowly move across the southern portions
of the CWA and into the coastal waters. Visibilities and ceilings
have been slow to improve this morning with most TAF sites still
under LIFR-IFR conditions. A gradually improvement in visibilites
is expected this afternoon though ceilings are expected to remain
MVFR to IFR throughout the TAF period.

An upper level disturbance will move across the region today.
This will result in periods of SHRA and Iso TSRA mainly south of
I-10 this afternoon. Strong storms are capable of producing
frequent cloud-cloud and cloud-ground lightning, gusty variable
winds, and possible small hail. Heavy rainfall could also result
in periods of LIFR-IFR visibilites. VCTS are in place from 22-01Z
for IAH/HOU/SGR/LBX/GLS and TEMPOs may be issued for these sites
this afternoon.

Winds will be mainly from the N at 5-10 knots decreasing this
evening to around 5 knots or less and becoming E to SE early
Friday morning. 24

&&

So tired of the damned rain. Yard is a swamp. Weeds are rampant because I cannot do anything about it, and the mosquito plague is on the way.

Rain chances for today have been raised up to 50% but that’s still behind the curve. The fine folks at the NWS do an outstanding job but boy did they bust today.

jasons wrote: ↑Thu Feb 28, 2019 2:09 pm Rain chances for today have been raised up to 50% but that’s still behind the curve. The fine folks at the NWS do an outstanding job but boy did they bust today.

In Stafford make that 100%! It's been raining here most of the afternoon. It is light, but still rain. Glad we went to the rodeo last night and not going this evening.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Feb 28, 2019 2:00 pm So tired of the damned rain. Yard is a swamp. Weeds are rampant because I cannot do anything about it, and the mosquito plague is on the way.

I have heard that it’s supposed to be a wet spring so your problem may only get even worse.

Steve is our long range guy, but I have heard Summer will be cool and wet.

When I looked at the weather forecast on my phone this morning and observed a 50% chance of rain here and there I did not think that meant basically 100% chance of rain everywhere all day, which is what I've experienced.

I love the rain, but must admit the weather has been putting a damper on my jogging grove. Hard to enjoy a nice run when everywhere is rainy and wet all the time. Rain today, rain yesterday, rain the day before that... feels like the spring rains have arrived early this yer. Oh, well, guess I'll try to make the best of it.

from NWS on "Precipitation Probability", light reading: https://www.weather.gov/media/pah/Weath ... on/pop.pdf

PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY The probability of precipitation forecast is one of the most least understood elements of the weather forecast.

So long February 2019. Your "winter" proved to be tame in the cold department.

May the rains that you brought bring forth a plethora of Texas wildflowers!

On to March 2019...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 28, 2019 2:27 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Feb 28, 2019 2:00 pm So tired of the damned rain. Yard is a swamp. Weeds are rampant because I cannot do anything about it, and the mosquito plague is on the way.

I have heard that it’s supposed to be a wet spring so your problem may only get even worse.

It's unfortunate to hear that. We have had rain at my house just about 5 days a week since November with very rare few breaks.

Rained all day by the bay
Sick of it
Taking one for the blue bonnet team, Bluejay LOL

Another round of precipitation. Its Wintery again and picked up another .39” which is not much but keeps the yard saturated with some standing water. Lets hope we do not have an active weather Spring.

This was issued today by the CPC for the month of March. Notice it does keep southeast Texas in above average rainfall for March.



And it extends into April and May.

I'll take wet over dry 10 times out of 10. Makes for a cool Summer.