July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Somehow got .56” so I am happy with that. Amazing I got that much after seeing the radar, but I’ll take it :)
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Katdaddy
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Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected today and Saturday across SE TX before the inverted trough moves into Central TX and additional Saharan dust arrives Sunday.
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Ounce
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Ounce wrote:
jasons wrote:
tireman4 wrote:Tim Heller Retiring.......
I saw that. I always wondered why he left the DFW market - perhaps it was a bit too competitive with aces like David and Troy. I wonder if this was voluntary or due to budgets and the station trying to save money. We’ll probably never know but the skeptic in me bets he wasn’t planning to retire any time soon until he was called into the office for a little talk...
Wasn't it his wife that had the medical issue, then he ended up with one, as well?

In an interview of Frank Billingsley by Ken Hoffmann that I read this week, Frank said that he and Tim were up for the same Chief job at KDFW and that they were offering more money than KPRC was, but he decided to stay in Houston and Tim took the KDFW job.

Would it be accurate that among meteorologists that constant 'hot 'n humid' forecasts can get old?

It'll be interesting to see who gets that spot. We have a bumper crop of qualified TV mets here, but I'm not sure if the network is looking within their affiliates or not. Maybe a couple of our mets here can give some insight....please?
Bump, please.
unome
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lightning & an unexpected, soaking shower to start the weekend - yay, no watering !

https://atmo.tamu.edu/ciams/lma/sites/cy-fair_loop.html
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/in ... X-N0Q-1-48
Cromagnum
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Getting feisty on the south side of town. Looks like some hail in the cell headed towards Santa Fe
unome
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again :D
unome wrote:lightning & an unexpected, soaking shower to start the weekend - yay, no watering !

https://atmo.tamu.edu/ciams/lma/sites/cy-fair_loop.html
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/in ... X-N0Q-1-48
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MontgomeryCoWx
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.5 inch of rain in 35 minutes with more to come..
Team #NeverSummer
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DoctorMu
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As sniffed out a week ago, the death ridge settles in this week.
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote:As sniffed out a week ago, the death ridge settles in this week.
Yep, looks like today is it for a long time. So thankful I got .78” yesterday. In a few weeks we’ll be begging for rain again.
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Rip76
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DoctorMu wrote:As sniffed out a week ago, the death ridge settles in this week.
So blah.
unome
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unome wrote: in other, happy news - WPC will soon have a secure website - yay !

Please note: On July 10, 2018, WPC's web site will switch from the "http" protocol to the more secure "https" protocol. Please consider changing any bookmarked pages at that time. We will provide an update if there is a delay in this transition.
looks like it's delayed? haven't seen any news on it, still using http
unome
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3rd time's a charm? getting close, we'll see if it makes it here, though

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/in ... X-N0Q-1-48
https://atmo.tamu.edu/ciams/lma/network_loop.html

update: no dice :(
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Katdaddy
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Screen Shot 2018-07-15 at 5.35.56 PM.png
An awesome Upper TX Coast tropical sky photo. God Bless everyone!
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tireman4
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High Pressure Ridge of Death From Brooks!!
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote:High Pressure Ridge of Death From Brooks!!
THAT is frightening. Potential relief near the end of the month in the models. Fingers crossed.
unome
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yeah, not my kind of weather :(

https://twitter.com/NWSHouston

Hot until further notice

but then, it is late July in SE TX, so I guess we need to take the good with the bad

stay hydrated, peeps !
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srainhoutx
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DoctorMu wrote:
tireman4 wrote:High Pressure Ridge of Death From Brooks!!
THAT is frightening. Potential relief near the end of the month in the models. Fingers crossed.
The Ensembles suggest if we can get through the next week to 10 days, that pattern shifts the Heat Ridge further to the West with a weakness between our Upper Ridge currently centered over Texas and the Bermuda Ridge to the East. As I mentioned in the August Topic, bigger changes in the Hemispheric Pattern may be lurking as a very wet phase of the MJO arrives as well as the strongest CCKW of the season approach from the Pacific Ocean.
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07172018 12Z GFS 240 gfs_z500aNorm_namer_41.png
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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A short fuse Heat Advisory may be coming shortly as IAH currently has a heat Index of 107F. Heat Advisories seem likely for Saturday through Monday as Heat Indices are expected to reach the 110F to 112F Range. Be careful out there and stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in the A/C if possible.

I continue to see changes brewing next week as the Upper Heat Ridge is nudged WNW as a trough deepens over the Eastern half of the United States. Rain chances look to increase East to West beginning Tuesday as a weakness between the retreating Ridge over Texas shifts to the Great Basin and the strong Bermuda Ridge remains anchored off the East Coast.

Looking at the latest forecasts for the next several surges of Saharan Dust, the mid level flow appears to keep the bulk of the dust tracking West into Mexico into the weekend and next week.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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tireman4
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Well, be careful out there. Unfortunately, I have to work outside in the Sun ( my third job is a swimming ref) Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Oh boy....when is Winter?
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srainhoutx
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NWS Houston‏Verified account @NWSHouston · 46m46 minutes ago
As of July 19th, Matagorda County is still under a burn ban. Overall, roughly 14% of the forecast area is experiencing abnormally dry conditions. With little to no rainfall forecast through the middle of next week, there will be the possibility for expanding drought conditions.

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07192018  HGX Drought DieckNFWAAA_bX9.jpg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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