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Meanwhile, not too far south from here....

The threat for Houston metro will be enhanced by any outflow boundaries which result from this energy cruising up through Wharton and Colorado Counties after Matagorda... Thanks for posting!

Wow is it humid outside. 87 here with a dew point of 78.

huge difference from a rainstorm from a passing front - stepped outside after a short, heavy shower & it feels warmer, not cooler - now hearing loud thunder, another round https://atmo.tamu.edu/ciams/lma/sites/cy-fair_loop.html

The real heavy stuff just started up here in far SW Washington County (the Greater Greenvine Metropolitan area). We appear to be on the far downstream end of the band that extends all the way down to Matagorda Bay. At least our place is at 425'ASL.

Watching the outflow driven band off-shore from Brownsville shooting north. Wonder how far north it will make it.

Just looking at radar and satellite, it appears we may have some heavier stuff training into the area this afternoon into tonight. May be interesting it if holds together.

The band to the west is inching eastward, into the inflow...

Yes sir...

jasons wrote:The band to the west is inching eastward, into the inflow...

Yeah, I'm thinking the western half of the metro area (west of 45) is going to get real interesting come 330 onward.

The HRRR shows a possible focus of rain coming closer to our region over next 18hrs.... Not to say that this would cause flooding, but it would cause rain.

davidiowx wrote:Just looking at radar and satellite, it appears we may have some heavier stuff training into the area this afternoon into tonight. May be interesting it if holds together.

The center of circulation is slowly moving NNE now. The northern band of rain is now moving south and the southern band to the east. Brenham and Hempstead could be under the gun.

I am now at 2 inches since Sunday. Come on mother nature, give me a few more.

Any chance this band coming in from the west slows down and trains like it did in Beaumont or Corpus area? Or will this move through by this evening? I guess that is a tough question lol.. This has been pretty difficult to forecast by the NWS I imagine.

davidiowx wrote:Any chance this band coming in from the west slows down and trains like it did in Beaumont or Corpus area? Or will this move through by this evening? I guess that is a tough question lol.. This has been pretty difficult to forecast by the NWS I imagine.

Yes. That's what we're worried about... that THIS is Houston's rain event from this tropical wave this week. So far we're the last man standing -- as far as metro region on Texas coast yet to experience significant flooding. Hopefully we fully dodge that bullet but with a line of storms training and moving into 80° dew point air with PWATS over 2.5".... it's gonna rain.

Just back from being out in the mess in Western Harris County all day. Getting a bit concerned with the heaviest rainfall hitting Spring, Little Cypress and Cypress Creeks in NW Harris County. It's beginning to make some folks a bit nervous in the NW reaches of Harris County with what we see attempting to slowly move in from the West on top of the 2 to nearly 4 inches that have fallen this morning and throughout the day.

Checking the gauges on harris county flood control, the highest rainfall we've spotted in this band is about 2" per hour.... cold pooling behind this line MAY push it through, sparing us... Hoping the westward progression of that low doesn't effectively stop forward motion of this line.

Hrr model blowing this up moving it towards Houston/Beaumont area

Im concerned about cell merging over the city, with the line of storms progressing from the west...

How fast are these storms moving?