Page 10 of 12

Re: MAY 2018 - Rain Chances/Memorial Day Weekend WX

Posted: Thu May 24, 2018 2:38 pm
by Cromagnum
Rosharon has once again missed the mark. A nice storm formed to the NE and SE of us, but both cells are moving due west leaving us dry slotted yet again. :evil:

Re: MAY 2018 - Rain Chances/Memorial Day Weekend WX

Posted: Thu May 24, 2018 4:44 pm
by DoctorMu
Much weaker seabreeze today. Only going to get hotter and drier for the next week. Hope the forecast changes. Maybe 0.1 in of rain yesterday. Nothing coming this way this afternoon.

Re: MAY 2018 - Rain Chances/Memorial Day Weekend WX

Posted: Thu May 24, 2018 5:30 pm
by unome
we just had another downpour, easily 5-7" for the last week - other nearby gauges show only 1.5-3"

I'm a happy camper, no watering for a bit at least

https://www.harriscountyfws.org/

Image

Re: MAY 2018 - Rain Chances/Memorial Day Weekend WX

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 5:46 am
by Katdaddy
A 40% chance of showers and a few thunderstorms along the Upper TX Coast today. Rain chances decrease for Saturday and Sunday as deeper moisture moves E and ridging builds across SE TX. Memorial Day is looking mostly sunny and hot.
Invest 90L is still likely to become the first named tropical cyclone of the 2018 hurricane season. Current model runs have a landfall between SE LA and NW FL. This would have very little effect on the Upper TX Coast except for sunny and hot weather due to subsidence and slightly higher seas offshore.

Re: MAY 2018 - Rain Chances/Memorial Day Weekend WX

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 8:55 am
by tireman4
Sub Tropical Trouble

Re: MAY 2018 - Rain Chances/Memorial Day Weekend WX

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 11:13 am
by DoctorMu
tireman4 wrote:Sub Tropical Trouble
Yep - that's been on the radar for a week. The good and bad news is that the ridge will keep it away from Texas. High, dry, hot...and it's not even June yet. Austin will probably break 100°F in the coming week.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 5:47 pm
by srainhoutx
I received measurable rainfall for the last 5 days, excluding today. I am grateful for every drop that fell. The sprinkler system was turned off last Sunday morning. Happy Memorial Weekend folks. Never forget why we celebrate this time... ;)

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 9:29 pm
by Katdaddy
God’s skies are so very amazing and dynamic. Beautiful crepuscular rays from a tropical cumulus this evening.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 6:02 pm
by DoctorMu
Katdaddy wrote:God’s skies are so very amazing and dynamic. Beautiful crepuscular rays from a tropical cumulus this evening.
East of I-45 they are seeing some wrap around showers from Alberto, moving SSE. Hoping to get lucky tomorrow.


Image

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 6:12 pm
by DoctorMu
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
353 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Lower level high pressure planted over the northwestern Gulf with
the very slight northwestward movement of Alberto and southwestern
upper ridging keeping eastern Texas under a pronounced northerly
flow pattern. Warm and muggy overnight conditions will be more
tolerable per an evening southerly breeze. As winds weaken below 5
knots under mainly clear skies...the probabilities for rural county
fog will be on the rise. Early Sunday patchy fog development will
likely be focused just north and west of Galveston Bay (sans the
metro area of course). As Alberto nears the Florida Panhandle
tomorrow afternoon there may be a weak disturbance that rotates
around his backside and clips extreme (south)eastern Texas. If
this weaker PVA does pass through from mid morning through late
afternoon it will be moving into a heated, fairly moist and
unstable environment. Thus, have low end POPs in place Sunday for
the southern two thirds of the forecast area to account for the
daily evolution of more numerous late morning into afternoon
scattered showers and thunder.
The main threats with the strongest
storms will be downburst winds. Small hail production and very
brief heavy rainfall rates leading to short term nuisance low-
lying area/roadway flooding.


Other than some slight chances for sea breeze convection Tuesday...
this near term through the extended period forecast strictly becomes
a temperature-themed affair. Relatively drier air moving in on
Monday and an amplifying northern Mexico upper ridge across the
state will likely place us under a heat wave throughout the
remaining days of the month. Subsequent days of greater than 90F
will likely break the most frequent days above 90s for the month
of May (currently at 15 for the month at IAH)...so odds are very
good that this year will replace 2003 for the top ranking. On a
more serious note...heat indices will certainly be dangerously
high. With maximum temperatures forecast in the middle to upper
90s by mid to late week, lower to middle 70 PM dew points,
relatively weaker winds and ample sun will push afternoon heat
indices into the Heat Advisory realm of 108 F or greater. Of
course, hydration and remaining in cooler environments during the
afternoon hours is key to your health. No matter your physical
conditioning it is recommended to limit any outdoor activity
during this coming week. 31

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 7:12 pm
by Cromagnum
Finally getting rain in Rosharon. Hopefully the hail and wind in Manvel stay away. It's so dry that my privacy fence isn't supported well by the cracked clay soil. Been through this drought and catch up thunderstorm dance before and it's not fun.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 8:38 pm
by Waded
East Harris County getting blasted by some serious storms.... howling winds, torrential downpour, prodigious lighting... reminds me of some tropical storms I been through.... only 8pm, but it's pitch black out here.

" 39899213
AM..TXC201,TXC339.
TXT
WWUS54 KHGX 270135
SVSHGX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
835 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018
TXC201-339-270200-
/O.CON.KHGX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-180527T0200Z/
Montgomery TX-Harris TX-
835 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES...
At 834 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Greater
Greenspoint, moving southwest at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Quarter size hail and wind gusts around 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.
Locations impacted include...
Humble, Greater Greenspoint, Aldine, Northside / Northline, Greater
Fifth Ward, Near Northside Houston, Kingwood, Spring, Bush
Intercontinental Airport, Eastex / Jensen Area, Atascocita, Houston
Gardens, Hidden Valley, Kashmere Gardens, East Little York /
Homestead, northeastern Acres Home, East Houston and Lake Houston.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 3008 9527 2998 9518 2979 9533 2996 9551
TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 053DEG 26KT 2992 9540
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH


"

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 9:06 pm
by Katdaddy
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
901 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018

TXZ213-227-237-238-313-337-338-270245-
Inland Brazoria TX-Coastal Harris TX-Inland Galveston TX-
Coastal Galveston TX-Inland Harris TX-Fort Bend TX-
Coastal Brazoria TX-
901 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON...
NORTHEASTERN FORT BEND...NORTHEASTERN BRAZORIA AND SOUTHERN HARRIS
COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

At 859 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms from Aldine to Houston to Kemah, moving southwest
at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 45 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pasadena, Pearland, League City, Sugar Land, Missouri City,
Friendswood, La Porte, Deer Park, Alvin, Stafford, South Houston,
Bellaire, West University Place, Santa Fe, Seabrook, Galena Park,
Jacinto City, Webster, Jersey Village and Manvel.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 9:46 pm
by Katdaddy
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
934 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1015 PM CDT.

* At 933 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Iowa Colony,
or near Manvel, moving southwest at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Missouri City, northern Lake Jackson, Alvin, Angleton,
Manvel, Fresno, Richwood, Danbury, Arcola, Iowa Colony, Holiday
Lakes, Hillcrest, Bailey`s Prairie, Liverpool, Bonney, Sienna
Plantation, Brazos Bend State Park, Juliff, Damon and Chocolate
Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 9:52 pm
by CrashTestDummy
Oh, they finally woke up and discovered some rough weather out there!!

Like Waded indicated, some nasty stuff out there. Really lit the inside of the house up, and we had lights on!! :shock:
Katdaddy wrote:BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
934 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1015 PM CDT.

* At 933 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Iowa Colony,
or near Manvel, moving southwest at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Missouri City, northern Lake Jackson, Alvin, Angleton,
Manvel, Fresno, Richwood, Danbury, Arcola, Iowa Colony, Holiday
Lakes, Hillcrest, Bailey`s Prairie, Liverpool, Bonney, Sienna
Plantation, Brazos Bend State Park, Juliff, Damon and Chocolate
Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 9:54 pm
by DoctorMu
CrashTestDummy wrote:Oh, they finally woke up and discovered some rough weather out there!!

Like Waded indicated, some nasty stuff out there. Really lit the inside of the house up, and we had lights on!! :shock:
Katdaddy wrote:BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
934 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1015 PM CDT.

* At 933 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Iowa Colony,
or near Manvel, moving southwest at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Missouri City, northern Lake Jackson, Alvin, Angleton,
Manvel, Fresno, Richwood, Danbury, Arcola, Iowa Colony, Holiday
Lakes, Hillcrest, Bailey`s Prairie, Liverpool, Bonney, Sienna
Plantation, Brazos Bend State Park, Juliff, Damon and Chocolate
Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Some impressive outflow as the storm collapses.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 9:59 pm
by Katdaddy
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND AND CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTIES...

At 950 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bonney, or 9
miles north of Angleton, moving south at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Northern Lake Jackson, Angleton, southwestern Manvel, Richwood,
Danbury, Iowa Colony, Holiday Lakes, Bailey`s Prairie, Liverpool,
Bonney, Brazos Bend State Park, southeastern Sienna Plantation,
Juliff, Chocolate Bayou and Rosharon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sat May 26, 2018 11:30 pm
by Cromagnum
Nothing for nearly two months so the ground is cracked to hell. Then this nasty storm blows into Rosharon and screws up everyone's fence. Some light shingle damage on roofs. Multiple trees blown down in the area. Every playset in the neighborhood was destroyed. I had half of my neighbors playset in my backyard. Power still out everywhere.

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sun May 27, 2018 8:37 am
by srainhoutx
Keep an eye to the sky this afternoon. A weak upper air disturbance dropping S is already firing storms off early this morning on both sides of the Sabine River. We may see a repeat of last evenings fireworks provided by strong/severe thunderstorms.

Image

Re: MAY 2018 - Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Posted: Sun May 27, 2018 9:54 am
by jasons2k
Those storms can get pretty severe this time of year. The updrafts were pretty impressive - and the storm just missed me by a few miles. Sorry to hear about folks dealing with storm damage - that's never any fun.