JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday

[Cromagnum]

Why do folks think it's going to snow again? It's not cold enough, not wet at all.

[srainhoutx]

Fort Hood continues to report light snow with some minor accumulations, but no travel issues on the Base.

[davidiowx]

Why do folks think it's going to snow again? It's not cold enough, not wet at all.

There is a small disturbance that will move into the area later this evening that may create enough lift for some snow/sleet.

There are also about 4 models that are showing this solution as well. The temperatures at the surface doesn't mean it can't snow/sleet. If I recall correctly, the event in early December, I was in the upper 30s when it started snowing at my house and the snow cooled the surface enough for it to stick, albeit 4-5 hours after the snow started.

[snowman65]

Outside thermometer here in Orange is still showing around 26-28. I don't see us reaching 37ish today at all.

[stormlover]

Snowman I’m from lumberton

[snowman65]

Snowman I’m from lumberton

I think we are the minority...LOL...I've seen 1 person from Beaumont.

[stormlover]

Lol

[don]

The Latest HRRR model is kinda aggressive...

[harp]

What time frame is this?

[stormlover]

Hrrr trending stronger

[DoctorMu]

The Latest HRRR model is kinda aggressive...

This could get interesting.

Well done so far - hope you all see the mother lode this evening.

[snowman65]

What does that look like over towards the Tx/La border?

[srainhoutx]

RAP also shows some activity this evening, but we will need to see some radar returns develop over the next several hours if the HRRR is somewhat correct. Light snow flurries continue to fall across portions of Northern Burnett and Williamson Counties in Central Texas. I do see some light echos developing N of Bryan/College Station just recently. Brrr is it cold out there! Temperatures are expected to plummet tonight as that upper trough exits the Region ushering in re enforcing shot of very cold air.

[Katdaddy]

Agree with Srain and will be looking for any slight radar returns increasing this evening across Central and S Central TX.

[cperk]

The NWS had a 20% chance of sleet/snow in their forecast for Richmond,one hour later they removed it.

[davidiowx]

The NWS had a 20% chance of sleet/snow in their forecast for ,one hour later they removed it.

I saw that as well. I assume they are waiting to see if anything does develop before mentioning the possibility of winter precip later this evening.

[DoctorMu]

The NWS had a 20% chance of sleet/snow in their forecast for ,one hour later they removed it.

I saw that as well. I assume they are waiting to see if anything does develop before mentioning the possibility of winter precip later this evening.

If it were rain would NWS have left it in - at 20%? Possibly.

Because it's better to have folks surprised by wintry precip while driving on a slick, raised street at night in SE Texas. [sarcasm]

[srainhoutx]

The 18Z HRRR is very aggressive compared to earlier today regarding a 6 hour window of wintry mischief. Not sure it's correct, but stranger things have happened I suppose.

[DoctorMu]

Thermometer IMBY has topped off at 32°F. It feels colder than yesterday with a steady NE breeze. Don't think we're getting warmer than that.

[srainhoutx]

Also the Texas Tech WRF as well as the Euro are suggesting moisture falling this evening. Ceilings have lowered across NW Harris County to below 10,000 ft and still slowing lowering. Typically I can see inbound and outbound flights from IAH and now I can just hear the aircraft.