Wx Infinity Forums

Rip76 wrote:My personal opinion is Middle Coast.

We'll see.

West end of Galveston is my thoughts....

ticka1 wrote:

Rip76 wrote:My personal opinion is Middle Coast.

We'll see.

West end of Galveston is my thoughts....

I think you're right.

sambucol wrote:

ticka1 wrote:

Rip76 wrote:My personal opinion is Middle Coast.

We'll see.

West end of Galveston is my thoughts....

I think you're right.

Wow, you feel it will go that far up the coast? I know it will after landfall. Of course, these storms have a mind of their owns and tend to surprise us when we least expect it.

I think it will be down near Freeport area. But it all depends on where Recon fixes the center and how much it develops. Very interesting days ahead. I know I will be having a hard time working and sleeping lol.

If we had to guess....when will Hobby Airport go off-line

Tropical Depression Harvey RSS Feed icon Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive
...HARVEY REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST...

Are we staying here or moving to Hurricane Central?

Our plan is in place! Thanks to everyone for keeping us informed! I will stay tuned!

Until we move this to Hurricane Central - I will post this here, since everyone is talking about Harvey


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Port Mansfield to High Island

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Boca De Catan Mexico to Port Mansfield Texas
* North of San Luis Pass to High Island

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in southwestern Louisiana should monitor the progress of
this system for possible watches this afternoon.

NHC first track has a Hurricane making landfall. Here we go

mcheer23 wrote:NHC first track has a Hurricane making landfall. Here we go

Same area?

GFS running now.

It is West.

Tropical Depression Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 12
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-232330-

Tropical Depression Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX AL092017
1024 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

This product covers Southeast Texas

**HARVEY REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch have been issued for
Brazoria, Jackson, and Matagorda
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Austin, Colorado,
Fort Bend, Liberty, Waller, and Wharton
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
for Chambers, Galveston, and Harris

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Brazoria, Jackson, and Matagorda
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Austin, Colorado, Fort
Bend, Liberty, Waller, and Wharton
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
Chambers, Galveston, and Harris

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 560 miles south-southeast of Galveston TX or about 540
miles south-southeast of Matagorda TX
- 21.5N 92.5W
- Storm Intensity 35 mph
- Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Harvey has regenerated into at Tropical Depression this morning. TD
Harvey is expected to continue to strength into a tropical storm or
hurricane in the next couple of days. The primary impact from Harvey is
expected to be heavy rainfall and flooding, but there will still be a
threat for tropical storm to hurricane force winds and storm surge
along the coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Southeast Texas. Potential impacts include:
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become
swollen and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
closures.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the whole Upper Texas Coast. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across northern Galveston Bay and Trinity Bay.

Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the Upper Texas Coast mainly near Matagorda. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.

* TORNADOES:
Conditions will be favorable for isolated tornadoes across much of
Southeast Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a
predetermined shelter or safe destination.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, an upper floor of a high rise building, or on
a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take enough supplies for you
and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley or canyon, or near an already swollen
river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your
intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency
purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as
your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others.
Keep cell phones handy and well charged.

Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of
the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.

Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Houston/Galveston TX around 430 PM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

New gfs is way west now. Over San Antonio looping west...

davidiowx wrote:

That's brutal for inland flooding, potential weak tornados - CLL stays dirty

12z GFS run is looking a little south and westward right now, fwiw.

I fear Houston is in for another Mess.

TexasBreeze wrote:New gfs is way west now. Over San Antonio looping west...

Weird run

Moving back SE now

Looks like the 12z GFS is wanting to strengthen the High out west and keep Harvey buried more south and west of here than previous runs. Curious to see what the ensemble and the Euro have to say.