Wx Infinity Forums

An area of disturbed weather not too far North of the Equator in the Central Atlantic has been designated INVEST 95L. Reconnaissance Aircraft has been tasked to fly out and take a look tomorrow evening, if necessary.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A low pressure trough located about 1000 miles east-southeast of
of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Although this system is close to dry air, some
slow development is possible over the next few days while the
system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown

Invest 95L continues to look more organized this morning and a second disturbance is located SW of the Cape Verde Islands.

has to fight a lot of dry air to keep it going....

The National Hurricane Center will begin Advisories for Tropical Storm Don at 5:00 PM AST

TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052017
2100 UTC MON JUL 17 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR GRENADA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BARBADOS AND FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO...ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 52.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 52.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 52.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 11.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.