mckinne63 wrote:jasons wrote:It's peeking out here too, and it sure is muggy. Total rain was 3.56" and I am very happy!
Glad you got some rain Jason! Looking cloudy and gloomy here now.
Well done.
We had 0.25 in IMBY this morning. Only 0.41 inches of precip in the last 20 days. Hoping for more this afternoon or Tuesday.
Now most of the rain is to our West. First east for Cindy, then north and south yesterday (only had a trace), and now west of us.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1233 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
.AVIATION...
Scattered SHRA and TSRA are developing near the southern
terminals (IAH/HOU/SGR/LBX/GLS) early this afternoon, with
activity expected to spread into the northern terminals with
continued heating. IFR to MVFR conditions are possible in
convection from locally heavy rain, but VFR conditions are
expected through the end of the TAF period. Cloud debris from
storms today may provide enough sky cover overnight to limit fog
development, but if skies do clear... MVFR visibilities will be
possible early to mid-morning Monday.
Will have to monitor trends for adjustments in timing of
TSRA/SHRA at terminals and have low confidence in trends beyond 6
hours given the weak flow aloft and presence of several outflow
boundaries across Southeast Texas. Expect most activity to wane
this evening with loss of daytime heating, but energy from a mid-
level disturbance shearing out across the region may provide
enough lift to keep SHRA going overnight... or start it earlier
than advertised in the 25/18Z TAF package (sometime between 06-12Z
Monday). Another round of scattered to numerous SHRA/TSRA is
expected during the day Monday. Otherwise, light northeast to east
winds 5-10 knots are expected to prevail but variable directions
are possible near convection or any boundaries that move across
the terminals.
Huffman
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 952 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017/
UPDATE...
Messy surface pattern this morning and subsequent forecast for
this afternoon. Primary surface cold front extends across sern TX
from srn LA into nrn Mexico. Boundary is masked in sections from
numerousmesoscale boundaries resulting from earlier and ongoing
moist convection. In addition, several boundaries remain
convectively active just off the coast which should push inland
through the late morning/early afternoon. A persistent cluster of
showers/tstms near Lake Livingston should continue to gradually
diminish late this morning, while showers increase to the south
and west of this activity. Both CRP and LCH soundings indicate
convective temps around 85-86F suggesting showers and tstms will
become increase/develop with continued heating across most of the
region, focused along surface boundaries. With little or no
steering flow and abundant moisture /PWs near 2"/, we expect heavy
downpours with any stronger cores.
Have bumped PoPs a little and tweaked grids to better match
ongoing conditions. Otherwise, current forecast on track.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 71 89 72 90 72 / 30 40 20 30 20
Houston (IAH) 73 88 73 89 73 / 30 50 20 40 20
Galveston (GLS) 78 87 78 87 79 / 30 30 30 40 40