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Cromagnum wrote:

jasons wrote:

Cromagnum wrote:My weather apps are saying winds of 25 mph tomorrow. Not nearly as high as what folks have been saying.

This is what Jeff said. I believe 25mph is between 20 and 30:

Looking for widespread advisory level wind conditions late tonight into Sunday with sustained speeds of 20-30mph and gust to 45mph.

People were talking about 40-50 mph sustained winds all week.

Not on this Weather Forum. There were some data suggesting gusts to 50 MPH may be possible with an isolated gust or two possibly higher mainly from Montgomery County and on West. Now offshore there may be some very gusty winds.

Hmmmmm……..just maybe.

Saturday will allow an arctic based
chilled air mass to spill into the region over the weekend.
Subfreezing mid-level air reaching the coast Saturday night will
lower overnight (weekend) minimums to under 40 F. There are slight
POPs in place early Saturday and...depending on the arrival of the
coldest lower-middle layer air in relation to the highest downstream
moisture...the mention of frozen precipitation may work its way
into future forecasts.

Katdaddy wrote:Hmmmmm……..just maybe.

Saturday will allow an arctic based
chilled air mass to spill into the region over the weekend.
Subfreezing mid-level air reaching the coast Saturday night will
lower overnight (weekend) minimums to under 40 F. There are slight
POPs in place early Saturday and...depending on the arrival of the
coldest lower-middle layer air in relation to the highest downstream
moisture...the mention of frozen precipitation may work its way
into future forecasts.

Katdaddy i had to go back and read that discussion myself.Was not expecting that surprise.

is this next weekend?

If thats Saturday, this weekend, its still to far out and ofcourse as we all know, it will certainly modify as it draws near. It would be a nice surprise though...

ticka1 wrote:is this next weekend?

Yes they are talking about next weekend.

One more round ongoing.

Wundermap stations in San Angelo, Rocksprings are reporting gust up to 48 mph.


Given the conversation above, sustained wind are expected 20-30, gusts of 40+

Headed this way!

High risk for SE Coast

Be careful out there today as the winds are beginning to whip up across Central Texas as the Storm System in Eastern Oklahoma deepen rapidly and heads on East. The pressure gradient is increasing allowing strong winds above the surface to mix down as we begin heating up. METARS to our West are already suggesting wind gusts to near 40 MPH and an offshore ASOS at East Breaks has reported a 50KT gust the past hour. The main threat for high winds will likely be along and West of I-45 and out over the NW Gulf Waters.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
803 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
803 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS..

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A RED FLAG WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING. STRONG WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AT TIMES OF
45 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE
STRONG WINDS...COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND CURED
WINTER GRASSES...WILL RESULT IN A HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER.
ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE A CONSIDERABLE RISK FOR SPREADING
DUE TO THE HIGH WINDS.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DECREASING DURING THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS AND SHOULD DECREASE BELOW 15 MPH BY THIS EVENING.

Weather and Hazards Data Viewer: http://tinyurl.com/gp52a7m
(adjust data to your choosing)

yesterday's Storm Reports: http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/repo ... e=20170121

a tragic weather day, many lost their lives https://weather.com/news/news/deadly-se ... th-impacts

just say a small plane flying north over Cypress, they will be in for a bumpy ride - those winds have arrived !

unome wrote:just say a small plane flying north over Cypress, they will be in for a bumpy ride - those winds have arrived !

Yes, windows are rattling a bit at times and I can hear our wind chimes tinkling outside.

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
957 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

......ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WESTERN
THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

.STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST
TO NEAR 40 MPH AT TIME. THESE WIND SPEEDS COUPLED WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT WILL PRODUCE ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

AUSTIN-BURLESON-COLORADO-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
957 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
THROUGH 5 PM...

.STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST
TO NEAR 40 MPH AT TIME. THESE WIND SPEEDS COUPLED WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT WILL PRODUCE ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON.

* AFFECTED COUNTIES... BURLESON...WASHINGTON...COLORADO...
AUSTIN...WHARTON...JACKSON...MATAGORDA.

* WIND...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MILES PER HOUR WITH GUSTS
EXCEEDING 40 MILES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT.

* HIGHEST THREAT...COLORADO...AUSTIN AND JACKSON COUNTIES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

The ground is waterlogged. How do they figure anything will burn at all?

Wind damage reports coming in, downed power lines:

https://twitter.com/iembot_hgx

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#H ... 30559/0100

http://www.etrviewoutage.com/external/tx.aspx

http://gis.centerpointenergy.com/outage ... ge_Callout

update, 11:42 - power outage / lines down reports starting to come in from Galveston County

It seems like the winds are already diminishing in southwest Houston. Longer periods of time between gusts now, although the gusts are still high.

Cromagnum wrote:The ground is waterlogged. How do they figure anything will burn at all?

Grasses and brushes are tender dry with RH's in the 20's and lower. Remember we had a Hard Freeze across most of the State including most of SE Texas. This type of wind event is one we usually see in March and April, not late January. Also HGX is receiving numerous reports of downed power lines...too many to mention across SE Texas and Metro Houston.

Wind gusts 40+ and sustained winds of 30+ mph today in CLL.


No leaves at all left in the yard