August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
unome
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https://twitter.com/iembot_hgx/status/7 ... 9417468928

HGX continues Flash Flood Watch till Aug 14, 7:00 PM CDT
unome
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on a positive note, aren't those temps just awesome...

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php?map=houston
Last edited by unome on Sun Aug 14, 2016 3:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Katdaddy
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Flood Advisory issued for areas that had high rainfall totals last night:

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
325 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

TXC201-339-142130-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0172.160814T2025Z-160814T2130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONTGOMERY TX-HARRIS TX-
325 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 325 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN DUE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN IN THE AREA...AND AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CONROE...TOMBALL...JERSEY VILLAGE...PINEHURST...SPRING...THE
WOODLANDS...OAK RIDGE NORTH...SHENANDOAH...MAGNOLIA...STAGECOACH...
WOODLOCH...CYPRESS...PORTER HEIGHTS...SPLASHTOWN...WILLOWBROOK...
HOOKS AIRPORT...THE WOODLANDS PAVILLION AND CHATEAU WOODS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR
PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT.
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djmike
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Wow. Looks like south texas is getting more action than we have or WERE supposed to get! Oh well, i hope we get some beneficial rains through the week.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Texaspirate11
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I got about 2.5 inches by the bay... no biggie
but grateful not Baton Rouge.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
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Ptarmigan
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djmike wrote:Wow. Looks like south texas is getting more action than we have or WERE supposed to get! Oh well, i hope we get some beneficial rains through the week.
South Texas could use the rain. 8-)
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jasons2k
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Latest line collapsed on approach from west - outflow outran it. New ones to the east - I'm caught in no-man's land for now.
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srainhoutx
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Picked up another .79 in my gauge while taking a Sunday afternoon nap. That makes 9.4 inches in my gauge since yesterday morning. Looking at the next 7 days, the Quantitative Precipitation Forecast suggests rain chances will continue daily, so expect some decent rainfall totals across the Region into at least next Sunday.
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unome
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
552 PM CDT Sun Aug 14 2016

.UPDATE...
Extending the watch through 7:00 AM tomorrow morning. Will have a surface boundary over the area along with a very moist airmass -- the PWS are forecast to be around 2.5 inches through the rest of the evening into the overnight hours. Storms were beginning to fire up again and rainfall rates were reach near 2 inches or more an hour.
Cromagnum
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Just got an inch yesterday and another quarter inch today. Hope it picks up becuase this aint gonna cut it.
mckinne63
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unome wrote:on a positive note, aren't those temps just awesome...

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php?map=houston
Awesome! Still a bit steamy though.
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srainhoutx
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Active unsettled pattern looks to continue throughout the coming week. The Weather Prediction Center continues to advertise a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall possibly continuing into Tuesday.
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djmike
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Extremely quiet in here this morning. Monday blues?
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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StormOne
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Training storms beginning to develop along a line from Seabrook to Kingwood.
A transplant from Houston to Lincoln, Nebraska.
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srainhoutx
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Monday morning briefing from Jeff:

Heavy rainfall threat continues over SE TX today and likely again on Tuesday

Wet weather will continue for much of the week

Upper trough axis clearly evident over SW to N TX this morning with a large shield of rainfall cross much of C and N TX this morning. Locally, bands of showers and thunderstorms are moving northward off the NE Gulf of Mexico into our western counties from Matagorda Bay to near I-10. Radar has really shown an increase in development in the last hour along what appears to be a convergent boundary rom Galveston Bay WSW to central Brazoria and central Matagorda Counties.

Air mass remains extremely moist with CRP morning sounding showing 2.43 in PW and LCH 2.16 in. Areas east of a line from College Station to Galveston are seeing some breaks in the overcast this morning and this will likely result in an expansion of the showers and thunderstorms ENE across more of the area as the day progresses.

Storm motions are certainly faster with deep southerly flow in place, but this same flow is favorable for storms to band in lines and potentially train over the same areas piling up rainfall. With such a moist air column in place rainfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour remain possible under the stronger storms. Will favor the SW/W counties for the bulk of the rainfall and potential training today, but the threat does remain across the entire region.

Little change in the air mass moving forward with very moist profiles remaining in place much of the week. It is not going to take much if any heating to get things going especially on Tuesday. The pattern may transition to more diurnal in nature toward the end of the week as moisture decreases a bit and the air mass requires more heating to fire off convection.
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Katdaddy
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1048 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

TXC039-157-201-151745-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0174.160815T1548Z-160815T1745Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARRIS TX-BRAZORIA TX-FORT BEND TX-
1048 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTH CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
EAST CENTRAL FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1046 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN
THE PAST 30 MINUTES AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AS
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PEARLAND...EASTERN SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...STAFFORD...
BELLAIRE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...JACINTO CITY...MANVEL...HUNTERS
CREEK VILLAGE...BUNKER HILL VILLAGE...PINEY POINT VILLAGE...
ASTRODOME AREA...SPRING VALLEY...GREATER FIFTH WARD...SPRING BRANCH
WEST...NEARTOWN / MONTROSE...SECOND WARD...NEAR NORTHSIDE
HOUSTON...GREENWAY / UPPER KIRBY AREA AND UNIVERSITY PLACE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR
PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT.
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srainhoutx
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The Weather Predication Center increases the Excessive Rainfall Outlook to a Moderate Risk.
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srainhoutx
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1141 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

HARRIS TX-CHAMBERS TX-BRAZORIA TX-FORT BEND TX-
1141 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1140 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN
THE PAST 30 MINUTES AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AS
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PASADENA...EASTERN PEARLAND...BAYTOWN...LA PORTE...DEER PARK...
ALVIN...ANGLETON...SOUTH HOUSTON...SEABROOK...GALENA PARK...JACINTO
CITY...EASTERN MANVEL...CLEAR LAKE...SOUTH BELT / ELLINGTON...
CHANNELVIEW...GREATER HOBBY AREA...CLOVERLEAF...HIGHLANDS...TAYLOR
LAKE VILLAGE AND EL LAGO.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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On this day in August 1983, Alicia formed. #ItOnlyTakesOne #HurricaneStrong
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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The afternoon Updated Climate Prediction Center Day 6 to 10 Outlook and Day 8+ Analogs suggest this pattern change will continue. I am checking out for a few days of much needed R & R gang. Stay weather aware and I will be back next week.
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