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Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:36 am
by Katdaddy
Be very glad the CAP held over much of SE TX the last 20 hours and we did not have severe weather and flooding rains. NE portions of SE TX had 1-4" overnight. This morning's outflow boundary had a nice shelf cloud followed by some light rain and sunshine. Flash Flood Watch and Severe Thunderstorm Watch to be dropped for SE TX shortly. Only some widely scattered thunderstorms possible this afternoon along the front so a nice day overall on the way before the potential for more heavy rains late this weekend into early next week
Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:40 am
by Heat Miser
wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday.
That will work. Should be moved way before that time. Just feel for those poor golfers that cancelled their tee times today and those courses that lost all that revenue.
I'll bet there's some mad scrambling going on now, pardon the pun.
Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:51 am
by unome
WPC's Storm Summary for
Central U.S. Heavy Rain and Snow:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/winter_sto ... hive.shtml
and the more I visit it, the more I like their new, experimental "home page"
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/para
Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 12:08 pm
by Andrew
Large loop, but very cool 1min rapid update from GOES 14 showing the precipitation this morning across the region. Take note of the gravity waves over Louisiana into Arkansas.
https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/ind ... eight=1200
Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:29 pm
by houstonia
Two simple questions. Please respond in layman terms: how long does the transition from El Niño to La Niña take and how will either the transition or La Niña Impact us for hurricane season?
srainhoutx wrote:wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday Let it serve as a reminder that we are in a transitioning period from El Nino to La Nina when we typically see the potential for continued storminess. In fact the overnight Euro and GFS Ensembles advertise the first 10 to 15 days of May could be rather unsettled with more storm systems diving out of the Gulf of Alaska and the continuation of a Western Trough.
Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:37 pm
by ticka1
houstonia wrote:Two simple questions. Please respond in layman terms: how long does the transition from El Niño to La Niña take and how will either the transition or La Niña Impact us for hurricane season?
srainhoutx wrote:wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday Let it serve as a reminder that we are in a transitioning period from El Nino to La Nina when we typically see the potential for continued storminess. In fact the overnight Euro and GFS Ensembles advertise the first 10 to 15 days of May could be rather unsettled with more storm systems diving out of the Gulf of Alaska and the continuation of a Western Trough.
great questions houstonia
Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:53 pm
by srainhoutx
That is a great question and in the coming days we will have a Topic covering what we may expect this Hurricane Season and why this time of transitioning Global patterns is potentially important to our backyard in the Western Caribbean and the Gulf. I hope that wxman57 will opine his thoughts as well. Stay tuned for that Topic. I will post it on the Main Page of the Forum and pin it.
Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 4:37 pm
by houstonia
Thank you srainhoutx!
Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 9:33 pm
by Ounce
I think the mets, almost mets, and wannabe mets on this Board do a great job keeping us up to date. Sometimes, it doesn't go as it's forecasted, but that doesn't mean they were wrong as Mother Nature had her own plans and chose not to share.
Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We
Posted: Sun May 01, 2016 11:50 am
by DoctorMu
srainhoutx wrote:wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday Let it serve as a reminder that we are in a transitioning period from El Nino to La Nina when we typically see the potential for continued storminess. In fact the overnight Euro and GFS Ensembles advertise the first 10 to 15 days of May could be rather unsettled with more storm systems diving out of the Gulf of Alaska and the continuation of a Western Trough.
We won't be able to get away with disintegrating fronts in the Gulf like late last summer.