October 2015 - Severe Storms/Moderate Risk Excessive Rainfal

[srainhoutx]

Upper trough is still to our West tapping residual moisture from the Eastern Pacific. Looks like light rain over running the frontal boundary near Matagorda Bay.

[Heat Miser]

And there go the forecasts which called for a dry Halloween night.

[snowman65]

i havent seen any forecast that called for a dry halloween...not in S.E. Texas anyway.

[ticka1]

raining at my house and radar has lots of yellow on east side

[Heat Miser]

i havent seen any forecast that called for a dry halloween...not in S.E. Texas anyway.

I must have watched weather forecasts that you didn't. All that I watched called for a dry Halloween night up until very recent. The rain would hit during the day and give way to dry conditions for the trick-or-treaters.

[mckinne63]

Heat Miser,
That is the same thing I remember reading. I thought it wasn't suppose to rain today either,but it's been drizzling most of the morning.

[wxman57]

Here's a map of Harris County rainfall for 2015. It's amazing that there's a 40" difference in precip form NW parts of the city to the SE side.

[unome]

11 Tornadoes Confirmed in Halloween Outbreak

https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/6 ... 6755578880

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=2 ... S44-PNSHGX

000
NOUS44 KHGX 062309
PNSHGX
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-071115-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
509 PM CST FRI NOV 6 2015

...NWS DAMAGE SURVEYS NOW CONFIRM 11 TORNADOES FROM 10/31/2015
TORNADO EVENT...

...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 10/21/15 TORNADO EVENT UPDATE 1...

.UPDATE...NWS HAS SURVEYED SEVERAL OTHER TRACKS OF DAMAGE AND
HAS IDENTIFIED 4 NEW TORNADOES. HARRIS COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL ALSO
FOUND A TORNADO DAMAGE TRACK OVER FAR EASTERN HARRIS COUNTY. THIS
STATEMENT ADDS INFORMATION FOR THESE NEW FINDINGS AND REFINES SOME
OF THE PATH INFORMATION FOR SOME OF THOSE PREVIOUSLY IDENTIFIED.
NEW TORNADOES ARE LISTED FIRST.

.JONES CREEK TORNADO (NEW)...

RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 90 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 1.2 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 40 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 329 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 1 SW JONES CREEK TX
START LAT/LON: 28.9653 / -95.444

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 334 AM CDT
END LOCATION: 1 NE JONES CREEK TX
END_LAT/LON: 28.9809 / -95.4352

SMALL TORNADO MOVED FROM WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA SOUTH OF
JONES CREEK WHERE IT UPROOTED SEVERAL LARGE TREES. IT THEN
ROUTE 36 AND SEVERELY DAMAGED A MOBILE HOME JUST NORTH.
AFTER CROSSING THE BRAZOS THE DAMAGE PATH. THE TORNADO
TO DO MOSLTY MINOR DAMAGE FOR A MILE OR SO TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST BEFORE LIFTING PRIOR TO REACHING THE BRAZOS RIVER.

.LIVERPOOL TORNADO (NEW)...

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 80 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.92 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 40 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 419 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 1 S LIVERPOOL TX
START LAT/LON: 29.2854 / -95.2801

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 421 AM CDT
END LOCATION: LIVERPOOL TX
END_LAT/LON: 28.2987 / -95.2778

TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN A FIELD SOUTH OF TOWN AND DAMAGED
A CATTLE HANDLING AREA. IT TRACKED INTO TOWN AND DID MOSTLY
MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND STRUCTURES. THE TORNADO APPARENTLY
LIFTED NORTH OF TOWN.

.ALVIN/MANVEL TORNADO (NEW)...

RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.2 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 40 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 3

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 520 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 2 ESE MANVEL TX
START LAT/LON: 29.4747 /-95.3129

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 521 AM CDT
END LOCATION: 2 ESE MANVEL TX
END_LAT/LON: 29.4773 / -95.3112

TORNADO TRACKED ALONG WINK ROAD BETWEEN ALVIN AND MANVEL
DESTROYING A MOBILE HOME AND DAMAGING SEVERAL OTHERS.
POSSIBLE DAMAGE TRACK MAY EXTEND A LITTLE FARTHER
SOUTHWEST BASED ON SOME REPORTS FROM COUNTY WHICH ARE
STILL BEING TRACKED DOWN.

.CLEAR LAKE TORNADO (NEW)...

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 85 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.47 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 545 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 2 ESE ELLINGTON FIELD
START LAT/LON: 29.6015 / -95.1286

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 545 AM CDT
END LOCATION: 2 ESE ELLINGTON FIELD
END_LAT/LON: 29.6081 / -95/1267


.CEDAR BAYOU TORNADO (NEW)...

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 80 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.21 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 529 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 5 W MONT BELVIEU
START LAT/LON: 29.8468 / -94.9556

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 531 AM CDT
END LOCATION: 5 W MONT BELVIEU
END_LAT/LON: 29/8498 / -94.9548

SURVEY CONDUCTED BY HARRIS COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL. TORNADO CAUSED
MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO HOUSE AND SNAPPED NUMEROUS TREE TRUNKS HALF
WAY UP. TORNADO ALSO ROLLED TWO CAMPERS.

.FRIENDSWOOD TX (UNCHANGED)...

RATING: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: NONE
INJURIES: NONE

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 520 AM CDT
START LOCATION: NEAR W CLOVER LANE
START LAT/LON: 29.5112 / -95.2346

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 540 AM CDT
END LOCATION: NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MELODY LANE
END_LAT/LON: 29.5456 / -95.2093

THIS TORNADO MAY HAVE BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH SAME MESOCYCLONE
FROM TORNADO NEAR ALVIN WITH APPARENT BREAK BETWEEN THE TWO TRACKS.
INITIAL DAMAGE HERE WAS JUST EAST OF CLOVERFIELD AIRPORT WITH A NARROW...
CONTINUAL TRACK FOR SEVERAL MILES. TORNADO SEEMED TO EXPAND IN
SIZE AND WEAKEN IN INTENSITY AS IT APPROACHED FM 518 OVER THE LAST
HALF OF THE TRACK. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE ALONG ENTIRE TRACK. HOMES
WITH PARTIAL ROOF LOSS AND TREE DAMAGE CONSISTENT WITH EF1 RATING
FROM EAST EAST OF AIRPORT THROUGH SUNSET DR. SINGLE SITE OF LOW-
END EF2 DAMAGE ON CHESTER DRIVE WHERE COMPLETE ROOF LOSS SUGGESTED
WINDS UPWARDS OF 115 MPH.

.PASADENA/LA PORTE TX (MODIFIED)...

RATING: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 125 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 4.94 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 150 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 540 AM CDT
START LOCATION: NEAR GENOA RED BLUFF/RED BLUFF
START LAT/LON: 29.6383 / -95.1126

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 555 AM CDT
END LOCATION: NEAR SPENCER/MYRTLE CREEK DR.
END_LAT/LON: 29.6934 / -95.0624

EXTENSIVE TREE/FENCE DAMAGE ALONG THE PATH. LOW END EF2 DAMAGE DUE
TO A DEMOLISHED INDUSTRIAL BUILDING IN PASADENA...AND SIGNIFICANT
ROOF LOSS TO SEVERAL HOMES IN LA PORTE...ONE WHICH LOST A PORTION
OF AN EXTERIOR BRICK WALL.

.BARRETT/HIGHLANDS TX (TRACK MODIFIED)...

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 75 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3.3 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 702 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 1 NW HIGHLANDS
START LAT/LON: 29.8281 / -95.0771

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 704 AM CDT
END LOCATION: NEAR EVANGELINE ST.
END_LAT/LON: 29.8712 / -95.0533

DAMAGE WAS MAINLY TO TREES/POWERLINES. THERE WAS MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO
SEVERAL FEW HOMES.

.LAKE JACKSON TORNADO (TRACK MODIFIED)...

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 85 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 1 MILE
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 40 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015|
START TIME: 404 AM CDT
START LOCATION: INDIAN PAINTBRUSH DRIVE, LAKE JACKSON, TX
START LAT/LON: 29.0431 / -95.4535

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 407 AM CDT
END LOCATION: LINDEN LANE, LAKE JACKSON, TX
END_LAT/LON: 29.0540 / -95.4568

WEAK TORNADO TRACKED FROM SUBDIVISION KNOCKING DOWN FENCES AND
SHALLOW ROOTED TREES THEN TRACKED ACROSS HOBBY LOBBY AND THE EASTERN
END OF BRAZOS MALL WHERE IT CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE THAT CLOSED THAT
PART OF MALL. A MALL SECURITY GUARD IS REPORTED TO HAVE SEEN A
SMALL TORNADO.

.DANBURY TORNADO (NO CHANGE)...

RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 90 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3.67 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 423 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 3 SW DANBURY TX
START LAT/LON: 29.1950 / -95.3791

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 430 AM CDT
END LOCATION: 2 WNW DANBURY TX
END_LAT/LON: 29.2473 -95.3664

TORNADO SEVERELY DAMAGED A FARM HOUSE AND BARN THEN FLIPPED THREE
TRAILERS AT AN RV PARK BEFORE LIFTING. RESIDENTS OF RV PARK RECEIVED
WARNING ON THEIR CELL PHONES AT 415 AM THEN WITNESSED THE TORNADO
COME THROUGH AROUND 430 AM.

.NORTH ALVIN TORNADO (NO CHANGE)...

RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 90 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.97 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 30 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 2

START DATE: OCT 31 2015
START TIME: 521 AM CDT
START LOCATION: 2 NW ALVIN TX
START LAT/LON: 29.4716 / -95.2719

END DATE: OCT 31 2015
END TIME: 524 AM CDT
END LOCATION: 2 NNW ALVIN TX
END_LAT/LON: 29.4804 / -95.2602

TORNADO TRACKED ACROSS A TRAILER PARK NEAR ALVIN...DAMAGING 15 TO 20
TRAILERS AND OVERTURNING ONE ALONG A WELL DEFINED PATH. AN ELDERLY
COUPLE IN THE OVERTURNED TRAILER SUSTAINED INJURIES.

EF SCALE: THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES
INTO THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES.

EF0...WEAK......65 TO 85 MPH
EF1...WEAK......86 TO 110 MPH
EF2...STRONG....111 TO 135 MPH
EF3...STRONG....136 TO 165 MPH
EF4...VIOLENT...166 TO 200 MPH
EF5...VIOLENT...>200 MPH

NOTE:
THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE
PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENTS AND PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM
DATA.

$$