JUNE 2015 -Scattered Showers/Storms To End The Month

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:31 am

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
727 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EASTERN COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
EASTERN AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
WESTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 900 AM CDT

* AT 725 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORM
CONTINUING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NAVASOTA...SEALY...HEMPSTEAD...PRAIRIE VIEW...BELLVILLE...EAGLE
LAKE...PINE ISLAND...SAN FELIPE...ANDERSON...MONAVILLE...ALTAIR...
CAT SPRING...PLANTERSVILLE...EGYPT...GARWOOD...CARLOS...ROANS
PRAIRIE AND NADA.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:32 am

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
728 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-181230-
GALVESTON BAY-MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-
728 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.
ABOVE NORMAL SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS. WATER LEVELS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND WAVE
ACTION WILL RUN UP THE BEACH AND COULD APPROACH THE LOWEST LYING
ROADWAYS AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATER THIS MORNING AND PRODUCE
MINOR OVERWASH. IF GOING TO THE BEACH BE SURE TO ASK AND FOLLOW
ADVICE OF BEACH PATROL OFFICIALS AND LIFEGUARDS. ALWAYS SWIM NEAR
A LIFEGUARD AND AWAY FROM PIERS...JETTIES AND ROCK GROINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AFTER THURSDAY'S ONSHORE WINDS DIE OUT PER THE NORTHEAST EXIT OF
THE REMNANTS OF BILL...NO SIGIFICANT WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE LOCAL
MEDIA...LAW ENFORCEMENT...OR THE LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE.

$$

TXZ176>178-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-181230-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-SAN JACINTO-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
728 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY...

FEEDER BANDS FORMING SOUTH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING
NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL PRODUCE PERIODIC HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING EPISODES THROUGH THE
DAY INTO EVENING HOURS. SINCE BILL HAS MADE LANDFALL...4 TO NEAR
8 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN FORECAST AREA
COUNTIES SURROUNDING MATAGORDA BAY AND EXTENDING UP INTO AUSTIN
...WALLER...AND GRIMES COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR...WITH LOCALLY 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS...WILL GENERATE
FLOODING ISSUES. THESE HEAVY RAIN BANDS WILL BE PASSING ACROSS
HOUSTON METRO DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS...EXACERBATING THE FLASH
FLOODING THREAT...NOT ONLY FROM SHEET OR RUN-OFF FLOODING BUT
FROM RISES IN THE LOCAL WATERSHEDS. REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN...WHEN ENCOUNTERING ANY WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH UPON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. THE CHANCE FOR FLOODING TRANSITIONS FROM THE SOUTHERN
FORECAST AREA EARLIER TODAY TO THE NORTHERN FORECAST AREA LATTER
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LINGERING RAINFALL FROM THE REMNANTS OF BILL ON THURSDAY SHOULD
NOT POSE ANY IMMEDIATE FLOODING THREAT. THERE ARE MODEST
PROBABILITIES OF RETURNING SHOWERS AND STORMS BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY THAT COULD INDUCE SHORT-LIVED NUISANCE FLOODING CONCERNS...
ESPECIALLY OVER THOSE COUNTIES THAT HAVE RECENTLY RECEIVED HIGH
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FROM BILL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
LOCAL MEDIA...LAW ENFORCEMENT...OR THE LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

$$

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:41 am

it is indeed looking pretty dicey for our area at the moment.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:43 am

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0232
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
833 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 171232Z - 171832Z

SUMMARY...T.D. BILL IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH
COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

DISCUSSION...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF WACO
TX AT THE PRESENT TIME. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (PER GPS
INFORMATION) ARE 2.5" NEAR ITS CORE AND MAIN INFLOW BAND. INFLOW
AT 850 HPA IS 40-50 KTS PER VAD WIND PROFILES AND RECENT RAP
FORECASTS. ITS CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS BEEN STEADY SINCE TUESDAY, SO
THIS DEGREE OF CLOUD BASE INFLOW IS UNLIKELY TO FADE MUCH TODAY.
MUCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG ARE MAXIMIZED NEAR THE TX COAST, WHICH
HAS BEEN FUELING THUNDERSTORMS WITH 3"/HOUR RAIN RATES PER THE HGX
AND EWX RADARS OVER A SATURATED AREA. STORM TOTALS ARE 6-9" PER
REGIONAL RADARS WITHIN JACKSON COUNTY, MAINLY SINCE 08Z. SIMILAR
TOTALS WERE SEEN OVER AUSTIN COUNTY SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY PER
COCORAHS.

THE MESOSCALE QPF IS UNANIMOUS THAT LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3-7" COULD
OCCUR JUST INLAND OF THE MIDDLE TX COAST. THE 06Z SSEO
NEIGHBORHOOD PROBABILITIES SHOW A 50-100% CHANCE OF EXCEEDING THE
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY VICTORIA,
BURLESON, MONTGOMERY, AND BRAZORIA COUNTIES. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTH, THE CONVECTION IN THE GULF SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN
COVERAGE WHILE ACTIVITY NEAR THE MIDDLE TX COAST SHIFTS NORTH AT
10-15 KTS, PER FORWARD PROPAGATING CORFIDI VECTORS. CONVERGENT
FLOW WITHIN THIS REGION SHOULD SLOWLY LESSEN AS INSTABILITY
INCREASES NEAR THE TAIL END OF THE INFLOW BAND PER RECENT RAP
FORECAST. WITH THE CENTER MOVEMENT SLOWING TODAY, SOME OF THE
CORE RAINFALL COULD TRANSITION FROM A LONGER DURATION FLOOD EVENT
TOWARDS A FLASH FLOOD EVENT FOR THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METRO AREA
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WITH HOURLY RAIN RATES NEAR THE CORE
OF 0.5-1" AN HOUR, AND WITHIN ITS FEEDER BAND OF 3" AN HOUR, FLASH
FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE.

ROTH

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...HGX...LCH...OUN...SHV...

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:45 am

From Nesdis:

SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/17/15 1233Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1215Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:0814Z 0956Z BLENDED TPW THROUGH 11Z
.
LOCATION...SE TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT. APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
.
EVENT...DRY AIR EAST AND WEST...BUT MAKING HIGH MOISTURE MORE CONCENTRATED
OVER SE TEXAS FOR HVY RAIN CONTINUING NEXT 3HRS..
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE SHOWING GOOD OLD SQUEEZE
PLAY IN ACTION OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS THAT CAN CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 3HRS.
GOES WATER VAPOR SHOWING SOUTHEAST U.S. UPPER LEVEL HIGH NOT BUDGING AT
ALL AND CENTERED ALONG THE ALABAMA-
GEORGIA BORDER. STEERING HAS ALLOWED DRY AIR/LOWER PWATS IN GULF OF
MEXICO TO EXPAND WEST THROUGH THE CENTRAL TO INTERIOR WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. ON THE WEST SIDE...THERE NOTHING STRONG IN THE WAY OF SHORT
WAVE ENERGY TO FORCING ENOUGH DRY AIR INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO DISLODGE
VERY HIGH/DEEP MOISTURE THAT HAS BEEN IN PACE FOR AWHILE NOW. SO WITH
DRY AIR DRIFTING WEST AND DRY AIR WEST TRYING TO SLOWLY DRIFT EAST OVER
TEXAS...WHAT IS LEFT IS THE SAME OR SLIGHT LESS AREAL EXTENT OF RAIN,
BUT A MORE CONCENTRATED AREA OF MOISTURE THAT CAN INCREASE AND LEAD TO
CONTINUED REGENERATION OF HEAVY RAIN WITH CONVECTIVE/FEEDER BANDS OVER
MANY OF THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN HIGH AMOUNTS OVER THE
PAST 18-24HRS. IN THAT REGARD...SEE LATEST WPC METWATCH AND EXCESSIVE
DISCUSSIONS AND GRAPHICS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS THAT WILL TAKE YOU PAST
THE MID MORNING PERIOD.
.
AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1215-1515Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...MOISTURE CONTINUING TO BE MORE CONCENTRATED AS DRY
AIR/LOWER PWATS FROM EAST IN THE CENTRAL GULF TRY TO SHIFT WEST TOWARD
THE TX COAST AND WEAK DRY AIR WEST AND SW TRIES TO DRIFT EAST TOWARD
INTERIOR SE TEXAS. BUT ALL THIS CAN DO IS POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY DECREASE
THE AREAL EXTENT OF RAIN AT THE EXPENSE OF INCREASING THE RAIN IN THE
MORE CONCENTRATED MOISTURE AREA THAT WILL BE FURTHER INCREASING ITS
CONCENTRATION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. SO ALL THIS MEANS IS THAT MOST
AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HIGH AMOUNTS OF RAIN CAN CONTINUE TO GET
HEAVY RAIN...IE WHARTON, JACKSON, MATAGORDA, WHERE 1-2 INCHES PER HR CAN
FALL OVER THE NEXT 3HRS. AND TO A LESSER EXTENT FOR PARTS OF COLORADO,
AUSTIN, FT BEND AND TO THE EAST IN THE FEEDER BAND AFFECTING CHAMBERS
AND LIBERTY COUNTY.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:53 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
746 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

LIBERTY TX-POLK TX-HARRIS TX-SAN JACINTO TX-CHAMBERS TX-
746 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 AM CDT

* AT 744 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED BAND
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
EASTERN PASADENA...BAYTOWN...LA PORTE...DEER PARK...NORTHWESTERN
SEABROOK...WEBSTER...LIBERTY...DAYTON...LIVINGSTON...CLEAR LAKE...
BARRETT...CHANNELVIEW...HIGHLANDS...EASTERN SOUTH BELT /
ELLINGTON...CROSBY...NASSAU BAY...MONT BELVIEU...TAYLOR LAKE
VILLAGE...EL LAGO AND SHOREACRES.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 7:54 am

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1046
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 171247Z - 171515Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SOME
POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO THIS MORNING...AND POSSIBLY A
DMGG TSTM WIND GUST. HOWEVER...PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN TOO MARGINAL/ISOLATED FOR WW ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...REGIONAL VWPS AND 12Z RAOBS SAMPLE A 30-40-KT LLJ
AROUND 1 KM AGL WITHIN THE ERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE BILL ACROSS ERN TX. AS THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO ADVANCE NWD WITHIN A WEAKNESS BETWEEN SRN-CONUS
MID-LEVEL RIDGING...HIGH THETA-E AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS CHARACTERIZED
BY MIDDLE 70S SFC DEWPOINTS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NWD ACROSS ERN
TX. THE RICHEST MOISTURE AND RELATED BUOYANCY EXISTS S OF A
NWD-MOVING...WEAK WARM FRONT ARCING EWD/SEWD ACROSS E-CNTRL TX INTO
SWRN LA.

BANDED CONVECTION ALIGNING WITH N/S-ORIENTED CONFLUENCE AXES NEAR/S
OF THE WARM FRONT HAVE PERSISTED THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILE OFFERING CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS...RADAR DATA HAVE INDICATED VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SUCH
ACTIVITY THUS FAR. THIS COULD BE EXPLAINED BY THE LACK OF A
SUBSTANTIAL MID-LEVEL DRY INTRUSION -- THUS LIMITING POTENTIAL
INSTABILITY AND LIMITING STORM-SCALE PROCESSES THAT WOULD OTHERWISE
ENHANCE TORNADO POTENTIAL. FURTHERMORE...INITIAL VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGES INDICATE ABUNDANT MULTI-LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN THE ZONE OF
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...AND THETA-E DEFICITS ARE BEING MAINTAINED
BY PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE MIDDLE TX COAST. THESE FACTORS
CAST SUBSTANTIAL DOUBT ON THE PROPENSITY FOR STRONG DIURNAL GAINS IN
SFC-BASED BUOYANCY IN THE SHORT-TERM AND THE RELATED SVR RISK...SUCH
THAT WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY IN THE SHORT TERM.

REGARDLESS...SOME POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
ENTIRELY RULED OUT THROUGH THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN PROXIMITY TO
THE WARM FRONT WHERE THE RELATIVELY BACKED/ELY COMPONENT OF THE FLOW
NEAR THE SFC ENHANCES LOW-LEVEL SRH. THIS WOULD INCLUDE AREAS IN
NERN TX. ALSO...A DMGG TSTM WIND GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE
PERSISTENT/DEEPER CONVECTION NEAR THE MIDDLE TX COAST AND
VICINITY -- AIDED BY WATER LOADING. LATER TODAY...AFTER THE
POSSIBILITY BECOMES ESTABLISHED FOR MODEST INSOLATION BETWEEN RAIN
BANDS TO YIELD STRONGER BUOYANCY...SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE/INTENSITY AND SVR RISK CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER...THE
OVERALL RISK IS QUITE LIMITED IN THE SHORT-TERM.

..COHEN/GOSS.. 06/17/2015

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:14 am

Looks like today is the main event! Stay safe out there, everyone!!

Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:15 am

There is a huge swath of rain coming toward the Houston area. Please be mindful of that today folks. The ground is extremely saturated and more rain will make conditions iffy. Stay tuned here or at your local media outlets. The mets here (Srain, Brooks, David, Wxman 57, Larry and Andrew) will help with as much as information as they can.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:22 am

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
821 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CDT

* AT 818 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING
TO PRODUCE MODERATE AND HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES HAVE OCCURRED WITH SOME
AREAS EXPERIENCING 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BAY CITY...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...SEALY...EDNA...PALACIOS...
BELLVILLE...EAGLE LAKE...SOUTH TEXAS NUCLEAR PLANT...GANADO...SAN
FELIPE...LA WARD...MARKHAM...PIERCE...LOLITA...BLESSING...
CORDELE...LAKE TEXANA DAM...GARWOOD AND VANDERBILT.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:32 am

Crazy day for events coordinated via the National Weather Service, NOAA etc...

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
928 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2015

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO/ THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON THE EARTHQUAKE LOCATION NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
A DAMAGING TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0852 EDT JUN 17 2015
0752 CDT JUN 17 2015
0852 AST JUN 17 2015
1252 UTC JUN 17 2015
* COORDINATES 35.5 SOUTH 17.2 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:46 am

srainhoutx wrote:Crazy day for events coordinated via the National Weather Service, NOAA etc...

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0852 EDT JUN 17 2015
0752 CDT JUN 17 2015
0852 AST JUN 17 2015
1252 UTC JUN 17 2015
* COORDINATES 35.5 SOUTH 17.2 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

(edit - scrap that, they changed it 7.0 from initial 6.1 http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2015/0 ... tic-ridge/ )

looks like USGS has it at 6.1 http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... al_summary

National Tsunami Warning Center (AT) and Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PT) both had 7.0
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... fic_origin

Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:57 am

Appears a meso low is attempting to develop near San Antonio Bay.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:08 am

Heavy wind blown rain swirling around the buildings in downtown Houston. Looks like a tropical storm.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:10 am

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
909 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers...

Sandy Creek Near Cordele affecting the following counties in Texas...
Colorado...Jackson...Wharton
West Mustang Creek Near Ganado affecting the following counties in Texas...
ackson...Wharton

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following
rivers in Texas...
East Mustang Creek Near Louise affecting Jackson and Wharton Counties

For Sandy Creek at Cordele, Moderate flooding is forecast. For East Mustang
Creek at Louise, Minor flooding is occurring, with Moderate flooding forecast.
For West Mustang Creek at Ganado, Minor flooding is forecast.

Bands of heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Bill has produced 7 to 9
inches of rain over the Lavaca-Navidad River basin with some areas receiving in
excess of 10 inches. Runoff from this rainfall is expected to produce moderate
flooding on the Sandy and East Mustang Creek watersheds and minor flooding on
West Mustang Creeks.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:13 am

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
910 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

910 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM...
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60
NM...

AT 908 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 NM SOUTH OF
MATAGORDA ISLAND STATE PARK TO 13 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT
ARANSAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. THE THUNDERSTORM 13 NM
SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A WATERSPOUT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY OPEN WATERS.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:15 am

from @TDEM https://twitter.com/TDEM and @NWSHouston https://twitter.com/NWSHouston

Very heavy rain has occurred Wharton and Jackson. @CoCoRaHS observer near Ganado measured 11.77 inches of rain. Several obs over 8 inches.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:26 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
919 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

VICTORIA TX-
919 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHERN VICTORIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CDT

* AT 917 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NURSERY...SALEM...FORDTRAN AND MISSION VALLEY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA.
THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL MAKE MINOR FLOODING.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:27 am

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
912 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

LAVACA TX-
912 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAVACA COUNTY UNTIL
945 AM CDT...

AT 907 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SPEAKS...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HALLETTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEAKS AND FARM TO MARKET ROAD 530.

Wed Jun 17, 2015 9:31 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
918 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

DEWITT TX-LAVACA TX-
918 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
DEWITT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
LAVACA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT

* AT 914 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS
SOUTHERN DEWITT AND LAVACA COUNTIES.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CUERO...YOAKUM...HALLETTSVILLE...YORKTOWN...SPEAKS...SWEET HOME...
HOPE...EDGAR...MEYERSVILLE...VIENNA AND U.S. HIGHWAYS 87 AND 77.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. THIS
ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING.

JUNE 2015 -Scattered Showers/Storms To End The Month

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